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Gold, ‘Non-traditional reserve currencies’ eat into U.S. dollar’s reserve dominance: Wolf Richter

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Gold and other reserve currencies – but not the euro or renminbi – are steadily eroding the U.S. dollar’s position as the world’s preeminent reserve asset, according to Wolf Richter, analyst and publisher of Wolf Street.

“The status of the US dollar as the dominant global reserve currency has helped the US fund its twin deficits, and thereby has enabled them: the huge fiscal deficit every year and the massive trade deficit every year,” Richter wrote in an article published Monday. “The reserve currency status comes from other central banks (not the Fed) having purchased trillions of USD-denominated assets such as Treasury securities, other government securities, corporate bonds, and even stocks. The dollar status as the dominant reserve currency has been crucial for the US, and as that dominance declines ever so slowly, risks pile up ever so slowly.”

Total holdings of USD-denominated securities by other central banks (not the Fed) fell by $59 billion to $6.63 trillion at the end of 2024, from $6.69 trillion at the end of 2023,” he noted. “And the dollar’s share declined to 57.8% of total allocated exchange reserves at the end of 2024, the lowest since 1994, down by 7.3 percentage points in 10 years, as central banks have been diversifying their holdings for years to assets denominated in currencies other than the dollar, and into gold.”

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Precious Metals Gain As Crude Prices Weaken

Slumping Crude Prices and A Weaker Greenback Offer Support To Gold and Silver, Even As Federal Reserve Interest-Rate Uncertainty Looms

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Gold and silver prices edged higher on Monday morning, finding support in a softening U.S. dollar and a sharp retreat in global energy prices after President Donald Trump announced that Washington would enter diplomatic talks with Tehran.

The prospect of a diplomatic breakthrough in the Middle East provided immediate relief to global markets, driving crude oil benchmarks down more than 5% to trade near $83 per barrel. The decline in energy costs helped alleviate broader fears of persistent, energy-driven inflation, while the U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.50% to 99.42—falling below the key 100 mark and making dollar-denominated bullion more attractive to international buyers.

On India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for October delivery traded up 0.13% at Rs 1,43,557 per 10 grams during early deals. Silver futures for September delivery rose 0.40% to Rs 2,18,061 per kilogram.

The market shift follows statements from President Trump over the weekend indicating that discussions with Iranian officials would take place on Monday. While Mr. Trump set no firm deadline for an agreement, the move raised hopes for a resolution regarding the impasse over Iran’s nuclear ambitions and a potential agreement to guarantee safe passage through the vital Strait of Hormuz.

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