International News
Silver trades at a 14-year high on trade policy uncertainty AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Due to trade policy uncertainties, silver has hit a 14-year high on global markets and a lifetime high on domestic markets, with a breakout trading above $37.5 (~Rs 110,000). In the face of growing trade tensions, demand for safe-haven assets drove gold’s price up to about $3340 (~Rs 97000).
- President Donald Trump indicated plans to impose blanket tariffs of 15–20% on the majority of foreign trading partners and declared a 35% tariff on Canadian goods beginning August 1. Additionally, President Trump announced this week in a letter to Brazil that the nation will be subject to a 50% duty on commodities imported into the United States.
- Concerns about longer-term inflation expectations were also aroused by Trump’s demand for a 300-basis point reduction in the Fed funds rate, which stoked rumours of a dovish Fed nominee the following year. Markets have priced in two rate cuts this year, but rate futures indicate that a hold is likely to be agreed upon at the next meeting.
Technical Triggers
- Gold continues to trade in the range of $3300 (~Rs 96250) and $3400 (~Rs 98500). If prices sustain below $3280 (~Rs 96000), weakness could further extend to $3200 (~Rs 94000).
- Silver has given a breakout of its range of $37.5 (~Rs 108,500) and $35.5 (~Rs 105,000). The next target is $38 (~Rs 111,000) and $40 (~Rs 115,000).
Support and Resistance
| Commodity | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|
| International Gold | $3280/oz | $3370/oz |
| Indian Gold | ₹96,000 / 10 gm | ₹97,700 / 10 gm |
| International Silver | $35.5/oz | $37.5/oz |
| Indian Silver | ₹1,05,000 / kg | ₹1,10,000 / kg |
International News
Precious Metals Find Support On Ceasefire Optimism AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Gold Is Trading At Y Oversold Levels Near The Critical Support Zone Of $4,300, Silver Testing Key Support In The $66–$67 Range
- Price Movement – Gold and silver are consolidating near key support levels as markets digest a fragile Israel-Iran ceasefire alongside mounting concerns over inflation and the prospect of further interest rate hikes.
- Geopolitical Developments – President Trump confirmed that both parties are pursuing an immediate ceasefire, with final negotiations advancing. Israel and Iran announced a mutual halt to hostilities following a direct appeal from Washington. However, Tehran cautioned that it reserves the right to resume strikes if Israeli operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon continue.
- Macro-economic Signals – CME FedWatch data shows markets now pricing a greater than 70% probability of a Fed rate hike by December. Investors are closely watching May’s U.S. CPI and PPI releases, due Wednesday, for clearer signals on the Fed’s policy trajectory. The European Central Bank is also widely expected to deliver a rate increase this week.
Technical Triggers
- Gold is currently trading at deeply oversold levels near the critical support zone of $4,300 (approximately Rs. 1,54,000). A technical rebound of 3–4% is anticipated from current levels, driven by bottom-fishing activity. However, a sustained break below this support would shift the near-term bias decisively lower, exposing the $4,000–$4,100 range (approximately Rs. 1,50,000–Rs. 1,51,500) as the next downside target.
- Silver is similarly oversold, testing key support in the $66–$67 range (approximately Rs. 2,40,000–Rs. 2,42,000). As with gold, a 3–4% technical recovery is the base case on dip-buying, but a confirmed sustainability below this support would accelerate selling pressure toward $60 (approximately Rs. 2,20,000) in the short term.
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $4300/oz : $4500/oz : Rs 154,000/10 gm : Rs 160,000/10 gm |
| International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level Domestic Silver Support Level Domestic Silver Resistance Level | : $66/oz : $75/oz : Rs 240,000/kg : Rs 260,000/kg |
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