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Silver slips after strong rally, bears eye $34

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US spot silver  reached a five-month high of $34.58 before experiencing a significant pullback towards the $34.00 level. This suggests profit-taking by traders and a reduction in exposure ahead of potentially volatile US macroeconomic releases.

The price action indicates a breach of the initial support level at $34.23, the March 18 peak. This breach signals potential for further downward momentum.Traders are exhibiting caution, likely due to the anticipation of upcoming US economic data, which could significantly impact the US Dollar and, consequently, the price of silver.

Key Support and Resistance Levels:Support: $34.23 (breached), $33.51 (March 26 daily low), $33.00.Resistance: $34.25, $34.58 (YTD high), $35.00.

The recent price action suggests a shift in short-term momentum from bullish to bearish.A daily close below $34.23 is a critical indicator of potential further downside.The next support levels at $33.51 and $33.00 are crucial for determining the extent of the pullback.Conversely, if XAG/USD manages to hold above $34.25, it could signal a resumption of the bullish trend, with the YTD high of $34.58 and the $35.00 level as potential targets.

US Macroeconomic Data: Upcoming US economic releases will be a significant driver of XAG/USD price action. These releases will influence the strength of the US Dollar, which has an inverse relationship with silver prices.Trader Positioning: The recent pullback suggests traders are unwinding long positions and reducing risk exposure.

Gold Price Correlation: Silver often exhibits a strong correlation with gold prices. Movements in gold will likely influence XAG/USD.Global Economic Uncertainty: Ongoing global economic uncertainty, including geopolitical tensions, can drive safe-haven demand for precious metals like silver.

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International News

Gold continues upward march;Bank of America forecasts  $5,000/oz for 2026

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Gold prices in India saw a modest rise on Wednesday today Oct 15, mirroring an uptick in international markets as renewed US-China trade tensions and expectations of further US interest rate cuts bolstered demand for safe-haven assets.24k gold traded at Rs.1,28,360/10gm after gaining ₹10 in early trade, while silver prices increased by Rs.100 to Rs.1,89,100 per kilogram.

Gold prices surged to a record high of $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025.  Investors flocked to safe-haven metals amid trade tensions and Fed rate-cut expectations. U.S. December gold futures jumped 57% year-to-date.  Bank of America raised its 2026 gold forecast to $5,000 per ounce, warning of possible near-term corrections.

Gold prices soared to an unprecedented $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025, marking a historic milestone for the yellow metal. The rally comes as investors worldwide seek safety in hard assets amid a turbulent global economic backdrop marked by escalating trade tensions, slowing growth, and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The sharp surge in bullion prices has been driven by a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty and aggressive monetary easing. As inflation pressures remain sticky and central banks pivot toward dovish policies, gold has reasserted its role as a hedge against both currency debasement and market volatility.

In futures trading, U.S. December gold contracts have skyrocketed nearly 57% so far this year, underscoring the strength of investor demand across both institutional and retail segments. Analysts note that central bank buying—particularly from emerging markets—has added further momentum to the rally, with several countries diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar.

Reflecting this bullish sentiment, Bank of America has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $5,000 per ounce, citing continued monetary easing, geopolitical instability, and robust central bank accumulation. However, the bank also cautioned that short-term corrections are likely, given the rapid pace of the recent run-up and potential bouts of profit-taking.

Overall, gold’s meteoric rise underscores a broader shift toward safe-haven assets, as investors navigate a world increasingly defined by economic fragmentation, shifting interest rate cycles, and persistent geopolitical risks.

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