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Gold rally continues;US PCE Price Index data keenly awaited

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Gold price extends its record-setting rally toward $3,100 after settling above $3,050 on Thursday. Sitting at record highs, Gold price keenly awaits the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data and US President Donald Trump’s tariff updates for additional trading impetus.

The recent announcement of a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3, along with duties on auto parts beginning May 3, has reignited trade war fears. Reciprocal tariffs from key trading partners are expected to follow, creating an environment of uncertainty that further boosts gold’s appeal. Historically, protectionist policies have contributed to financial market instability, leading investors to shift capital into more stable assets such as gold.

Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are nearing the $3,080 resistance level, a crucial threshold for market sentiment. A breakthrough above this level could pave the way for prices to reach $3,100 and beyond. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 72.50, indicating overbought conditions that may lead to a short-term correction. Key support levels to watch include $3,050 and $3,012, with $3,000 serving as a significant psychological barrier.

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De Beers Group Reports H1 2026 Production Surge

The company reported a significant increase in production volume while maintaining its full-year production target of 21 to 26 million carats.

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De Beers Group today released its operational and sales performance update for the second quarter and first half of 2026. Driven by strong recovery efforts and strategic access to higher-grade ore bodies, the company reported a significant increase in production volume while maintaining its full-year production target of 21 to 26 million carats.

Despite market pressures stemming from broader macroeconomic volatility, the company continues to advance operational streamlining and cost-optimization initiatives to ensure long-term resilience.

Key Highlights & Operational Summary

  • Q2 Production Surge: Production jumped 88% year-on-year to 7.8 million carats in the second quarter, bringing total H1 output to 14.9 million carats (+46% YoY).
  • Volume Growth: Consolidated H1 sales volume expanded 13% to 12.4 million carats (total sales volume up 20% to 14.8 million carats).
  • Full-Year Guidance Reaffirmed: Full-year output remains targeted at 21–26 million carats, with second-half production planned to balance out via scheduled maintenance and a temporary operational pause at the Venetia mine.
  • Resilient High-Value Demand: While entry-level categories faced broader pricing shifts, pricing for higher-value natural diamonds remained firm, providing baseline support to the overall index.

Market Dynamics & Strategic Response

Trading conditions during the first six months of 2026 reflected ongoing global macroeconomic uncertainties and regional conflicts that weighed on general consumer sentiment. Additionally, lower-value natural categories experienced continued pressure from lab-grown alternatives.

In response, De Beers actively adjusted its sales strategies, utilizing its inventory mix to meet existing market demand. While lower-value inventory sales shifted the average realized price to $105 per carat for H1, the company noted that underlying value indices for premium, higher-grade natural goods remained stable throughout the period.

Outlook & Portfolio Optimization

Looking ahead to the second half of 2026, De Beers will align production output directly with global demand signals. The anticipated surge from H1 will be offset by:

  • The previously announced two-year operational pause at the Venetia mine.
  • Planned facility maintenance at the Orapa and Jwaneng operations in Botswana.

Anglo American continues to execute its operational transformation and strategic divestment plans for De Beers, ensuring capital discipline and long-term organizational value.

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