International News
Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears
Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.
Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.
Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.
International News
Hopes for New Government data lifts precious metals prices AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Gold and Silver continued to rise, reaching a close to three-week high, supported by indications that the U.S. government shutdown was coming to an end and rising anticipation of another December interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
- Late on Monday, the U.S. Senate ended the longest shutdown with a compromise that would return federal funds to the United States. It would include three full-year appropriations measures and would finance the government until January 30 if the Senate passes the bill. It would then need to be approved by the House of Representatives and sent to President Donald Trump, a process that might take several days.
- Amid concerns about the economic consequences of the longest-ever U.S. government shutdown, consumer sentiment in the United States declined to a 3-1/2-year low in early November.
Technical Triggers
- Gold prices have achieved the target of $4150 (~Rs 125,000). Prices are expected to consolidate here for a while, before moving higher.
- Silver prices have achieved the target of $50.80 (~Rs 155,000). Prices are expected to consolidate here for a while, before moving higher.
Support and Resistance
| Category | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|
| International Gold | $4000/oz | $4200/oz |
| Indian Gold | ₹122,000/10 gm | ₹126,000/10 gm |
| International Silver | $48/oz | $51/oz |
| Indian Silver | ₹149,000/kg | ₹156,000/kg |
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