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Gold rally continues;US PCE Price Index data keenly awaited

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Gold price extends its record-setting rally toward $3,100 after settling above $3,050 on Thursday. Sitting at record highs, Gold price keenly awaits the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data and US President Donald Trump’s tariff updates for additional trading impetus.

The recent announcement of a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3, along with duties on auto parts beginning May 3, has reignited trade war fears. Reciprocal tariffs from key trading partners are expected to follow, creating an environment of uncertainty that further boosts gold’s appeal. Historically, protectionist policies have contributed to financial market instability, leading investors to shift capital into more stable assets such as gold.

Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are nearing the $3,080 resistance level, a crucial threshold for market sentiment. A breakthrough above this level could pave the way for prices to reach $3,100 and beyond. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 72.50, indicating overbought conditions that may lead to a short-term correction. Key support levels to watch include $3,050 and $3,012, with $3,000 serving as a significant psychological barrier.

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Diamond Price Gains In Sept Led By Small, High-Quality Stones

US Retail Demand Strengthened, Particularly For 1–2 Ct (F–I, VS2–SI2) and 2+ Ct Stones. Lower-Quality Smaller Goods Remain Under Pressure From Lab-Grown Diamond Competition.

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Diamond prices continued their upward trajectory in September—traditionally a slow month—driven by reduced production and rising demand. Round diamonds consistently outperformed fancy shapes.

US Market & Trading Sentiment: US retail demand strengthened, particularly for 1–2 ct (F–I, VS2–SI2) and 2+ ct stones. Lower-quality smaller goods remain under pressure from lab-grown diamond competition. Holidays in the US, Belgium, Israel, and India temporarily slowed regional trading.

Trade Show Trends (Hong Kong JGW): Show results were mixed: strong demand for finished jewelry and 2+ ct natural diamonds offset weak interest from Chinese buyers and sluggish movement in smaller, low-clarity goods.

 Corporate & Supply Restructuring:

  • De Beers is set to acquire Mountain Province’s 49% stake in the Gahcho Kué mine under a debt-restructuring agreement.
  • Anglo American’s ongoing process to sell De Beers maintains broad market uncertainty, while recent De Beers rough sights indicate cautious buying.
  • Petra Diamonds is evaluating strategic options, including potential asset sales.
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