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Gudi Padwa jewellery sales flat; demand for gold coins surges

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 Gold prices have surged to nearly Rs 90,000 per 10 grams (excluding GST) in the physical market, leading to a noticeable decline in jewellery sales in Maharashtra/Goa during Gudi Padwa, a festival traditionally associated with gold purchases. Despite this, demand for gold coins as an investment remains strong, as consumers anticipate further price appreciation. Mumbai’s largest gold hub has observed a shift in consumer behavior toward gold coins and bars. Traders said  that buyers are purchasing gold coins with the expectation of future price increases.

As of Gudi Padwa, gold prices have reached nearly Rs 90,000 per 10 grams, making gold jewellery significantly more expensive. Higher prices have deterred traditional jewellery buyers, shifting demand towards investment-oriented purchases, such as gold coins. Industry experts anticipate that gold prices may continue to rise, reinforcing gold’s status as a long-term store of value.

Equal demand was observed between gold jewellery and investment-grade coins. Retailers introduced discounts and exchange offers, but high prices still impacted sales volume.Tier-2 cities experienced similar trends, with more gold coin buyers than jewellery shoppers. Lightweight jewellery, silver accessories, and gold-plated ornaments saw higher traction compared to heavy gold jewellery.

Global trade tensions and potential U.S. Fed rate cuts are boosting gold’s attractiveness as an investment. Investors are shifting towards gold due to its historical role as a hedge against inflation and economic instability The Indian Rupee’s performance against the U.S. Dollar is also a contributing factor to local gold price fluctuations.

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Global and Domestic Precious Metals Trading Under Pressure 

​The Primary Catalyst Driving This Downturn Is The Surging Cost Of Crude Oil, Which Is Escalating Energy Crisis Fears.

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Global and domestic precious metals are trading under pressure as renewed upside momentum in crude oil prices keeps broader inflationary risks elevated.  

MCX gold touched an intraday low of Rs 1,44,467 per 10 grams and is down by 1%. Meanwhile, MCX silver price crashed sharply by over 2% to hit an intraday low of Rs 2,044,460 per 1Kg 

In international spot markets, gold is down 1.0% and struggling to hold $4,112 per ounce, while spot silver experienced a sharp sell-off of 2.2%, trading around $56.60 per ounce.   

​The primary catalyst driving this downturn is the surging cost of crude oil, which is escalating energy crisis fears. High energy costs reinforce sticky inflation, prompting expectations that global central banks will maintain restrictive monetary stances for longer. 

Because holding non-yielding metals becomes more expensive when interest rates remain elevated, both gold and silver are seeing selling pressure, with silver facing additional headwinds due to concerns surrounding industrial demand.   

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