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India’s Gem & Jewellery Exports Drop 11.72% in FY25 Amid Global Pressures

Studded gold and platinum jewellery buck trend with positive growth; CPD and silver exports see sharp declines

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India’s gem and jewellery (G&J) exports declined by 11.72% in the financial year 2024-25, totaling USD 28.5 billion, compared to USD 32.28 billion in FY24. The industry grappled with multiple global challenges including sluggish demand in key markets like the US and China, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and rising competition from lab-grown diamonds.

Despite the overall decline, exports of studded gold jewellery rose by 14% year-on-year to USD 6.1 billion, and platinum jewellery exports also saw an uptick of 11.79% to USD 182.75 million. In contrast, exports of cut and polished diamonds (CPD), the sector’s largest component, plummeted 16.75% to USD 13.2 billion, while silver jewellery exports dropped a staggering 40.58% to USD 962 million.

The imposition of a 26% US tariff on certain goods triggered a last-minute surge in exports, with over USD 1 billion worth of shipments sent in the 10 days prior to the tariff’s implementation — a sign of underlying global demand potential.

On the import front, gross G&J imports fell 11.96% to USD 19.6 billion, down from USD 22.2 billion in the previous fiscal year. Imports of rough diamonds, a key raw material, dropped 24.27% in value to USD 10.8 billion, while the volume declined 16.2% to 1,044.34 lakh carats.

Exports of lab-grown polished diamonds were also impacted, declining by 9.64% to USD 1.2 billion.

Gold jewellery exports were relatively stable, recording only a marginal decline of 0.11% to USD 11.21 billion. Of this, plain gold jewellery contributed USD 5.1 billion.

Signs of recovery were visible from January 2025 onwards, with month-on-month growth, although still trailing behind year-on-year figures. Exports in March 2025 were USD 2.5 billion, showing a modest 1.02% growth over February, but slightly below the USD 2.55 billion recorded in March 2024.

Industry players remain cautiously optimistic, citing stabilizing diamond prices and improving market sentiment as early indicators of a turnaround, despite ongoing global uncertainty.

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National News

MCX Gold and Silver Face Volatility Amid Geopolitical Shifts

While the Current Conflict is Unlikely to Durably Impair Global Economic Growth, Investment Demand for Gold is Expected to Strengthen as Expectations for Further U.S. Monetary Easing Return

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The Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) observed a cautious start to Tuesday’s trading session as precious metals reacted to stalled diplomatic negotiations and a pivotal week for global monetary policy. Gold and silver futures faced downward pressure as market participants recalibrated their positions ahead of several major central bank announcements.

In domestic trading, silver experienced the most significant adjustment, while gold maintained a consolidated range:

  • MCX Silver (May 2026 Delivery): Declined by Rs 1,334 (0.5%) to Rs 2,40,490 per kilogram. This follows a substantial drop of Rs 2,450 in the previous session.
  • MCX Gold (June 2026 Delivery): Remained largely unchanged, trading at Rs 1,51,555 per 10 grams, after a nearly Rs 1,000 decline in the prior session.
  • Global Spot Markets: In contrast to domestic futures, spot silver rose marginally by 0.5% to $75.91 per ounce, while Platinum gained 0.7% to reach $1,997.22.

The current market sentiment is heavily influenced by a shift in diplomatic relations between the United States and Iran. Hopes for a de-escalation in the Middle East faded over the weekend following the cancellation of a high-level U.S. envoy visit to Islamabad.

Simultaneously, investors are turning their attention to the following key economic milestones:

  1. Federal Reserve Policy: The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to maintain current interest rates in its Wednesday announcement.
  2. Leadership Transition: The U.S. Senate Banking Committee is scheduled to move forward with the nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair on Wednesday.

Global Central Bank Watch: Market participants are monitoring the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England for signals on how regional conflicts may impact the global interest rate outlook

Expert Analysis and Long-Term Outlook

Despite the short-term pullback, analysts maintain a bullish outlook for the remainder of 2026. While the current conflict is unlikely to durably impair global economic growth, investment demand for gold is expected to strengthen as expectations for further U.S. monetary easing return. The core pillars of the gold rally—including sustained central bank acquisitions, U.S. debt concerns, and currency debasement worries—remain firmly in place

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