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Platinum, palladium prices decline on easing of U.S.-China trade tensions

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Platinum: Platinum prices have also declined, falling by 0.6% to $983.56 per ounce in mid-May, and reaching as low as $955 per ounce in April. The metal faces headwinds from weaker industrial demand and macroeconomic uncertainty, despite ongoing supply constraints. UBS and other analysts have cut their price expectations, citing a lack of compelling demand growth and investor nervousness about the macroeconomic outlook.

Palladium dropped by 0.5% to $965 per ounce as of May 2025, with earlier declines of 5% in April, bringing its price below platinum. Over 80% of palladium’s demand comes from the auto sector, making it particularly vulnerable to any downturn in vehicle sales. Analysts expect only a modest recovery ahead, with looming surpluses likely to cap prices in the longer term.

Improved Risk Appetite: The easing of U.S.-China trade tensions has increased investor risk appetite, leading to profit-taking and liquidation in safe-haven assets like gold and, by extension, other precious metals.

Industrial Demand Concerns: Softer industrial demand, especially for platinum and palladium, is weighing on prices. Both metals are heavily used in automotive and industrial applications, and any slowdown in global growth or vehicle sales directly impacts demand.

Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Ongoing uncertainty about economic growth, interest rate policies, and trade relations is making investors cautious, particularly for metals with significant industrial uses.

Supply Factors: While platinum faces constrained supply, this has not been enough to offset weaker demand. Palladium, meanwhile, is expected to move into surplus as supply outpaces demand, further pressuring prices.

Platinum is likely to remain rangebound, with its price outlook hinging on supply constraints and the potential for demand growth from emerging sectors like hydrogen.Palladium faces a more challenging outlook, with analysts warning that prices could fall further if auto sector demand weakens and market surpluses grow.

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Precious Metals Bounce Back As Iran Ceasefire Hopes Rise, But Fed Rate Fears Loom: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Gold Remains Under Short-term Pressure from Expectations of Fed Tightening and a Strong Dollar. However, Investor Positioning in Gold Looks Relatively Light After Months of ETF Outflows.

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Price Movement – Gold has bounced back from its key support levels near $3960, and Silver has recovered from $55, after an Iranian official reportedly received a proposal for a 10-day ceasefire. The continuing US-Iran standoff has kept investors worried about energy-driven inflation and the possibility of further rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in an 83% chance of a US rate hike in December, up sharply from 73% just a week earlier, based on the CME FedWatch tool.

Geopolitical Tensions – Despite the Houthis announcing fresh military action, both Tehran and Washington appear keen to restart talks and stop the escalating attacks that have nearly destroyed a fragile interim agreement reached last month. A senior Iranian official told Reuters on Monday that mediators had proposed a 10-day ceasefire, aimed at rescuing the interim deal and eventually leading to a lasting peace agreement.

Macro-Economic Signals – Gold remains under short-term pressure from expectations of Fed tightening and a strong dollar. However, investor positioning in gold looks relatively light after months of ETF outflows, meaning further price drops may be limited. Strong physical demand, especially from China, along with continued central bank buying, is providing solid support to the gold market.

Technical Triggers

If Gold fails to hold above $4,000 (~Rs.1,41,000), it could slide further to $3,900 (~Rs.1,38,000). But if it manages to stay above $4,200, a fresh rally could take it toward $4,500 (~Rs.1,55,000).

For Silver, a strong move above $63 (~Rs.2,35,000) could push prices toward $70–71 (~Rs.2,51,000–2,55,000). On the other hand, a fall below $55 (~Rs.2,14,000) may drag it down to $50 (~Rs.2,00,000).

Support and Resistance

International Gold Support Level
International Gold Resistance Level
Domestic Gold Support Level
Domestic Gold Resistance Level
: $3900/oz
: $4160/oz
: Rs 137,000/10 gm
: Rs 147,000/10 gm
International Silver Support Level
International Silver Resistance Level
Domestic Silver Support Level
Domestic Silver Resistance Level
: $55/oz
: $63/oz  
: Rs 214,000/kg
: Rs 235,000/kg
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