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Gold rally continues;US PCE Price Index data keenly awaited

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Gold price extends its record-setting rally toward $3,100 after settling above $3,050 on Thursday. Sitting at record highs, Gold price keenly awaits the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data and US President Donald Trump’s tariff updates for additional trading impetus.

The recent announcement of a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3, along with duties on auto parts beginning May 3, has reignited trade war fears. Reciprocal tariffs from key trading partners are expected to follow, creating an environment of uncertainty that further boosts gold’s appeal. Historically, protectionist policies have contributed to financial market instability, leading investors to shift capital into more stable assets such as gold.

Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are nearing the $3,080 resistance level, a crucial threshold for market sentiment. A breakthrough above this level could pave the way for prices to reach $3,100 and beyond. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 72.50, indicating overbought conditions that may lead to a short-term correction. Key support levels to watch include $3,050 and $3,012, with $3,000 serving as a significant psychological barrier.

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International News

Precious Metals Gain As Crude Prices Weaken

Slumping Crude Prices and A Weaker Greenback Offer Support To Gold and Silver, Even As Federal Reserve Interest-Rate Uncertainty Looms

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Gold and silver prices edged higher on Monday morning, finding support in a softening U.S. dollar and a sharp retreat in global energy prices after President Donald Trump announced that Washington would enter diplomatic talks with Tehran.

The prospect of a diplomatic breakthrough in the Middle East provided immediate relief to global markets, driving crude oil benchmarks down more than 5% to trade near $83 per barrel. The decline in energy costs helped alleviate broader fears of persistent, energy-driven inflation, while the U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.50% to 99.42—falling below the key 100 mark and making dollar-denominated bullion more attractive to international buyers.

On India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for October delivery traded up 0.13% at Rs 1,43,557 per 10 grams during early deals. Silver futures for September delivery rose 0.40% to Rs 2,18,061 per kilogram.

The market shift follows statements from President Trump over the weekend indicating that discussions with Iranian officials would take place on Monday. While Mr. Trump set no firm deadline for an agreement, the move raised hopes for a resolution regarding the impasse over Iran’s nuclear ambitions and a potential agreement to guarantee safe passage through the vital Strait of Hormuz.

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