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Gold rally continues;US PCE Price Index data keenly awaited

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Gold price extends its record-setting rally toward $3,100 after settling above $3,050 on Thursday. Sitting at record highs, Gold price keenly awaits the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data and US President Donald Trump’s tariff updates for additional trading impetus.

The recent announcement of a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, effective April 3, along with duties on auto parts beginning May 3, has reignited trade war fears. Reciprocal tariffs from key trading partners are expected to follow, creating an environment of uncertainty that further boosts gold’s appeal. Historically, protectionist policies have contributed to financial market instability, leading investors to shift capital into more stable assets such as gold.

Technical indicators suggest that gold prices are nearing the $3,080 resistance level, a crucial threshold for market sentiment. A breakthrough above this level could pave the way for prices to reach $3,100 and beyond. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 72.50, indicating overbought conditions that may lead to a short-term correction. Key support levels to watch include $3,050 and $3,012, with $3,000 serving as a significant psychological barrier.

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Chow Tai Fook Posts Soft Earnings as China’s Gold Tax Shift Clouds Outlook

Flat profits and tighter margins signal rising pressure on China’s biggest jewellery retailer after Beijing ends a key gold tax rebate.

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Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group reported a muted performance for the first half of the fiscal year, with profits landing just below expectations as the industry braces for the impact of China’s recent policy change on gold taxation. The retailer posted HK$2.5 billion in net income, marginally short of analyst forecasts of HK$2.6 billion, according to its latest filing.

While gross margin eased to 30.5%, the company noted that stronger sales of higher-margin fixed-price jewellery and the appreciation of gold helped offset the pressure. In mainland China, average selling prices for fixed-price gold pieces continued to rise, supported by Chow Tai Fook’s ongoing premiumisation strategy amid fierce competition from domestic rivals such as Laopu Gold.

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The jewellery giant has been navigating a tough landscape shaped by volatile gold prices, softer consumer sentiment, and a fast-evolving competitive environment. Despite these challenges, the company said it remains optimistic about sustaining momentum through the second half of FY2026.

However, uncertainty looms after China eliminated a long-standing tax rebate on gold imports on Nov. 1, a move aimed at shoring up government revenues. The change is expected to raise gold acquisition costs and could squeeze retailer margins further if passed on to consumers.

Chow Tai Fook has already revised certain product prices to reflect rising gold rates. Even so, its stock has rallied strongly, climbing 127% year to date, signalling investor confidence despite near-term industry turbulence.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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