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Gold prices edge higher on  Trump tariffs, Russia caution

Gold’s gains were  limited  because the U.S. dollar is also performing well. The dollar went up as investors waited for important inflation data to be released on Tuesday. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $3,361.42 an ounce, while gold futures rose 0.3% to $3,374.80/oz .

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Gold prices edged up a bit in Asia today, continuing their recent climb. Investors are feeling a little nervous because of the possibility of the U.S. President, Donald Trump, raising tariffs on imported goods. This nervousness drove  investors to safe haven assets. Safe haven demand was also buoyed by reports that Trump planned to send offensive weapons to Ukraine, potentially escalating a conflict with Russia. 

Physical demand, however, stayed subdued in Asia due to high prices and seasonal weakness, with Chinese premiums steady at $10–$25 an ounce and Indian discounts narrowing to $8 per ounce amid tight local supply and low imports in May and June. Typically, India’s gold demand softens during the monsoon season, while premiums in Hong Kong and Singapore hovered at modest levels.

President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff moves—including a fresh 35% levy on Canadian imports from August 1 and plans for 15–20% blanket duties on most other trade partners—fueled investor anxiety over global growth and inflation. This was compounded by his push for a dramatic 300 bps cut in the Fed funds rate, which stirred speculation about a dovish tilt in US monetary policy and raised concerns about longer-term inflation risks.

Further compounding this anxiety is President Trump’s aggressive push for a significant 300-basis-point reduction in the Federal funds rate. This call has ignited speculation about a potentially dovish shift in U.S. monetary policy, raising concerns among some market participants about longer-term inflation risks. In such an environment, gold, often seen as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty, typically finds favor.

Despite the macro tailwinds, physical demand for gold in Asia remained subdued. Elevated prices and seasonal weakness, particularly as India enters its monsoon season, contributed to softer buying. Chinese gold premiums held steady at a modest $10-$25 an ounce, while Indian discounts narrowed to $8 per ounce, reflecting tight local supply and a slowdown in imports during May and June. Premiums in key trading hubs like Hong Kong and Singapore also hovered at modest levels.

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International News

Global Bullion Markets Experience Downturn As US Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged

Market Analysts Anticipate Continued Volatility In Precious Metals As Traders Digest The Fed’s Stance On Monetary Policy and Its Implications For Future Rate Trajectories

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Global bullion markets experienced a downturn on Thursday as spot gold and silver prices each fell by nearly 1% following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s overnight decision to keep key interest rates unchanged. Domestic gold and silver prices in India are expected to reflect this global weakness throughout today’s trading session.

ParameterDetails
Gold (MCX) Futures~₹1,43,600.00 – ₹1,43,724.00 per 10 grams
Silver (MCX) Futures~₹1,94,450.00 per kg
Key Contract BenchmarkDecember 2026 Gold Futures are hovering near ₹1,42,324 – ₹1,43,700 levels.
Spot GoldDown ~1%, struggling around $4,044/oz.
Spot SilverDown ~1%, trading below $53.50/oz.
U.S. Fed Policy RateUnchanged at 3.75% – 4.00%.

In international markets, spot gold tumbled nearly 1% to trade near $4,044 per ounce, while spot silver dropped 1% to fall below $53.50 per ounce.

The market reaction follows the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where policymakers voted to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.75% to 4.00% (3-3/4 to 4 percent).

In an official statement, the FOMC reaffirmed its commitment to supporting its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability while continuing its policy of maintaining ample reserves within the banking system.

​Market analysts anticipate continued volatility in precious metals as traders digest the Fed’s stance on monetary policy and its implications for future rate trajectories.

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