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Safe-haven demand for precious metals, including silver,  weakened amid signs of easing global trade tensions

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Silver price struggles as the Trump administration to add several Chinese semiconductor firms to its export blacklist. Safe-haven demand for precious metals, including Silver, has weakened amid signs of easing global trade tensions. Silver’s downside could be capped as US Dollar softens following economic data that has heightened odds of Fed rate cuts.

Recently, the price of silver has been fluctuating, especially after news that the United States plans to ban exports to several Chinese semiconductor companies. This development, along with changing global trade relations and economic data from the United States, has made the silver market more unpredictable. In this essay, I will explain why silver prices are moving the way they are, what factors are influencing these changes, and what might happen next.

One of the main reasons silver prices are under pressure is because the Trump administration announced plans to add several Chinese chip companies to its export blacklist. Silver is an important material in electronics and chip manufacturing, so any news affecting the semiconductor industry can also impact silver prices. When the US restricts Chinese chip firms, it creates uncertainty about future demand for silver in electronics, which can make investors nervous and push prices down.

Another factor affecting silver is the recent improvement in US-China trade relations. Both countries have agreed to lower tariffs on each other’s goods, which is a big step towards reducing trade tensions. For example, the US plans to cut tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%. When trade tensions ease, investors feel more confident about the global economy and are less likely to buy safe-haven assets like silver. This has led to a decrease in demand for silver as a protective investment.

Despite these pressures, silver’s price drop might not be too severe. Recently, the US Dollar has weakened because of soft economic data, such as lower inflation and retail sales figures. A weaker dollar makes silver cheaper for international buyers, which can help support prices. Additionally, there is growing expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon. Lower interest rates usually make precious metals like silver more attractive, since they do not pay interest or dividends.

It is important to remember that silver is not just a safe-haven asset; it is also widely used in industry. For example, silver is essential for making electronics, solar panels, and electric vehicles. As China is a major manufacturing hub, any changes in its industrial activity can influence silver demand. If the trade truce allows Chinese factories to operate more smoothly, industrial demand for silver could increase, even if safe-haven demand falls.

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International News

US Jewellery Companies Continued To Shrink In The Third Quarter:JBT

During Q3, Business Closures Dropped To 116 Compared To 126 In The Prior Year’s Third Quarter, Driven By 88 General Operational Cessations, 28 Acquisitions Or Mergers, and Zero Bankruptcies.

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The number of active US jewelry companies continued to shrink in the third quarter, but at a slower pace than a year ago, according to the latest data from the Jewelers Board of Trade (JBT).The US jewelry industry continued its structural consolidation through Q3, though the pace of business closures showed signs of stabilizing compared to the previous year. Data from the Jewelers Board of Trade (JBT) reflects ongoing consolidation across retail, wholesale, and manufacturing, coupled with heightened credit volatility.

Key Data & Metrics

Nationwide, the active business footprint stands at 21,831 companies, reflecting a 1.4% year-over-year decline. During Q3, business closures dropped to 116 compared to 126 in the prior year’s third quarter, driven by 88 general operational cessations, 28 acquisitions or mergers, and zero bankruptcies. Meanwhile, new market entrants also slowed, with 67 new business openings recorded in Q3 down from 89 during the same period last year.

Sector-by-Sector Breakdown

SectorActive CountYoY ChangeImpact Summary
Retailers16,564-1.5%Makes up the majority of the sector; experienced the largest net store count reduction.
Manufacturers2,061-1.7%Steepest percentage decline among all segments.
Wholesalers3,206-0.9%Relatively stable, holding the mildest contraction rate.

Credit & Financial Health Trends

The JBT report highlights dynamic shifts in creditworthiness across US and Canadian businesses, signaling bifurcated financial health:

  • Credit Downgrades: Jumped sharply to 1,655 (up from 620 in Q3 of the prior year).
  • Credit Upgrades: Rose significantly to 1,480 (up from 551 in Q3 of the prior year).

While net business closures are tapering off, high numbers of simultaneous upgrades and downgrades point to a split market where resilient operators are strengthening their positions while vulnerable businesses face tighter financial pressures.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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