International News
Gold rally continues;US PCE Price Index data keenly awaited
Gold price extends its record-setting rally toward $3,100 after settling above $3,050 on Thursday. Sitting at record highs, Gold price keenly awaits the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data and US President Donald Trump’s tariff updates for additional trading impetus.
The recent announcement of a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3, along with duties on auto parts beginning May 3, has reignited trade war fears. Reciprocal tariffs from key trading partners are expected to follow, creating an environment of uncertainty that further boosts gold’s appeal. Historically, protectionist policies have contributed to financial market instability, leading investors to shift capital into more stable assets such as gold.
Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are nearing the $3,080 resistance level, a crucial threshold for market sentiment. A breakthrough above this level could pave the way for prices to reach $3,100 and beyond. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 72.50, indicating overbought conditions that may lead to a short-term correction. Key support levels to watch include $3,050 and $3,012, with $3,000 serving as a significant psychological barrier.
International News
WGC Gold Demand Trends- Q1 2026: Bar and Coin Buying Drove Q1 Demand
Global Demand Hit a New Record High Value Total Q1 Gold Demand, Including OTC, was 2% Higher y/y at 1,231t
Total Q1 gold demand, including OTC, was 2% higher y/y at 1,231t. This modest growth in volumes, combined with gold’s exceptional price rise, generated a 74% jump in the value of quarterly demand to a record US$193bn.
Bar and coin demand of 474t (+42%) was the second-highest quarter on record. Asian investors led the charge, hoovering up gold investment products.
Buying of gold-backed ETFs continued in Q1 (+62t), but at a lower rate than the very strong Q1’25 (+230t) following sizable outflows from US funds in March.
Amid record high gold prices, jewellery demand volumes remained under pressure (-23% y/y), while levels of spend again increased (+31%), signalling continued positive sentiment towards gold jewellery.
Central banks bought 244t (+3% y/y) of gold on a net basis in Q1 despite a visible uptick in selling activity during the quarter.
Demand for gold used in technology edged 1% higher to 82t, fuelled largely by the continued growth in AI infrastructure.
Highlights
- The LBMA (PM) gold price set a new quarterly average record of US$4,873/oz. The price hit a historical high of US$5,405/oz in January, followed by a notable correction. During Q1, the gold price returned 6%.
- The supply of gold increased in Q1 by 2% y/y to 1,231t. Modest growth in mine production, together with a 5% uptick in recycling, generated the increase.
- Investment demand now far exceeds fabrication. Weaker jewellery demand alongside growing investor interest in gold has changed the composition of demand in recent years.
Outlook
- Geopolitics remain front and centre in our outlook for gold demand in 2026. Our view remains that investment and central bank demand will be supported by ongoing geopolitical risk, with further investment impetus from elevated inflation and persistent high gold prices. Jewellery demand will remain under pressure for similar reasons, albeit that spending will likely remain resilient.
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