National News
WGC India Gold Market Update: Import Tightening
Part Of A Broader Push To Conserve Foreign Exchange Reserves Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty and Mounting Pressure On The INR
HighlightsÂ
- Gold import duty was raised sharply by 9%– from 6% to 15%, the steepest increase on record – alongside broader regulatory tightening
- Domestic gold prices have not yet fully reflected the duty hike amid weak demand and ample supply; local markets are currently in deep discount from the landed price
- Past trends indicate that higher duty increases unofficial inflows, although official imports remain relatively resilient
- Gold demand is expected to moderate in 2026, with jewellery and bar and coin demand projected to decline by 50–60t (~10% y/y) on account of the import duty hike.
Policy actions on gold imports
Since early April, the government has adopted a series of measures aimed at moderating gold imports. These have been part of a broader push to conserve foreign exchange reserves amid geopolitical uncertainty and mounting pressure on the INR, which has depreciated by more than 7% y-t-d. These measures include price-based actions, administrative and regulatory tightening, and consumer-directed messaging. While noteworthy, they are not unprecedented; gold is among the top five imports for India, accounting for 8% of the country’s merchandise imports in 2025, and similar measures have been utilised in the past.
On the price front, the gold import duty was raised sharply from 6% to 15%, making it the single largest increase on record and fully reversing the duty cut of July 2024. Rules were also tightened for gold imports linked to exports (under the advance authorisation scheme), and the Prime Minister has directly appealed to consumers, urging them to avoid buying gold for a year.
National News
Gold prices in India extend recovery on softer U.S. dollar, easing Treasury yields, lower crude oil prices.
Market participants attributed the firming metal prices to a pause in U.S. yield gains following strong demand at the latest 30-year U.S. Treasury auction, which relieved pressure on non-yielding assets.
Gold prices in India extended their recovery on Saturday, with 24-carat gold climbing back above the 151,000 rupee mark per 10 grams, supported by a softer U.S. dollar, easing Treasury yields, and lower crude oil prices.
The domestic benchmark rate for 24K gold rose by 710 rupees, or approximately 0.47%, to 151,420 rupees per 10 grams. For bulk purchases, 100 grams of 24K gold stood at 1,514,200 rupees, up 7,100 rupees from the previous session.
Jewellery-grade 22K gold advanced by 650 rupees to 138,800 rupees per 10 grams, while 18K gold climbed 540 rupees to hit 113,570 rupees per 10 grams. Per sovereign (8 grams), 24K gold traded at 121,136 rupees and 22K gold at 111,040 rupees.
The rebound follows a volatile week for bullion. Over the past four sessions, 24K gold has climbed nearly 1.5%, gaining roughly 2,240 rupees from 149,180 rupees on Oct. 6. On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures rebounded above 151,000 rupees after dipping toward the 149,000 rupee level earlier in the week.
In international markets, spot gold traded near $4,174.78 an ounce after recovering from $4,118.63 in the previous session and briefly breaching $4,200. International spot silver surged over 2% to trade around $60.40 an ounce, driving domestic silver rates in India to approximately 235,000 rupees per kilogram.
Market participants attributed the firming metal prices to a pause in U.S. yield gains following strong demand at the latest 30-year U.S. Treasury auction, which relieved pressure on non-yielding assets.
However, analysts warned that near-term gains may remain capped due to expectations surrounding Federal Reserve monetary policy.The key constraint is the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, with policymakers signaling that further tightening may be necessary to bring inflation back to target.
Gold prices in India extend recovery on softer U.S. dollar, easing Treasury yields, lower crude oil prices.
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