International News
Silver futures surge to an all-time high of ₹1,09,250 per kg
The global financial landscape often mirrors the geopolitical climate, and recent movements in the commodity markets provide a stark illustration. On June 17, 2025, silver futures on India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) surged to an unprecedented all-time high of ₹1,09,250 per kilogram. This remarkable 2.5% single-day jump, translating to a gain of ₹2,686 per kilogram, underscores a clear trend: escalating investor anxiety driven by the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran is fueling a robust demand for safe-haven assets.
The July 2025 silver futures contract opened with significant momentum, pushing past its previous close of ₹1,06,564 per kilogram to reach its intraday peak. This sharp uptick is directly attributable to the desire among investors to mitigate risk during periods of heightened uncertainty. In times of geopolitical turmoil, traditional safe havens like precious metals become particularly attractive, offering a perceived shield against the volatility of other asset classes. The protracted and intensifying hostilities in the Middle East have understandably created an environment where capital seeks refuge, and silver, alongside gold, has emerged as a prime beneficiary.
As the day progressed, silver futures continued to trade strongly, holding firmly above the ₹1,08,900 mark, reflecting sustained investor confidence in its role as a store of value. This surge is not merely a fleeting market anomaly but rather a significant indicator of the depth of concern permeating global financial circles. The conflict between Israel and Iran, with its potential for wider regional destabilization, serves as a powerful catalyst, directing capital flows towards assets historically considered impervious to economic and political shocks.
International News
Precious Metals Face Macro Headwinds Amid Persistent Inflation and Geopolitical Uncertainty: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Safe-Haven Dynamics
Gold faced downward pressure as the U.S. dollar strengthened and Treasury yields surged, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets. Easing inflation expectations have also diminished hopes for aggressive Federal Reserve policy easing, with markets currently pricing in only one possible rate cut later this year.
Geopolitical Developments
Geopolitical tensions escalated after Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) reportedly launched a joint operation with Lebanon’s Hezbollah targeting sites in Israel, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia.
Additionally, reports of attacks on two oil tankers in the northern Persian Gulf near Iraq and Kuwait heightened fears of supply disruptions, pushing crude oil prices higher by more than 6%.
Macro-Economic Factors
U.S. inflation data for February came largely in line with expectations but remains above the Federal Reserve’s target. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month, with the annual rate holding steady at 3.1%. Persistently elevated inflation continues to reduce the likelihood of near-term Fed rate cuts.
Technical Triggers
• Gold continues to maintain a bullish bias, with prices expected to move towards $5,250 (~ Rs.163,500) and $5,300 (~ Rs.165,000) in the near term. Strong support is seen around the $5,000 (~ ₹158,500) level, which is likely to act as a key buying zone on any corrective dips.
• After achieving the target of $90, Silver also remains firmly supported and is continuing its upward momentum, with the next upside target around $95 (~ Rs.285,000). On the downside, strong support is placed near $80 (~ Rs.260,000), suggesting that any short-term corrections could attract fresh buying interest.
| Metal | Market | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | International | $5000 / oz | $5300 / oz |
| Gold | Domestic | ₹158,500 / 10 gm | ₹165,000 / 10 gm |
| Silver | International | $80 / oz | $95 / oz |
| Silver | Domestic | ₹260,000 / kg | ₹285,000 / kg |
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