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Gold rockets to record high again amid tariff war and USD sinks to 35-month low: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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COMEX Gold’s active month contract closed 7% higher at $3254, marking the highest weekly percentage increase since March 27, 2020. Prices are up $270, or 9%, during the last four sessions, and year-to-date they are up $593, or 22.5%.

Last week, the United States substantially boosted duties on Chinese imports, adding a new 125% penalty on top of an existing 20% duty, bringing the total to 145%. This strong approach eclipsed President Donald Trump’s 90-day postponement on heavier tariffs for other countries, raising concerns about broader economic consequences.

Investors seeking safety drove up gold prices, aided by a weakening US Dollar Index, which fell below 100 for the first time in over three years. The US dollar is falling across the board as markets react to China’s new reprisal against US imports. China stated early Friday that it will levy 125% tariffs on US imports starting Saturday, up from 84% previously declared.

The dollar has declined over 7% since Trump’s inauguration and over 2% since his comprehensive trade policy was announced last week, contrary to Wall Street’s expectations. The decrease in the dollar has coincided with sell-offs in US stocks and Treasuries. This could indicate that foreign investors are responding to Trump’s protectionist plans by selling US assets, putting downward pressure on the dollar.

The rationale for increasing gold allocations is stronger than ever in this climate of rising tariff uncertainty, poorer growth, increased inflation, and persisting geopolitical dangers. The evolving global trade, economic, and geopolitical landscape strengthens gold’s position as a safer investment haven.

In this environment of rising tariff uncertainty, poorer growth, greater inflation, and persisting geopolitical threats, the case for increasing gold allocations has never been stronger. The evolving global trade, economic, and geopolitical landscape reinforces gold’s significance as a safer investment refuge.

According to the minutes from the most recent Fed meeting, policymakers are nearly unified in acknowledging the combined problem of increasing inflation and slowing GDP, warning that the Federal Reserve will confront “difficult trade-offs” in the coming months.

Market InsightPrice LevelApprox. INR Equivalent
Prices have risen significantly in a short time – caution is advised.
If price corrects below this level, profit booking may occur.$3200~Rs 93,000
Possible downside target in case of correction.$3100~Rs 90,000
Gold prices fell from record highs as trade tensions eased; US President Trump excluded smartphones and laptops from tariffs.
Ongoing trade and tariff volatility continues to create uncertainty in financial markets.
If dollar weakness continues, gold may hit new highs.$3300~Rs 95,000

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Gold Loans Average Ticket Size Jumps 39% YoY to ₹1.96 lakh

Analysts Attribute the Sharp Trajectory to Enhanced Collateral Valuations, Which Have Allowed Borrowers to Leverage Existing Assets for Higher Credit Limits

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Driven by a sustained rally in bullion prices, India’s gold loan market is experiencing unprecedented growth. The average ticket size surged 39% year-over-year to Rs.1.96 lakh in FY26, effectively doubling over three years. This nationwide portfolio expansion underscores robust credit demand and a broader penetration of formal financial services across demographics.

Gold loans have become the largest securitised asset class in India during the April-June quarter of FY27, overtaking vehicle loans for the first time this financial year, according to a CRISIL Ratings report. The report showed gold loans accounted for around 31% of total securitisation volumes, ahead of vehicle loans at 26%, as overall issuances rose 22% year-on-year to about Rs.60,000 crore.

Analysts attribute the sharp trajectory to enhanced collateral valuations, which have allowed borrowers to leverage existing assets for higher credit limits amid tightening liquidity in alternative retail segments.

The growth story is also becoming increasingly broad-based across the country. While southern India remains an important market for gold loans, there is strong momentum in newer geographies, according to Experian, a provider of credit information.

Strong YoY sourcing growth in FY26 was seen in states such as Uttar Pradesh (+138%), West Bengal (+112%), Rajasthan (+105%) and Maharashtra (+102%), highlighting growing acceptance of gold-backed lending beyond its traditional regional concentration and indicating a broader pan-India expansion trend

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