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Gold rockets to record high again amid tariff war and USD sinks to 35-month low: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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COMEX Gold’s active month contract closed 7% higher at $3254, marking the highest weekly percentage increase since March 27, 2020. Prices are up $270, or 9%, during the last four sessions, and year-to-date they are up $593, or 22.5%.

Last week, the United States substantially boosted duties on Chinese imports, adding a new 125% penalty on top of an existing 20% duty, bringing the total to 145%. This strong approach eclipsed President Donald Trump’s 90-day postponement on heavier tariffs for other countries, raising concerns about broader economic consequences.

Investors seeking safety drove up gold prices, aided by a weakening US Dollar Index, which fell below 100 for the first time in over three years. The US dollar is falling across the board as markets react to China’s new reprisal against US imports. China stated early Friday that it will levy 125% tariffs on US imports starting Saturday, up from 84% previously declared.

The dollar has declined over 7% since Trump’s inauguration and over 2% since his comprehensive trade policy was announced last week, contrary to Wall Street’s expectations. The decrease in the dollar has coincided with sell-offs in US stocks and Treasuries. This could indicate that foreign investors are responding to Trump’s protectionist plans by selling US assets, putting downward pressure on the dollar.

The rationale for increasing gold allocations is stronger than ever in this climate of rising tariff uncertainty, poorer growth, increased inflation, and persisting geopolitical dangers. The evolving global trade, economic, and geopolitical landscape strengthens gold’s position as a safer investment haven.

In this environment of rising tariff uncertainty, poorer growth, greater inflation, and persisting geopolitical threats, the case for increasing gold allocations has never been stronger. The evolving global trade, economic, and geopolitical landscape reinforces gold’s significance as a safer investment refuge.

According to the minutes from the most recent Fed meeting, policymakers are nearly unified in acknowledging the combined problem of increasing inflation and slowing GDP, warning that the Federal Reserve will confront “difficult trade-offs” in the coming months.

Market InsightPrice LevelApprox. INR Equivalent
Prices have risen significantly in a short time – caution is advised.
If price corrects below this level, profit booking may occur.$3200~Rs 93,000
Possible downside target in case of correction.$3100~Rs 90,000
Gold prices fell from record highs as trade tensions eased; US President Trump excluded smartphones and laptops from tariffs.
Ongoing trade and tariff volatility continues to create uncertainty in financial markets.
If dollar weakness continues, gold may hit new highs.$3300~Rs 95,000

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National News

India-NZ FTA to open fresh opportunities for  GJ Trade

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The India-New Zealand Free Trade Agreement is expected to open fresh opportunities for India’s gem and jewellery sector by improving price competitiveness and market access. The agreement offers a tariff advantage of up to 2.5% across several product lines, including gems and jewellery, strengthening India’s position in the New Zealand market.

Kirit bhansali

Commenting on the development, Kirit Bhansali, Chairman, GJEPC, said, “The India-New Zealand FTA is a significant step forward for India’s gem and jewellery sector. The agreement enhances India’s competitiveness in the New Zealand market by extending tariff advantage of up to 2.5% for various product lines including gem and jewellery. We see strong potential to scale India’s gems and jewellery exports to New Zealand from $16.61 million in 2024 to $50 million over the next three years, strengthening India’s footprint in this important market.”

With the FTA now in place, industry estimates suggest exports could more than triple over the next three years, driven by improved pricing, wider product reach and stronger buyer engagement. The agreement is also expected to encourage Indian exporters to deepen relationships with New Zealand retailers and explore long-term partnerships in the market.

The FTA aligns with the Indian Government’s broader strategy of using trade agreements to diversify export destinations and reduce reliance on a few large markets, while creating stable, policy-backed growth avenues for the gem and jewellery industry.

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