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Gudi Padwa jewellery sales flat; demand for gold coins surges

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 Gold prices have surged to nearly Rs 90,000 per 10 grams (excluding GST) in the physical market, leading to a noticeable decline in jewellery sales in Maharashtra/Goa during Gudi Padwa, a festival traditionally associated with gold purchases. Despite this, demand for gold coins as an investment remains strong, as consumers anticipate further price appreciation. Mumbai’s largest gold hub has observed a shift in consumer behavior toward gold coins and bars. Traders said  that buyers are purchasing gold coins with the expectation of future price increases.

As of Gudi Padwa, gold prices have reached nearly Rs 90,000 per 10 grams, making gold jewellery significantly more expensive. Higher prices have deterred traditional jewellery buyers, shifting demand towards investment-oriented purchases, such as gold coins. Industry experts anticipate that gold prices may continue to rise, reinforcing gold’s status as a long-term store of value.

Equal demand was observed between gold jewellery and investment-grade coins. Retailers introduced discounts and exchange offers, but high prices still impacted sales volume.Tier-2 cities experienced similar trends, with more gold coin buyers than jewellery shoppers. Lightweight jewellery, silver accessories, and gold-plated ornaments saw higher traction compared to heavy gold jewellery.

Global trade tensions and potential U.S. Fed rate cuts are boosting gold’s attractiveness as an investment. Investors are shifting towards gold due to its historical role as a hedge against inflation and economic instability The Indian Rupee’s performance against the U.S. Dollar is also a contributing factor to local gold price fluctuations.

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Jewellery Stocks Under Pressure As Gold-Buying Concerns Trigger Fresh Selling

The Weakness In Jewellery Stocks Comes Against A Challenging Backdrop For Indian Equities. The Sensex and Nifty Both Fell On Wednesday As Surging Crude Prices and Renewed US-Iran Tensions Intensified Inflation and Interest-Rate Concerns

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Major listed jewellery stocks came under renewed selling pressure, with investors trimming exposure to the sector amid concerns over high gold prices, macroeconomic uncertainty and the potential impact of repeated calls for restraint on non-essential gold purchases.

The selling comes even as the underlying jewellery business remains relatively resilient, highlighting a growing disconnect between strong operating performance and near-term stock-market sentiment.

Kalyan Jewellers India emerged as one of the biggest casualties. The stock came under sharp pressure, falling as much as around 4–7% intraday in recent sessions. The correction is notable because the company reported a 46% year-on-year increase in consolidated Q1 FY27 revenue to ₹10,588.9 crore, while EBITDA rose 25% and PAT increased 32%. 

The stock’s weakness underscores the market’s focus on margins and sustainability of growth rather than headline revenue expansion. Kalyan’s Q1 gross margin declined to 11.9% from 13.9% a year earlier, with a higher contribution from old-gold exchange transactions also weighing on margins. 

Sky Gold also witnessed heavy selling, falling around 5–6% in Wednesday’s trade. The stock had delivered a strong run earlier in 2026, making it particularly vulnerable to profit-taking as investors reassess valuations amid broader weakness in gold-linked counters. 

Titan Company was also lower. The stock had closed at Rs 5,035 on September 1, down 1.58%, while broader jewellery counters remained under pressure. 

Thangamayil Jewellery declined around 1.8%, continuing the sector-wide bout of profit-taking. Despite the recent weakness, the stock remains one of the strongest performers in the sector in 2026, having gained substantially earlier in the year. 

PC Jeweller and Augmont Enterprises also faced selling pressure, while Senco Gold bucked the broader trend. Senco rose 1.19%, making it one of the few major jewellery counters to finish in positive territory. 

Macro fears add to sector pressure

The weakness in jewellery stocks comes against a challenging backdrop for Indian equities. The Sensex and Nifty both fell on Wednesday as surging crude prices and renewed US-Iran tensions intensified inflation and interest-rate concerns. 

Gold itself also weakened, with international prices falling to a more than three-week low as a stronger dollar and renewed inflation fears raised expectations of tighter US monetary policy. 

The sector has additionally been sensitive to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent appeal to consumers to avoid non-essential gold purchases, a message that investors fear could influence discretionary jewellery demand. Jewellery stocks including Kalyan, Titan and others had already reacted sharply to the earlier appeal. 

Strong business, weak stocks?

The latest sell-off raises an important question for the jewellery industry: Is the market pricing in a demand slowdown that is yet to appear in operating numbers?

Industry fundamentals remain more nuanced. Indian jewellery consumption continues to be supported by weddings, festivals, organised retail expansion and consumers shifting towards lighter, value-oriented designs. Recent industry commentary has also pointed to resilience in jewellery sales despite lower physical gold volumes. 

The current market action therefore appears to reflect a combination of profit booking, elevated valuations, gold-price volatility, macroeconomic risk and concerns over future discretionary consumption, rather than a broad-based collapse in jewellery demand.

For the jewellery sector, the message from Dalal Street is clear: strong revenue growth is no longer enough. Investors are increasingly looking for margin quality, sustainable volume growth and visibility on consumer demand before rewarding jewellery stocks with higher valuations.

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