National News
Gold prices touch Rs 1 lakh/10 gm mark: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Gold prices reached a record high of $3397 (~Rs 96747) on exchanges and nearly Rs 1 lakh in the spot market after adding 3% GST. Concerns over global economic growth as a result of the escalating Sino-U.S. trade war are driving the rise, with a weaker dollar adding to the momentum.
Fundamentally, markets are pricing in increased geopolitical risks, fueled by U.S. trade tensions and stagflation concerns, while persistent central bank demand adds to price pressures. On April 2, US President Donald Trump imposed “reciprocal tariffs” on dozens of countries, and while his administration has suspended duties for some, it has escalated its trade war with China.
China cautioned countries on Monday not to strike a bigger economic deal with the United States at its expense, a move Trump is allegedly looking for from countries seeking tariff reductions or exemptions. Meanwhile, Trump launched a slew of attacks on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Thursday, as his administration considers firing him.
On the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine accused one other of hundreds of strikes that breached President Vladimir Putin’s one-day Easter ceasefire, with the Kremlin claiming there was no instruction to extend the pause in frontline fighting.
The next potential milestone for gold could be around $3500 (~Rs 100,000) if this rally continues further, but positioning may appear crowded in the short run, and technical indications suggest near-term overbought circumstances. However, one must exercise extreme caution because prices have skyrocketed in a relatively short period. If prices fall below $3300 (~Rs 94300), profit-booking can lower prices to around $3100 (~Rs 90000). Silver prices have been trading in the range of $32 (~ Rs 94000) and $33 (~ Rs 97000) and to to continue same range in the coming week
National News
MCX Gold, Silver Decline as US-Iran Talks Fail
Dip Marks a Near One-Week Low for Gold, Which Had Moved Towards Record Territory as the “Safe-Haven” Asset
On the MCX, gold futures slid below the psychologically significant threshold of Rs. 1.52 lakh per 10 grams, erasing a portion of the gains made during a brief window of optimism. Silver, often more volatile than its yellow counterpart, saw a more pronounced retreat, with prices slipping 2 percent to trade near Rs. 2.40 lakh per kilogram. Gold prices in the international market fell to a near one-week low. Spot gold price declined 1.1% to $4,694.30 per ounce, its lowest level since April 7. US gold futures for June delivery fell 1.4% to $4,717.80 an ounce. Spot silver fell 1.9% to $74.45 per ounce.
The glimmer of a diplomatic breakthrough in the Middle East faded on Monday, sending shockwaves through global commodity markets as gold and silver prices tumbled from recent highs. The reversal followed the collapse of weekend peace talks in Islamabad. Negotiators had hoped to formalize a ceasefire between the United States and Iran, a move that would have de-escalated a conflict that has defined the first quarter of 2026. Instead, the failure of the dialogue has re-ignited fears of a prolonged blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, sending crude oil prices higher and forcing investors to recalibrate their portfolios.
- MCX Price Drop: Gold futures fell below the critical Rs. 1.52 lakh per 10 grams mark, while Silver saw a sharper 2% decline, trading near Rs. 2.40 lakh per kg.
- International Benchmarks: Spot gold hit a one-week low of $4,694.30 per ounce, marking a 1.1% dip, while spot silver dropped 1.9% to $74.45.
- Diplomatic Deadlock: The failure of weekend negotiations in Islamabad has reignited fears of a prolonged conflict and a potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
- The Dollar Factor: A surging U.S. dollar, bolstered by its “safe-haven” status, has made gold more expensive for international buyers, further dampening global demand.
- Inflationary Pressure: Rising energy costs and the prospect of sticky inflation are leading traders to believe the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for longer.
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