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Platinum, palladium prices decline on easing of U.S.-China trade tensions

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Platinum: Platinum prices have also declined, falling by 0.6% to $983.56 per ounce in mid-May, and reaching as low as $955 per ounce in April. The metal faces headwinds from weaker industrial demand and macroeconomic uncertainty, despite ongoing supply constraints. UBS and other analysts have cut their price expectations, citing a lack of compelling demand growth and investor nervousness about the macroeconomic outlook.

Palladium dropped by 0.5% to $965 per ounce as of May 2025, with earlier declines of 5% in April, bringing its price below platinum. Over 80% of palladium’s demand comes from the auto sector, making it particularly vulnerable to any downturn in vehicle sales. Analysts expect only a modest recovery ahead, with looming surpluses likely to cap prices in the longer term.

Improved Risk Appetite: The easing of U.S.-China trade tensions has increased investor risk appetite, leading to profit-taking and liquidation in safe-haven assets like gold and, by extension, other precious metals.

Industrial Demand Concerns: Softer industrial demand, especially for platinum and palladium, is weighing on prices. Both metals are heavily used in automotive and industrial applications, and any slowdown in global growth or vehicle sales directly impacts demand.

Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Ongoing uncertainty about economic growth, interest rate policies, and trade relations is making investors cautious, particularly for metals with significant industrial uses.

Supply Factors: While platinum faces constrained supply, this has not been enough to offset weaker demand. Palladium, meanwhile, is expected to move into surplus as supply outpaces demand, further pressuring prices.

Platinum is likely to remain rangebound, with its price outlook hinging on supply constraints and the potential for demand growth from emerging sectors like hydrogen.Palladium faces a more challenging outlook, with analysts warning that prices could fall further if auto sector demand weakens and market surpluses grow.

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International News

MCX Gold Higher On Ceasefire Hopes, Crude Oil Price Dip

Globally, A Softer US Dollar and Sliding Energy Prices Provided A Strong Tailwind For Precious Metals

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Renewed expectations of a diplomatic resolution to Middle Eastern conflicts sent ripples through the commodities market on June 3. On the MCX, June gold futures rose 0.26% to Rs. 1,58,930 per 10 grams, while July silver futures saw a modest 0.07% bump to Rs. 2,63,150 per kg. Conversely, physical retail gold saw a marginal dip, with 24K gold landing at Rs. 1,56,110 per 10 grams in Mumbai and Kolkata, Rs. 1,56,260 in Delhi, and Rs. 1,57,970 in Chennai.

Globally, a softer US dollar and sliding energy prices provided a strong tailwind for precious metals on Thursday. Spot gold advanced 0.4% to $4,450.16 per ounce, while August futures settled at $4,477. In contrast, crude benchmarks trended downward as geopolitical risks premium eased; Brent crude fell 0.85% to $96.87 a barrel, and WTI dropped 0.95% to $95.11. Other precious metals also closed in positive territory, with spot silver, platinum, and palladium gaining 0.8%, 0.2%, and 0.5% respectively.

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