International News
Silver futures surge to an all-time high of ₹1,09,250 per kg
The global financial landscape often mirrors the geopolitical climate, and recent movements in the commodity markets provide a stark illustration. On June 17, 2025, silver futures on India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) surged to an unprecedented all-time high of ₹1,09,250 per kilogram. This remarkable 2.5% single-day jump, translating to a gain of ₹2,686 per kilogram, underscores a clear trend: escalating investor anxiety driven by the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran is fueling a robust demand for safe-haven assets.
The July 2025 silver futures contract opened with significant momentum, pushing past its previous close of ₹1,06,564 per kilogram to reach its intraday peak. This sharp uptick is directly attributable to the desire among investors to mitigate risk during periods of heightened uncertainty. In times of geopolitical turmoil, traditional safe havens like precious metals become particularly attractive, offering a perceived shield against the volatility of other asset classes. The protracted and intensifying hostilities in the Middle East have understandably created an environment where capital seeks refuge, and silver, alongside gold, has emerged as a prime beneficiary.
As the day progressed, silver futures continued to trade strongly, holding firmly above the ₹1,08,900 mark, reflecting sustained investor confidence in its role as a store of value. This surge is not merely a fleeting market anomaly but rather a significant indicator of the depth of concern permeating global financial circles. The conflict between Israel and Iran, with its potential for wider regional destabilization, serves as a powerful catalyst, directing capital flows towards assets historically considered impervious to economic and political shocks.
International News
Precious Metals Bounce Back As Iran Ceasefire Hopes Rise, But Fed Rate Fears Loom: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Gold Remains Under Short-term Pressure from Expectations of Fed Tightening and a Strong Dollar. However, Investor Positioning in Gold Looks Relatively Light After Months of ETF Outflows.
Price Movement – Gold has bounced back from its key support levels near $3960, and Silver has recovered from $55, after an Iranian official reportedly received a proposal for a 10-day ceasefire. The continuing US-Iran standoff has kept investors worried about energy-driven inflation and the possibility of further rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in an 83% chance of a US rate hike in December, up sharply from 73% just a week earlier, based on the CME FedWatch tool.
Geopolitical Tensions – Despite the Houthis announcing fresh military action, both Tehran and Washington appear keen to restart talks and stop the escalating attacks that have nearly destroyed a fragile interim agreement reached last month. A senior Iranian official told Reuters on Monday that mediators had proposed a 10-day ceasefire, aimed at rescuing the interim deal and eventually leading to a lasting peace agreement.
Macro-Economic Signals – Gold remains under short-term pressure from expectations of Fed tightening and a strong dollar. However, investor positioning in gold looks relatively light after months of ETF outflows, meaning further price drops may be limited. Strong physical demand, especially from China, along with continued central bank buying, is providing solid support to the gold market.
Technical Triggers
If Gold fails to hold above $4,000 (~Rs.1,41,000), it could slide further to $3,900 (~Rs.1,38,000). But if it manages to stay above $4,200, a fresh rally could take it toward $4,500 (~Rs.1,55,000).
For Silver, a strong move above $63 (~Rs.2,35,000) could push prices toward $70–71 (~Rs.2,51,000–2,55,000). On the other hand, a fall below $55 (~Rs.2,14,000) may drag it down to $50 (~Rs.2,00,000).
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $3900/oz : $4160/oz : Rs 137,000/10 gm : Rs 147,000/10 gm |
| International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level Domestic Silver Support Level Domestic Silver Resistance Level | : $55/oz : $63/oz : Rs 214,000/kg : Rs 235,000/kg |
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