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India’s gold demand improves as prices dip

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Gold demand in India saw a slight improvement towards the week’s end as prices fell from record highs, yet remained below normal levels. Discounts in China persisted due to low activity, and India’s imports are predicted to drop significantly by 85 per cent in February. Meanwhile, gold trades in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Japan show varying premiums and discounts.

India’s gold demand improved in the second half of this week but remained lower than normal as prices retreated from all-time-high levels, while traders continued to offer discounts in China as activity remained lacklustre. Domestic gold prices were trading around 84,750 rupees per 10 grams on Friday after hitting a record high of 86,592 rupees last week.

Indian dealers this week offered a discount of $12-$27 an ounce over official domestic prices, inclusive of 6 per cent import and 3 per cent sales levies, down from the last week’s discount of $35.

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National News

Modest Uptick in Gold and Silver Prices as Global Macroeconomic Factors Continue to Influence Market Sentiment

The Surge in Energy Costs has Concurrently Kept the U.S. Dollar Elevated, Creating a Complex Trading Environment for Domestic Commodities

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There was a modest uptick in gold and silver prices as global macroeconomic factors—specifically crude oil volatility and a firming U.S. Dollar—continue to influence market sentiment. Gold and silver showed the following movements on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX): Gold (MCX): Traded at Rs 1,48,745 per 10 grams, representing a 0.14% increase from its previous close. Silver (MCX): Surged to Rs 2,38,699 per kilogram, an appreciation of 0.57%.

This follows earlier morning volatility (09:37 IST), where gold briefly dipped 0.08% to Rs 1,48,410 before recovering in response to shifting global indicators.

The upward movement in precious metals coincides with Brent crude oil prices stabilizing near the $110 per barrel mark. This sustained pricing follows the recent U.S. decision to extend the blockade around Iranian ports, fueling supply-side concerns. The surge in energy costs has concurrently kept the U.S. Dollar elevated, creating a complex trading environment for domestic commodities.

Brent crude at $110 remains a significant headwind for the domestic economy. As long as energy prices remain at these elevated levels, investors anticipate a persistent downside risk to India’s growth and a heightened upside risk to inflation.

While futures markets indicate a broad upward trend, retail gold prices continue to vary across Indian cities based on local taxes, duties, and purity levels (22K vs. 24K). Investors are advised to monitor the Federal Reserve’s upcoming announcement, as it will provide further direction for interest rate trajectories and the subsequent valuation of non-yielding assets like gold.

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