International News
Gold rally continues;US PCE Price Index data keenly awaited
Gold price extends its record-setting rally toward $3,100 after settling above $3,050 on Thursday. Sitting at record highs, Gold price keenly awaits the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data and US President Donald Trump’s tariff updates for additional trading impetus.
The recent announcement of a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3, along with duties on auto parts beginning May 3, has reignited trade war fears. Reciprocal tariffs from key trading partners are expected to follow, creating an environment of uncertainty that further boosts gold’s appeal. Historically, protectionist policies have contributed to financial market instability, leading investors to shift capital into more stable assets such as gold.
Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are nearing the $3,080 resistance level, a crucial threshold for market sentiment. A breakthrough above this level could pave the way for prices to reach $3,100 and beyond. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 72.50, indicating overbought conditions that may lead to a short-term correction. Key support levels to watch include $3,050 and $3,012, with $3,000 serving as a significant psychological barrier.
International News
Safe-Haven Rebound Amid Geopolitical Easing and Macro Uncertainty Augmont Bullion Report
Gold Has Bounced From The $4,500–4,550 (~Rs. 1,49,000) Support Zone and Is Now Targeting Resistance At $4,800–4,850 (~Rs. 1,55,000)
- Safe-Haven Dynamics – Gold and silver have recovered from key support levels as Middle East de-escalation signals pressured oil prices, reducing inflation concerns. The dollar weakened against major currencies after the US indicated progress toward an Iran deal, while the yen surged to a two-month high amid intervention expectations.
- Geopolitical Developments – President Trump announced a temporary pause in “Project Freedom” — the US military’s commercial shipping escort operation through the Strait of Hormuz — to allow time for a potential Iran agreement. Trump confirmed via Truth Social that negotiations have advanced significantly toward a comprehensive deal.
- Macro-economic Signals – Market attention now shifts to the upcoming non-farm payrolls data, which will indicate whether economic resilience justifies holding Fed policy steady or whether labour market softening strengthens the case for rate cuts.
Technical Triggers
- Gold has bounced from the $4,500–4,550 (~Rs. 1,49,000) support zone and is now targeting resistance at $4,800–4,850 (~Rs. 1,55,000).
- Silver has recovered from the $73 (~Rs. 2,43,000) support level and is expected to advance toward resistance at $77–78 (~Rs. 2,54,000–2,56,000).
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $4500/oz : $4850/oz : Rs 148,000/10 gm : Rs 155,000/10 gm |
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