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Safe-haven demand for precious metals, including silver,  weakened amid signs of easing global trade tensions

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Silver price struggles as the Trump administration to add several Chinese semiconductor firms to its export blacklist. Safe-haven demand for precious metals, including Silver, has weakened amid signs of easing global trade tensions. Silver’s downside could be capped as US Dollar softens following economic data that has heightened odds of Fed rate cuts.

Recently, the price of silver has been fluctuating, especially after news that the United States plans to ban exports to several Chinese semiconductor companies. This development, along with changing global trade relations and economic data from the United States, has made the silver market more unpredictable. In this essay, I will explain why silver prices are moving the way they are, what factors are influencing these changes, and what might happen next.

One of the main reasons silver prices are under pressure is because the Trump administration announced plans to add several Chinese chip companies to its export blacklist. Silver is an important material in electronics and chip manufacturing, so any news affecting the semiconductor industry can also impact silver prices. When the US restricts Chinese chip firms, it creates uncertainty about future demand for silver in electronics, which can make investors nervous and push prices down.

Another factor affecting silver is the recent improvement in US-China trade relations. Both countries have agreed to lower tariffs on each other’s goods, which is a big step towards reducing trade tensions. For example, the US plans to cut tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%. When trade tensions ease, investors feel more confident about the global economy and are less likely to buy safe-haven assets like silver. This has led to a decrease in demand for silver as a protective investment.

Despite these pressures, silver’s price drop might not be too severe. Recently, the US Dollar has weakened because of soft economic data, such as lower inflation and retail sales figures. A weaker dollar makes silver cheaper for international buyers, which can help support prices. Additionally, there is growing expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates soon. Lower interest rates usually make precious metals like silver more attractive, since they do not pay interest or dividends.

It is important to remember that silver is not just a safe-haven asset; it is also widely used in industry. For example, silver is essential for making electronics, solar panels, and electric vehicles. As China is a major manufacturing hub, any changes in its industrial activity can influence silver demand. If the trade truce allows Chinese factories to operate more smoothly, industrial demand for silver could increase, even if safe-haven demand falls.

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DiamondBuzz

Diamond Slump forces Debswana to diversify into copper, platinum and solar

Diamond-centric mining models is giving way to broader resource portfolios

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Debswana Diamond Company, the 50–50 joint venture between the Botswana government and De Beers, is moving to diversify into copper, platinum and renewable energy as the prolonged downturn in natural diamond demand pressures earnings and forces the industry to rethink its growth strategy.

The company’s board has approved plans to invest in a portfolio of non-diamond projects after revenue fell 46% in 2024, the latest available financial year, highlighting the scale of the downturn in the global diamond market.

The move signals a strategic shift toward commodities with stronger long-term demand fundamentals, particularly copper, which is central to global electrification and energy-transition infrastructure.

Debswana’s diversification reflects a broader industry pivot as diamond producers confront weak consumer demand, rising competition from lab-grown stones and elevated inventories across the supply chain.

The shift is also visible among smaller exploration companies. Botswana Diamonds recently rebranded as Botswana Minerals, signalling its own strategic focus on copper exploration rather than diamonds.

Together, these moves underscore a growing consensus across the sector: the era of diamond-centric mining models is giving way to broader resource portfolios anchored in energy-transition metals.

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