National News
Gold prices touch Rs 1 lakh/10 gm mark: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Gold prices reached a record high of $3397 (~Rs 96747) on exchanges and nearly Rs 1 lakh in the spot market after adding 3% GST. Concerns over global economic growth as a result of the escalating Sino-U.S. trade war are driving the rise, with a weaker dollar adding to the momentum.
Fundamentally, markets are pricing in increased geopolitical risks, fueled by U.S. trade tensions and stagflation concerns, while persistent central bank demand adds to price pressures. On April 2, US President Donald Trump imposed “reciprocal tariffs” on dozens of countries, and while his administration has suspended duties for some, it has escalated its trade war with China.
China cautioned countries on Monday not to strike a bigger economic deal with the United States at its expense, a move Trump is allegedly looking for from countries seeking tariff reductions or exemptions. Meanwhile, Trump launched a slew of attacks on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Thursday, as his administration considers firing him.
On the geopolitical front, Russia and Ukraine accused one other of hundreds of strikes that breached President Vladimir Putin’s one-day Easter ceasefire, with the Kremlin claiming there was no instruction to extend the pause in frontline fighting.
The next potential milestone for gold could be around $3500 (~Rs 100,000) if this rally continues further, but positioning may appear crowded in the short run, and technical indications suggest near-term overbought circumstances. However, one must exercise extreme caution because prices have skyrocketed in a relatively short period. If prices fall below $3300 (~Rs 94300), profit-booking can lower prices to around $3100 (~Rs 90000). Silver prices have been trading in the range of $32 (~ Rs 94000) and $33 (~ Rs 97000) and to to continue same range in the coming week
National News
Gold loan NBFC stocks face pressure as gold prices decline
Gold loan NBFC stocks faced pressure as gold prices crashed, with Muthoot Finance and Manappuram Finance dropping 3% and 1.45%. Despite recent declines, both stocks show solid year-to-date gains of around 49% and 50%, respectively. Shares of Muthoot Finance slipped 4.29 percent to Rs 3,134.20 apiece on the NSE. The stock has declined for three straight sessions, losing nearly 6 percent during the period. Manappuram Finance also fell 2.8 percent to Rs 277.90 per share.
Gold prices eased for the third consecutive day as investors booked profits after a recent rally. Globally, the metal edged lower towards the $4,000-an-ounce mark amid concerns that its sharp gains had become overstretched. Weakness in gold prices typically weighs on gold financing companies as the value of collateral declines, impacting loan margins. Short-term challenges include potential slowdowns in loan disbursements and temporary margin pressure.
Gold loan NBFC stocks are facing pressure as gold prices have declined for three consecutive days. Muthoot Finance dropped 4.29% to Rs 3,134.20, losing nearly 6% over three sessions, while Manappuram Finance fell 2.8% to Rs 277.90. This decline comes as investors booked profits after gold’s recent rally toward the $4,000-an-ounce mark, with concerns that prices had become overstretched.
The connection between falling gold prices and these stocks is straightforward. Gold loan NBFCs lend money using gold jewelry as collateral, typically advancing around 75% of the gold’s value. When gold prices fall, the collateral backing their existing loans becomes less valuable, which squeezes their safety margins and creates potential risks. They may need to ask borrowers for additional collateral or close out some positions if the loan-to-value ratios become unfavorable.
Beyond the immediate risk concerns, falling gold prices also hurt the growth prospects of these companies. Lower prices mean they can only disburse smaller loans against the same quantity of gold, which directly impacts their ability to grow their loan books. Additionally, customers become hesitant to pledge their gold when prices are declining, preferring to wait for better valuations. This combination reduces both the size and volume of new loans.
However, the recent decline needs to be viewed in context. Despite the current pressure, both Muthoot Finance and Manappuram Finance are still showing impressive year-to-date gains of around 49-50%. This means the recent weakness represents a modest correction within a much larger uptrend. The stocks have performed exceptionally well throughout the year, and this pullback follows a period of strong gains.
Looking ahead, the key question is whether gold prices will stabilize or continue declining. Short-term challenges include potential slowdowns in loan disbursements and temporary margin pressure. However, gold loan NBFCs have weathered gold price volatility before, and their business model remains fundamentally sound with typically low non-performing assets. India’s deep cultural connection to gold ensures sustained demand for gold-backed financing regardless of short-term price movements. For investors, this situation could represent either a buying opportunity or a warning sign, depending on their view of gold’s longer-term trajectory.
-
National News2 weeks agoSenco Gold & Diamonds launches affordable 9k gold jewellery starting under ₹7,000, a Game-changer amid fluctuating gold prices this Dhanteras
-
GlamBuzz2 days agoAbaran Jewellers conducts grand reopening of flagship showroom at J.P. Nagar South Bangalore
-
National News24 hours agoGold loan NBFC stocks face pressure as gold prices decline
-
JB Insights2 weeks agoJewellery industry optimistic despite rising gold prices


