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Gold continues its winning streak : Augmont Bullion report

Gold continues its winning streak

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Gold maintains its winning streak above $3025 (~Rs 88500) as Trump’s tariffs are projected to exacerbate inflation and economic turmoil. Trump said he would hold Iran accountable for any strikes carried out by the Houthi group it supports in Yemen, as his administration escalated the largest US military operation in the Middle East since Trump came to the White House.

Central banks’ accumulation of gold reserves, inflation concerns, and rising demand after the pandemic have contributed to the surge in gold prices.

The Fed is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range after its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.

Technical Triggers      

Gold Apr Futures after achieving the $3000 (~Rs 88000) milestone, now is expected to extend this run up towards $3035 (~Rs 88800) and $3080 (~Rs 90000) in the coming weeks. After that, we can see some retracement and profit-booking, which can extend down to $2800 and $2700 maximum.While Silver May Futures has also climbed above $34(~Rs 100,000) on strong demand, the next resistance for the prices is $35(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

MCX Gold and Silver Decline Sticky Inflation Fears

There Was Profit-Booking Following Recent Highs Fueled Speculation Around Central Bank Monetary Tightening.

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Gold and silver prices dropped by up to 1% on the MCX as sticky inflation fears, volatile energy prices, and profit-booking following recent highs fueled speculation around central bank monetary tightening.

Inflation & Rate Hike Speculation: Despite July US CPI moderating to 3.4% YoY and PPI remaining flat, inflation remains well above the Fed’s 2% target. Markets are currently pricing in a ~1-in-3 chance of a September rate hike.

Energy & Geopolitical Volatility: Ongoing Middle East conflicts—amplified by US naval blockades of Iranian ports—have pushed oil prices above $87/bbl, creating energy-driven inflation risks.

Mixed Economic Signals: Weak US payrolls (dropping 23,000 in July vs. +80,000 expected) initially supported rate-freeze bets, but upcoming PCE data (due August 26) keeps traders cautious.

Profit-Taking: Technical profit booking emerged after gold breached its 100-day moving average.

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