International News
WGC REPORT Central banks expect official sector gold holdings to increase against a backdrop of geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
More than nine in ten (95%) reserve managers indicated that they expect central banks to continue increasing their gold holdings in the next 12 months, according to new 2025 data released by the World Gold Council today.1 This is a record high since it was first tracked in the 2019 survey and represents a 17% increase from the 2024 findings.
The 2025 Central Banks Gold Reserves (CBGR) survey, which collected data from a record 73 of the world’s central banks, also finds that nearly 43% of central banks plan to add to their own gold reserves within the next year. Reserve managers’ favourable view of gold persists even in the face of record-high gold prices2 and 15 successive years of central bank gold buying.
Gold continues to be used as a safe-haven asset to help mitigate risks as ongoing economic and geopolitical uncertainty continues to weigh on reserve managers. The top three current motivations for holding the asset have shifted to its long-term store of value (80%), its role as an effective portfolio diversifier (81%), and its performance in times of crisis (85%).
Central banks in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDE) have once again maintained their positive outlook for gold’s future share in reserve portfolios. Notably, 28 out of 58 (48%) EMDE respondents thought that their own gold reserves would increase in the next 12 months, compared to 3 out of 14 (21%) of advanced economy respondents, more than last year. Although interest rate levels remained a key component of both groups’ motivators for holding gold, inflation (84%) and the geopolitical situation (81%) were top of mind for EMDEs, while 67% and 60% of advanced economy respondents felt the same.
Notably, more central banks are increasingly storing gold domestically: 59% said they have gold in domestic storage, up from 41% in 2024. Additionally, most respondents (73%)
see moderately or significantly lower US dollar holdings within global reserves over the next five years. However, respondents also believe that other currencies, such as the euro and renminbi, as well as gold, will increase their share over the same period.

Shaokai Fan, Global Head of Central Banks & Head of Asia-Pacific (ex-China), commented:
“After eight years of conducting this survey, we have reached an important milestone: nearly half of the central bank respondents intend to increase their own gold holdings in the coming year. This is remarkable, especially considering how many record-high prices we’ve hit so far in 2025. Notably, this reflects the current global financial and geopolitical environments. Gold remains a strategic asset as the world faces uncertainty and tumult. Central banks are concerned about interest rates, inflation, and instability – all reasons to turn to gold to mitigate risk.”
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Crisis Disrupting Energy Supplies, Pushing Inflation Risks Higher, Increasing The Probability Of Central Bank Interest Rate Hikes
Safe-Haven Dynamics – Gold and Silver prices are consolidating as investors assess the possibility of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks and the uncertain future of the current ceasefire. Both nations are scheduled for peace negotiations in Islamabad this week. However, the ceasefire came under threat on Monday following the seizure of a cargo vessel, raising doubts about whether talks will proceed as planned.
- Geopolitical Developments– The ongoing Middle East conflict has caused a significant disruption to energy supplies, pushing inflation risks higher and increasing the probability of central bank interest rate hikes — both of which create headwinds for gold prices. Adding to the uncertainty, President Donald Trump indicated he will not extend the truce if no agreement is reached before its deadline, and has stated that the Strait of Hormuz will stay closed until a deal is finalized.
- Macro-economic Signals – Markets are closely watching for clarity on whether the Islamabad talks will proceed, and if so, whether they result in a ceasefire extension or a broader peace agreement. Gold’s price direction will continue to be driven by Middle East outcomes and their downstream effects on energy costs and inflation expectations.
Technical Triggers
- Gold is trading in the range of $4750 (~ Rs 152,500) and $4850 (~Rs 155,000) from past few days. Either side breakout or breakdown will give 3-4% directional move.
- Silver is trading in the range of $78 (~ Rs 248,000) and $81 (~Rs 257,000) from past few days. Either side breakout or breakdown from this band will give 3-4% price swing.
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $4600/oz : $5000/oz : Rs 153,000/10 gm : Rs 160,000/10 gm |
| International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level Domestic Silver Support Level Domestic Silver Resistance Level | : $75/oz : $82/oz : Rs 235,000/kg : Rs 260,000/kg |
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