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Gold continues its winning streak : Augmont Bullion report

Gold continues its winning streak

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Gold maintains its winning streak above $3025 (~Rs 88500) as Trump’s tariffs are projected to exacerbate inflation and economic turmoil. Trump said he would hold Iran accountable for any strikes carried out by the Houthi group it supports in Yemen, as his administration escalated the largest US military operation in the Middle East since Trump came to the White House.

Central banks’ accumulation of gold reserves, inflation concerns, and rising demand after the pandemic have contributed to the surge in gold prices.

The Fed is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range after its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.

Technical Triggers      

Gold Apr Futures after achieving the $3000 (~Rs 88000) milestone, now is expected to extend this run up towards $3035 (~Rs 88800) and $3080 (~Rs 90000) in the coming weeks. After that, we can see some retracement and profit-booking, which can extend down to $2800 and $2700 maximum.While Silver May Futures has also climbed above $34(~Rs 100,000) on strong demand, the next resistance for the prices is $35(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

Modest Uptick in Gold and Silver Prices as Global Macroeconomic Factors Continue to Influence Market Sentiment

The Surge in Energy Costs has Concurrently Kept the U.S. Dollar Elevated, Creating a Complex Trading Environment for Domestic Commodities

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There was a modest uptick in gold and silver prices as global macroeconomic factors—specifically crude oil volatility and a firming U.S. Dollar—continue to influence market sentiment. Gold and silver showed the following movements on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX): Gold (MCX): Traded at Rs 1,48,745 per 10 grams, representing a 0.14% increase from its previous close. Silver (MCX): Surged to Rs 2,38,699 per kilogram, an appreciation of 0.57%.

This follows earlier morning volatility (09:37 IST), where gold briefly dipped 0.08% to Rs 1,48,410 before recovering in response to shifting global indicators.

The upward movement in precious metals coincides with Brent crude oil prices stabilizing near the $110 per barrel mark. This sustained pricing follows the recent U.S. decision to extend the blockade around Iranian ports, fueling supply-side concerns. The surge in energy costs has concurrently kept the U.S. Dollar elevated, creating a complex trading environment for domestic commodities.

Brent crude at $110 remains a significant headwind for the domestic economy. As long as energy prices remain at these elevated levels, investors anticipate a persistent downside risk to India’s growth and a heightened upside risk to inflation.

While futures markets indicate a broad upward trend, retail gold prices continue to vary across Indian cities based on local taxes, duties, and purity levels (22K vs. 24K). Investors are advised to monitor the Federal Reserve’s upcoming announcement, as it will provide further direction for interest rate trajectories and the subsequent valuation of non-yielding assets like gold.

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