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Precious metal ETFs surpass equity fund inflows

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In a historic shift for the Indian mutual fund industry, January 2026 witnessed net inflows into precious metal Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) surpassing equity fund inflows for the first time. Driven by record-breaking rallies in gold and silver, investors pivoted toward “safe-haven” assets amid heightened equity market volatility.

Comparative Inflow Analysis

The month was characterized by a distinct “performance-chasing” trend. Despite robust Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) contributions, equity schemes trailed behind the surge in metal-backed instruments.

Asset ClassNet Inflow (Jan 2026)Key Driver
Gold & Silver ETFs₹33,000 CroreUnprecedented price appreciation
Equity Schemes₹24,029 CroreMarket volatility; downward bias
Total SIP Contribution₹31,002 CroreRecord high; stable growth

Note: Total Industry AUM has now surpassed the Rs.81 lakh crore milestone.

Commodity Price Dynamics

The surge in inflows correlates directly with extreme price movements on both global (COMEX) and domestic markets during the December 31 – January 29 period.

  • Gold: Rallied 23% to an all-time high of $5,586/oz before a late-month correction. Domestically, prices peaked near Rs.2 lakh per 10 grams.
  • Silver: Experienced a spectacular 60% climb, peaking at $121/oz before stabilizing at $84/oz. Domestic prices reached Rs.4 lakh per kg, exacerbated by a depreciating Rupee.

Asset Management & Concentration

The bulk of the metal-centric capital was directed toward Gold ETFs, though Silver ETFs maintained a significant secondary share.

  • Gold ETF Inflows: Rs.24,040 Crore
  • Silver ETF Inflows: Rs.9,000 Crore

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National News

Gold and Silver Decline On a Strong Dollar

Navigating Volatility Between Oil Costs and Currency Strength

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The Indian bullion market took a breather this Thursday as a combination of a stronger dollar and geopolitical shifts triggered a wave of profit-taking. After reaching record heights earlier in the week, both gold and silver saw a significant pullback on the MCX. The domestic futures gold price on MCX traded 2.54 percent lower to Rs 1,49,800 per 10 grams of 24-carat purity, from the previous close. Silver edged 6 percent down to Rs 2,28,891 per kilogram. Bullion has fallen as investors rush to book profits from recent highs.

The rally lost steam as several macroeconomic factors converged to weigh down the metals:

  • Profit Booking: After gold surged to a staggering Rs 1,54,500 per 10 grams yesterday, investors were quick to lock in gains, leading to a sharp intraday correction. Currency Pressure: A firmer U.S. Dollar made dollar-priced commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies, dampening demand. Geopolitical Cool-down: Signs of de-escalation in West Asia have slightly reduced the “safe-haven” premium that usually keeps bullion prices inflated. Energy & Economy: While tightening energy supplies and rising oil prices often act as a floor for metal prices, they weren’t enough to offset today’s broad sell-off.

Outlook

Despite the current correction, the underlying market remains sensitive. While easing tensions in West Asia provides some relief, the interplay between rising oil costs and a strong dollar will continue to dictate the short-term volatility for precious metals. For now, the “rush to the exits” is the primary driver as the market stabilizes from its recent peaks.

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