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Gold rally continues;US PCE Price Index data keenly awaited

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Gold price extends its record-setting rally toward $3,100 after settling above $3,050 on Thursday. Sitting at record highs, Gold price keenly awaits the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data and US President Donald Trump’s tariff updates for additional trading impetus.

The recent announcement of a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3, along with duties on auto parts beginning May 3, has reignited trade war fears. Reciprocal tariffs from key trading partners are expected to follow, creating an environment of uncertainty that further boosts gold’s appeal. Historically, protectionist policies have contributed to financial market instability, leading investors to shift capital into more stable assets such as gold.

Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are nearing the $3,080 resistance level, a crucial threshold for market sentiment. A breakthrough above this level could pave the way for prices to reach $3,100 and beyond. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 72.50, indicating overbought conditions that may lead to a short-term correction. Key support levels to watch include $3,050 and $3,012, with $3,000 serving as a significant psychological barrier.

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International News

MCX Gold Higher On Ceasefire Hopes, Crude Oil Price Dip

Globally, A Softer US Dollar and Sliding Energy Prices Provided A Strong Tailwind For Precious Metals

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Renewed expectations of a diplomatic resolution to Middle Eastern conflicts sent ripples through the commodities market on June 3. On the MCX, June gold futures rose 0.26% to Rs. 1,58,930 per 10 grams, while July silver futures saw a modest 0.07% bump to Rs. 2,63,150 per kg. Conversely, physical retail gold saw a marginal dip, with 24K gold landing at Rs. 1,56,110 per 10 grams in Mumbai and Kolkata, Rs. 1,56,260 in Delhi, and Rs. 1,57,970 in Chennai.

Globally, a softer US dollar and sliding energy prices provided a strong tailwind for precious metals on Thursday. Spot gold advanced 0.4% to $4,450.16 per ounce, while August futures settled at $4,477. In contrast, crude benchmarks trended downward as geopolitical risks premium eased; Brent crude fell 0.85% to $96.87 a barrel, and WTI dropped 0.95% to $95.11. Other precious metals also closed in positive territory, with spot silver, platinum, and palladium gaining 0.8%, 0.2%, and 0.5% respectively.

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