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Gudi Padwa jewellery sales flat; demand for gold coins surges

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 Gold prices have surged to nearly Rs 90,000 per 10 grams (excluding GST) in the physical market, leading to a noticeable decline in jewellery sales in Maharashtra/Goa during Gudi Padwa, a festival traditionally associated with gold purchases. Despite this, demand for gold coins as an investment remains strong, as consumers anticipate further price appreciation. Mumbai’s largest gold hub has observed a shift in consumer behavior toward gold coins and bars. Traders said  that buyers are purchasing gold coins with the expectation of future price increases.

As of Gudi Padwa, gold prices have reached nearly Rs 90,000 per 10 grams, making gold jewellery significantly more expensive. Higher prices have deterred traditional jewellery buyers, shifting demand towards investment-oriented purchases, such as gold coins. Industry experts anticipate that gold prices may continue to rise, reinforcing gold’s status as a long-term store of value.

Equal demand was observed between gold jewellery and investment-grade coins. Retailers introduced discounts and exchange offers, but high prices still impacted sales volume.Tier-2 cities experienced similar trends, with more gold coin buyers than jewellery shoppers. Lightweight jewellery, silver accessories, and gold-plated ornaments saw higher traction compared to heavy gold jewellery.

Global trade tensions and potential U.S. Fed rate cuts are boosting gold’s attractiveness as an investment. Investors are shifting towards gold due to its historical role as a hedge against inflation and economic instability The Indian Rupee’s performance against the U.S. Dollar is also a contributing factor to local gold price fluctuations.

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MCX Gold and Silver Futures Slip On Geopolitical Tensions & Inflation Fears

Traders Are Expected To Remain Cautious, Keeping A Close Eye On Upcoming US Economic Indicators Scheduled For Release Later This Week

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Domestic and international precious metals markets experienced downward pressure on Tuesday morning as fresh US military actions in the Middle East reignited global inflation anxieties, overshadowing ongoing diplomatic negotiations.

MCX Silver Futures (July 2026 Delivery): Dropped by Rs. 3,731 (1.3%) to Rs. 2,72,985 per kilogram. MCX Gold Futures (June 2026 Delivery): Slipped by Rs. 547 to Rs. 1,58,534 per 10 grams. Global Spot Gold: Declined 0.7% to $4,537.54 per ounce.

The market reversal follows an announcement by the US Central Command confirming targeted strikes against missile launch positions and mine-deploying vessels in southern Iran. The sudden military escalation immediately disrupted recent optimism surrounding a potential US-Iran peace framework being brokered by Qatari mediators in Doha.

In response to the strikes, crude oil prices surged over 2%. The rebound in oil prices has fueled investor concerns over energy-driven, sticky inflation, reinforcing expectations that global central banks—including the US Federal Reserve—will maintain elevated interest rates for a prolonged period. While bullion is traditionally a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, strengthening the US dollar and lowering the appeal of gold.

Traders are expected to remain cautious, keeping a close eye on upcoming US economic indicators scheduled for release later this week, including GDP figures and Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data, for definitive policy directions.

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