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Gold rally continues;US PCE Price Index data keenly awaited

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Gold price extends its record-setting rally toward $3,100 after settling above $3,050 on Thursday. Sitting at record highs, Gold price keenly awaits the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data and US President Donald Trump’s tariff updates for additional trading impetus.

The recent announcement of a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3, along with duties on auto parts beginning May 3, has reignited trade war fears. Reciprocal tariffs from key trading partners are expected to follow, creating an environment of uncertainty that further boosts gold’s appeal. Historically, protectionist policies have contributed to financial market instability, leading investors to shift capital into more stable assets such as gold.

Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are nearing the $3,080 resistance level, a crucial threshold for market sentiment. A breakthrough above this level could pave the way for prices to reach $3,100 and beyond. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 72.50, indicating overbought conditions that may lead to a short-term correction. Key support levels to watch include $3,050 and $3,012, with $3,000 serving as a significant psychological barrier.

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International News

US Spot Gold Rebounds Above $4,700

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Gold prices in the U.S. have moved back above $4,700 per ounce, with spot gold trading near $4,750 on Thursday, May 7, 2026. This marks a gain of over 1% in a single day, following its strongest rise in more than five weeks on Wednesday.

Although gold is still around 15% below its record high of nearly $5,595 per ounce, reached in January 2026, prices remain much higher than the $4,300–$4,400 support range seen during the market decline in late March.

Gold has been trading in a narrow range since the Iran conflict began in late February. During that period, prices dropped by more than 10% as rising oil prices increased inflation concerns, forcing the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged and pushing Treasury yields higher.

Now, market conditions are changing. Oil prices are easing, bond yields are falling, and investors are returning to gold, making it more attractive again.

Three main factors are supporting the recent rise in gold prices:

1. Falling U.S. Treasury yields:
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has dropped from around 4.4%, reducing the cost of holding gold. Since gold does not pay interest, lower bond yields make it a more attractive investment.

2. A weaker U.S. dollar:
A softer dollar generally helps gold prices, as it makes gold cheaper for buyers using other currencies.

3. Optimism over U.S.–Iran talks:
Renewed hopes of diplomacy between the U.S. and Iran have improved market sentiment, adding support to gold prices.

With Treasury yields easing and inflation fears cooling, one of the biggest pressures on gold since March is beginning to fade.

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