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India’s gold demand improves as prices dip

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Gold demand in India saw a slight improvement towards the week’s end as prices fell from record highs, yet remained below normal levels. Discounts in China persisted due to low activity, and India’s imports are predicted to drop significantly by 85 per cent in February. Meanwhile, gold trades in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Japan show varying premiums and discounts.

India’s gold demand improved in the second half of this week but remained lower than normal as prices retreated from all-time-high levels, while traders continued to offer discounts in China as activity remained lacklustre. Domestic gold prices were trading around 84,750 rupees per 10 grams on Friday after hitting a record high of 86,592 rupees last week.

Indian dealers this week offered a discount of $12-$27 an ounce over official domestic prices, inclusive of 6 per cent import and 3 per cent sales levies, down from the last week’s discount of $35.

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National News

Gold Prices Slump as Fed Rate Cut Optimism Diminishes

Bullion weakens on MCX as fading U.S. rate-cut hopes and firm crude oil prices trigger selling pressure in gold and silver.

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Gold prices faced significant selling pressure in early Monday trading as shifting macroeconomic signals dampened investor sentiment. On the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures dropped over 1% earlier today, driven by fading expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and the inflationary impact of crude oil sustained above $100 per barrel.

Market Performance Highlights

In early trade, precious metals showed the following movements on the MCX:

  • Gold (April Futures): Trading at Rs 1,57,275 per 10 grams (down 0.75%), recovering slightly from a session low of Rs 1,56,655.
  • Silver (May Futures): Trading at Rs 2,56,190 per kg (down 1.25%), up from a daily low of Rs 2,55,106.

Domestic Retail Prices

The correction in the futures market has trickled down to physical retail rates across major Indian metros. The price for 24K gold saw an average dip of Rs 49 in early trade.

  • 22K Gold (per 10g): Rs 1,45,900
  • 22K Gold (per 10g): Rs 1,46,020
  • 22K Gold (per 10g): Rs 1,47,590

Key Market Drivers

The current volatility is attributed to two primary factors:

  1. Hawkish Fed Outlook: Robust economic data has led markets to price in a “higher-for-longer” interest rate environment, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
  2. Energy Pressure: With crude oil prices holding firm above $100, concerns over persistent inflation are complicating the central bank’s path toward monetary easing.

Despite the intraday decline, gold remains a focal point for investors navigating ongoing geopolitical tensions and global currency fluctuations.

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