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Gold rebounds amid Mideast tensions, US Fed meeting in focus

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Gold prices climbed on Tuesday as escalating tensions between Israel and Iran boosted demand for the safe-haven asset. Investors are also closely watching the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy meeting this week. Gold traditionally serves as a refuge during times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty.

The uptick in gold prices follows reports of an Israeli strike on Iran’s state broadcaster and indications from the head of the U.N. nuclear watchdog of extensive damage to Iran’s largest uranium enrichment plant on Monday. These developments have heightened concerns in the Middle East, leading investors to seek the perceived security of gold.

Beyond geopolitical events, markets are also anticipating several central bank monetary policy decisions this week, with the Federal Reserve’s meeting drawing the most attention. The U.S. central bank is broadly expected to keep interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of its policy meeting on Wednesday.

Further underscoring gold’s appeal, holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, increased by 0.15% to 941.93 tonnes on Monday, up from 940.49 tonnes on Friday.

In other precious metals, spot silver saw a modest gain of 0.1% to reach $36.35 per ounce. Conversely, platinum declined by 0.3% to $1,242.03, and palladium eased 0.2% to $1,027.50.

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De Beers Group Reports H1 2026 Production Surge

The company reported a significant increase in production volume while maintaining its full-year production target of 21 to 26 million carats.

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De Beers Group today released its operational and sales performance update for the second quarter and first half of 2026. Driven by strong recovery efforts and strategic access to higher-grade ore bodies, the company reported a significant increase in production volume while maintaining its full-year production target of 21 to 26 million carats.

Despite market pressures stemming from broader macroeconomic volatility, the company continues to advance operational streamlining and cost-optimization initiatives to ensure long-term resilience.

Key Highlights & Operational Summary

  • Q2 Production Surge: Production jumped 88% year-on-year to 7.8 million carats in the second quarter, bringing total H1 output to 14.9 million carats (+46% YoY).
  • Volume Growth: Consolidated H1 sales volume expanded 13% to 12.4 million carats (total sales volume up 20% to 14.8 million carats).
  • Full-Year Guidance Reaffirmed: Full-year output remains targeted at 21–26 million carats, with second-half production planned to balance out via scheduled maintenance and a temporary operational pause at the Venetia mine.
  • Resilient High-Value Demand: While entry-level categories faced broader pricing shifts, pricing for higher-value natural diamonds remained firm, providing baseline support to the overall index.

Market Dynamics & Strategic Response

Trading conditions during the first six months of 2026 reflected ongoing global macroeconomic uncertainties and regional conflicts that weighed on general consumer sentiment. Additionally, lower-value natural categories experienced continued pressure from lab-grown alternatives.

In response, De Beers actively adjusted its sales strategies, utilizing its inventory mix to meet existing market demand. While lower-value inventory sales shifted the average realized price to $105 per carat for H1, the company noted that underlying value indices for premium, higher-grade natural goods remained stable throughout the period.

Outlook & Portfolio Optimization

Looking ahead to the second half of 2026, De Beers will align production output directly with global demand signals. The anticipated surge from H1 will be offset by:

  • The previously announced two-year operational pause at the Venetia mine.
  • Planned facility maintenance at the Orapa and Jwaneng operations in Botswana.

Anglo American continues to execute its operational transformation and strategic divestment plans for De Beers, ensuring capital discipline and long-term organizational value.

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