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Is it wise to buy gold this Akshaya Tritiya? :AUGMONT KNOWLEDGE SERIES

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Akshaya Tritiya, celebrated as an auspicious day to invest in gold, often sees a surge in gold purchases across India. But in 2025, with gold prices touching all-time highs, the big question for investors and buyers alike is: Is it wise to buy gold this Akshaya Tritiya?

Over the last 20 years, gold has delivered approx.15% CAGR, which is quite robust, especially in comparison with many fixed-income instruments and even some equity segments during market volatility. Gold has also acted as a hedge against inflation, currency depreciation, and geopolitical uncertainties.

 

Why Gold Has Performed Well

Several factors have supported gold prices in recent years:

  • Geopolitical tensions: Russia-Ukraine war, Israel-Palestine unrest, and US-China trade concerns.
  • Inflation worries: Gold is a traditional inflation hedge.
  • Global economic uncertainty: Fears of a recession and a weak global economic outlook.
  • Central bank buying: Many countries, including India and China, have increased gold reserves.
  • Currency depreciation: The weakening of the Indian Rupee against the US Dollar added to local gold price inflation.

Why You Should Consider Buying

  • Tradition with benefits: Buying gold on Akshaya Tritiya is culturally symbolic and has proven profitable historically.
  • Diversification: Gold acts as a portfolio stabilizer, especially during market downturns.
  • Returns remain promising: With global uncertainties continuing and rate cuts expected in the US, gold may remain supported in the near term.
  • Demand for digital and investment-grade gold is rising: More buyers are shifting toward efficient, value-oriented gold investments.

Caution Due to High Prices

  • Gold prices are near historical highs (₹96,000 per 10 grams), so bulk buying may not be advisable.
  • A correction could occur if:
    • US-China tensions ease.
    • Interest rates rise unexpectedly.
    • Investors shift their focus back to risk assets like equities.

Smart Buying Strategy for 2025

Buy with a measured and strategic approach:

  1. Avoid large lump sum purchases: Instead, opt for staggered buying or SIPs in gold digital gold or ETFs.
  2. Use Akshaya Tritiya as an entry point: Start small with Augmont Digital Gold or gold mutual funds.
  3. Buy coins or smaller jewellery pieces: Avoid heavy making charges; focus on purity and resale value.
  4. Think long term: If you’re buying gold as an asset, not just a purchase, stay invested for 3–5 years.

Final Word

Akshaya Tritiya 2025 presents an opportunity to align tradition with smart investing. While prices are high, gold’s long-term track record, safe-haven status, and cultural relevance make it a viable addition to your portfolio. Just remember to balance emotional purchases with financial prudence—and consider buying in forms that add both value and flexibility.

In short: Yes, buy gold—but buy smart.

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National News

WGC India Gold Market Update: Import Tightening

Part Of A Broader Push To Conserve Foreign Exchange Reserves Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty and Mounting Pressure On The INR

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Highlights 

  • Gold import duty was raised sharply by 9%– from 6% to 15%, the steepest increase on record – alongside broader regulatory tightening
  • Domestic gold prices have not yet fully reflected the duty hike amid weak demand and ample supply; local markets are currently in deep discount from the landed price
  • Past trends indicate that higher duty increases unofficial inflows, although official imports remain relatively resilient
  • Gold demand is expected to moderate in 2026, with jewellery and bar and coin demand projected to decline by 50–60t (~10% y/y) on account of the import duty hike.

Policy actions on gold imports

Since early April, the government has adopted a series of measures aimed at moderating gold imports. These have been part of a broader push to conserve foreign exchange reserves amid geopolitical uncertainty and mounting pressure on the INR, which has depreciated by more than 7% y-t-d. These measures include price-based actions, administrative and regulatory tightening, and consumer-directed messaging. While noteworthy, they are not unprecedented; gold is among the top five imports for India, accounting for 8% of the country’s merchandise imports in 2025, and similar measures have been utilised in the past.

On the price front, the gold import duty was raised sharply from 6% to 15%, making it the single largest increase on record and fully reversing the duty cut of July 2024. Rules were also tightened for gold imports linked to exports (under the advance authorisation scheme), and the Prime Minister has directly appealed to consumers, urging them to avoid buying gold for a year.

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