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Precious Metals rebound back from crucial support levels AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Safe Heaven Dynamics – Gold rebounding above $5000 and silver above $80 reflects renewed safe-haven demand after a sharp correction. However, upside remains capped as fading expectations of near-term US rate cuts increase real yields, raising the opportunity cost of holding Gold and Silver. This creates a tug-of-war between geopolitical support and monetary headwinds, leading to volatile but range-bound price action.
  •  Geopolitical Developments – The prolonged US–Israel–Iran conflict, particularly threats to Iran’s oil infrastructure at Kharg Island, has kept crude prices elevated. Higher energy prices are feeding inflation concerns, reducing the likelihood of aggressive monetary easing. While geopolitical risk supports gold and silver, persistent inflation fears indirectly pressure prices by strengthening the dollar and bond yields.
  •  Monetary Policy stance – The Federal Reserve and other major central banks maintaining a pause signals a “higher-for-longer” rate environment. This limits immediate upside in precious metals by keeping real interest rates elevated. However, any shift toward dovish guidance or delayed tightening could quickly revive bullish momentum, making policy signals the key trigger for the next directional move.

Technical Triggers    

  • Gold briefly broke the key $5000 (~Rs.157,000) support but failed to sustain lower levels, indicating near-term consolidation. However, short-term bias remains bearish with strong support seen around $4850 (~₹150,000).
  • Silver also slipped below $80 (~Rs.255,000) but recovered quickly. A renewed break below $77 (~Rs.247,000) could trigger further profit-booking, dragging prices towards $70 (~Rs.230,000) in the near term.
MetalMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$4850 / oz$5250 / oz
GoldDomestic₹158,500 / 10 gm₹165,000 / 10 gm
SilverInternational$77 / oz$85 / oz
SilverDomestic₹247,000 / kg₹268,000 / kg


Source:AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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National News

GJC Engages With RBI, Ministry of Finance on Gold Monetization Scheme Revamp

The proposed Model is Designed to Address Existing Structural Inefficiencies and Significantly Enhance the Scheme’s Adoption

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GJC has been actively engaging with senior officials of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Ministry of Finance (MoF) to advance a comprehensive revamp of the Gold Monetisation Scheme (GMS).

GJC has submitted a refined, jeweller-integrated framework for GMS, developed through structured stakeholder consultations across the banking, refining, and jewellery sectors. The proposed model is designed to address existing structural inefficiencies and significantly enhance the scheme’s adoption and effectiveness.

The proposed GMS operates within the existing regulatory framework notified by the RBI and the Government of India, ensuring full compliance, institutional oversight, and financial system integrity. The framework builds on the current scheme architecture while introducing operational efficiencies and stakeholder alignment.

A central feature of the proposal is the formal transition towards a digital gold ecosystem, whereby physical gold is converted into dematerialised gold balances held within the banking system through structured account mechanisms.

In recent years, investment demand in gold bullion and coins has witnessed strong and sustained growth, reflecting increasing investor preference for physical gold as a store of value. The revamped GMS framework seeks to effectively leverage this trend by enabling investors to seamlessly monetise such holdings.

The scheme provides an avenue for investors to earn a return on idle gold assets, including bullion, coins, and jewellery, by integrating them into the formal financial system. This converts traditionally non-yielding assets into interest-bearing financial instruments, thereby enhancing portfolio efficiency without requiring liquidation of gold holdings.

The revised framework is anchored on robust governance principles:

Transparency: End-to-end digital recording of transactions, including deposit, assay, dematerialisation, and credit.

Traceability: System-based tracking of gold across the value chain, supported by verifiable documentation and audit trails.

Accountability: Clearly defined responsibilities for all participants, reinforced through KYC compliance, documented consent, and regulatory supervision.

This structure ensures a secure, compliant, and auditable gold monetisation ecosystem, addressing key concerns under the existing scheme.

The proposed framework is expected to materially improve gold mobilisation by leveraging the reach and trust of the jewellery trade. Enhanced mobilisation of idle gold can reduce dependence on imports, support domestic supply, and contribute to the moderation of the Current Account Deficit (CAD).

Further, the shift towards a regulated digital gold framework will strengthen formalisation, improve compliance standards, and enhance overall market efficiency.

Rajesh Rokde, Chairman of GJC, said,

“GJC’s continued engagement with the Reserve Bank of India and the Ministry of Finance reflects our commitment to building a robust and future-ready Gold Monetisation framework. The proposed model integrates jewellers into a regulated, digital ecosystem, significantly enhancing transparency, trust, and accessibility for consumers. By unlocking the value of idle gold, the scheme has the potential to strengthen domestic supply, reduce reliance on imports, and contribute meaningfully to India’s macroeconomic stability.”

Avinash Gupta, Vice Chairman of GJC, said,

“The revamped GMS framework is designed to be practical, scalable, and fully aligned with regulatory expectations. It creates a secure and transparent pathway for gold monetisation, while ensuring accountability across all stakeholders. Importantly, it enables investors to earn returns on idle gold—including bullion, coins, and jewellery—thereby transforming a traditionally non-yielding asset into a productive financial instrument. This will play a critical role in formalising the sector and improving overall market efficiency.”

The trade is encouraged to support this initiative, which represents a significant step towards a regulated, transparent, and digitally integrated gold ecosystem in India, while unlocking value from idle gold holdings.

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