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Gold continues its winning streak : Augmont Bullion report

Gold continues its winning streak

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Gold maintains its winning streak above $3025 (~Rs 88500) as Trump’s tariffs are projected to exacerbate inflation and economic turmoil. Trump said he would hold Iran accountable for any strikes carried out by the Houthi group it supports in Yemen, as his administration escalated the largest US military operation in the Middle East since Trump came to the White House.

Central banks’ accumulation of gold reserves, inflation concerns, and rising demand after the pandemic have contributed to the surge in gold prices.

The Fed is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range after its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.

Technical Triggers      

Gold Apr Futures after achieving the $3000 (~Rs 88000) milestone, now is expected to extend this run up towards $3035 (~Rs 88800) and $3080 (~Rs 90000) in the coming weeks. After that, we can see some retracement and profit-booking, which can extend down to $2800 and $2700 maximum.While Silver May Futures has also climbed above $34(~Rs 100,000) on strong demand, the next resistance for the prices is $35(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

Gold Prices Slump as Fed Rate Cut Optimism Diminishes

Bullion weakens on MCX as fading U.S. rate-cut hopes and firm crude oil prices trigger selling pressure in gold and silver.

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Gold prices faced significant selling pressure in early Monday trading as shifting macroeconomic signals dampened investor sentiment. On the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures dropped over 1% earlier today, driven by fading expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and the inflationary impact of crude oil sustained above $100 per barrel.

Market Performance Highlights

In early trade, precious metals showed the following movements on the MCX:

  • Gold (April Futures): Trading at Rs 1,57,275 per 10 grams (down 0.75%), recovering slightly from a session low of Rs 1,56,655.
  • Silver (May Futures): Trading at Rs 2,56,190 per kg (down 1.25%), up from a daily low of Rs 2,55,106.

Domestic Retail Prices

The correction in the futures market has trickled down to physical retail rates across major Indian metros. The price for 24K gold saw an average dip of Rs 49 in early trade.

  • 22K Gold (per 10g): Rs 1,45,900
  • 22K Gold (per 10g): Rs 1,46,020
  • 22K Gold (per 10g): Rs 1,47,590

Key Market Drivers

The current volatility is attributed to two primary factors:

  1. Hawkish Fed Outlook: Robust economic data has led markets to price in a “higher-for-longer” interest rate environment, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
  2. Energy Pressure: With crude oil prices holding firm above $100, concerns over persistent inflation are complicating the central bank’s path toward monetary easing.

Despite the intraday decline, gold remains a focal point for investors navigating ongoing geopolitical tensions and global currency fluctuations.

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