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Silver prices surge on trade policy uncertainties and geopolitical tensions

As of the latest data, silver on the US COMEX (Commodity Exchange) is fluctuating around $37.35 per ounce, while in Mumbai, prices have climbed to ₹1,11,000 per kilogram.

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Due to ongoing trade policy uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, silver has surged to a 14-year high on global markets and reached an all-time high on Indian domestic markets. The precious metal recently achieved a decisive technical breakout, trading above the key level of $37.5 per ounce.

In the first half of 2025, global investment in silver has increased sharply. This uptrend has been fueled by a combination of geopolitical uncertainties—including regional conflicts and unstable trade agreements—and economic concerns such as persistent inflation fears and currency volatility. Investor sentiment has also been strengthened by strong price expectations and silver’s reputation as a reliable hedge against economic and political risk.

In June, this wave of demand pushed silver prices to a 13-year high, marking a significant milestone for the metal. Over the first six months of the year, silver prices recorded an impressive rise of 25%, nearly mirroring gold’s 26% gain over the same period. Earlier in the year, the gold-to-silver ratio was at historically high levels, making silver look undervalued relative to gold and prompting fresh buying from institutional and retail investors alike.

Beyond investment-driven demand, positive developments in industrial metals also played a role in silver’s rally. Renewed trade negotiations between the United States and China improved market sentiment, leading to expectations of stronger industrial demand for silver in electronics, photovoltaics, and other sectors. This combination of financial investment and anticipated industrial use has reinforced silver’s upward momentum in global markets.

Overall, silver’s performance in the first half of 2025 reflects its dual role as both a precious metal and an industrial commodity, benefitting simultaneously from safe-haven demand and optimism about global manufacturing recovery. If these trends continue, analysts suggest silver could see further gains in the second half of the year.

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International News

US Holiday Shopping Expected To Top $1 Trillion For The First Time: NRF

While Overall Buying Power Remains High, Ongoing Inflation and Rising Household Costs Mean Some Families Will Have To Watch Their Spending More Carefully Than Others

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The National Retail Federation (NRF) predicts Americans will spend $1.01 trillion on holiday shopping in November and December. That is a 4.2% jump from $972 billion last year.

NRF said its forecast was based on economic modeling that incorporates consumer spending, employment, wages and ​historical retail sales data. It excludes automobile, gasoline and ​restaurant sales

​Extra Hiring: To handle the surge in shoppers, stores plan to hire 325,000 to 375,000 temporary holiday workers.

​Mixed Budget Impact: Higher gas prices and inflation could still strain some family budgets, affecting low- and high-income shoppers differently.

​Retailers expect a strong shopping season because people continue to make holiday spending a priority.

Store owners are ready to attract shoppers by offering competitive prices, deals, and choices for every budget.

While overall buying power remains high, ongoing inflation and rising household costs mean some families will have to watch their spending more carefully than others.

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