International News
Gold rally continues;US PCE Price Index data keenly awaited
Gold price extends its record-setting rally toward $3,100 after settling above $3,050 on Thursday. Sitting at record highs, Gold price keenly awaits the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data and US President Donald Trump’s tariff updates for additional trading impetus.
The recent announcement of a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3, along with duties on auto parts beginning May 3, has reignited trade war fears. Reciprocal tariffs from key trading partners are expected to follow, creating an environment of uncertainty that further boosts gold’s appeal. Historically, protectionist policies have contributed to financial market instability, leading investors to shift capital into more stable assets such as gold.
Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are nearing the $3,080 resistance level, a crucial threshold for market sentiment. A breakthrough above this level could pave the way for prices to reach $3,100 and beyond. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 72.50, indicating overbought conditions that may lead to a short-term correction. Key support levels to watch include $3,050 and $3,012, with $3,000 serving as a significant psychological barrier.
International News
Precious Metals Surge As Middle East Diplomacy Advances AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Silver Surged Over 6% To Above $78, While Gold Rose Approximately 3% To Trade Near $4,700.
Safe-Haven Dynamics – Silver surged over 6% to above $78, while Gold rose approximately 3% to trade near $4,700. The primary driver was easing Middle East tensions, which pressured oil prices lower and reduced inflation concerns. Both Iran and the US are engaging mediators to finalise a one-page, 14-point memorandum of understanding, intended to establish a framework for a month-long negotiation process aimed at ending the conflict.
Geopolitical Developments – The White House is reportedly close to a deal with Iran, marking the most significant diplomatic progress since the conflict began. The proposed agreement would require Iran to accept enhanced UN inspections, suspend nuclear enrichment for 12–15 years, potentially relocate highly enriched uranium, and restrict underground nuclear facilities. In return, the US would phase out sanctions and release billions in frozen Iranian assets.
Macro-economic Signals – The US ADP report released Wednesday showed private-sector payrolls expanded by 109K in April, up from a downwardly revised 61K in March. The above-consensus reading signals continued, if uneven, labour market resilience. Meanwhile, CME FedWatch data indicates markets are still assigning meaningful probability to a Fed rate hike before year-end.
Technical Triggers
- Gold has recovered from the $4,500–4,550 (~ Rs. 1,49,000) support zone, with resistance now targeted at $4,800–4,850 (~ Rs. 1,55,000).
- Silver has met the $78 (~Rs. 2,56,000) upside target; subsequent resistance levels stand at $80 (~Rs. 2,60,000) and $82 (~Rs. 2,65,000).
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $4500/oz : $4850/oz : Rs. 148,000/10 gm : Rs. 155,000/10 gm |
| International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level Domestic Silver Support Level Domestic Silver Resistance Level | : $73/oz : $82/oz : Rs. 240,000/kg : Rs. 265,000/kg |
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