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Gudi Padwa jewellery sales flat; demand for gold coins surges

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 Gold prices have surged to nearly Rs 90,000 per 10 grams (excluding GST) in the physical market, leading to a noticeable decline in jewellery sales in Maharashtra/Goa during Gudi Padwa, a festival traditionally associated with gold purchases. Despite this, demand for gold coins as an investment remains strong, as consumers anticipate further price appreciation. Mumbai’s largest gold hub has observed a shift in consumer behavior toward gold coins and bars. Traders said  that buyers are purchasing gold coins with the expectation of future price increases.

As of Gudi Padwa, gold prices have reached nearly Rs 90,000 per 10 grams, making gold jewellery significantly more expensive. Higher prices have deterred traditional jewellery buyers, shifting demand towards investment-oriented purchases, such as gold coins. Industry experts anticipate that gold prices may continue to rise, reinforcing gold’s status as a long-term store of value.

Equal demand was observed between gold jewellery and investment-grade coins. Retailers introduced discounts and exchange offers, but high prices still impacted sales volume.Tier-2 cities experienced similar trends, with more gold coin buyers than jewellery shoppers. Lightweight jewellery, silver accessories, and gold-plated ornaments saw higher traction compared to heavy gold jewellery.

Global trade tensions and potential U.S. Fed rate cuts are boosting gold’s attractiveness as an investment. Investors are shifting towards gold due to its historical role as a hedge against inflation and economic instability The Indian Rupee’s performance against the U.S. Dollar is also a contributing factor to local gold price fluctuations.

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National News

MCX gold rate falls below Rs.1.61 lakh, silver slips 1% on strong dollar

Rising US Dollar Index and higher US 10‑Year Treasury Yield weigh on bullion as Multi Commodity Exchange gold dips below ₹1.61 lakh and silver declines despite ongoing US–Iran tensions.

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Gold and silver prices in India opened lower on Monday, following weakness in international bullion prices as a stronger dollar weighed on the prices of precious metals.

MCX gold rate today for April futures contracts opened 0.6% lower at Rs. 1,60,651 per 10 grams as against its previous close of Rs.1,61,634 level. MCX silver price for May futures contracts opened 0.29% lower at Rs. 2,67,497 per kilogram as against its previous close of Rs. 2,68,285 level. Selling pressure intensified and MCX gold and MCX silver prices were trading over 1%3.1 Dollar Strength

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose to 99.695, hovering near a three-month high reached the prior week. Since bullion is priced in dollars globally, a stronger greenback makes gold and silver more expensive in local currencies, suppressing international demand and exerting downward pressure on prices.

US 10-year Treasury yields climbed to a near one-month high, elevating the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold. Investors rotating into higher-yielding fixed-income instruments contributed to the sell-off in precious metals.

A sharp rise in crude oil prices has reignited inflation concerns, causing markets to revise downward their expectations for near-term interest rate reductions by the US Federal Reserve. Delayed rate-cut prospects are bearish for gold, which typically benefits from lower real interest rate environments.

The ongoing US-Iran conflict in the Middle East escalated further during the reporting period. Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his father Ali Khamenei as supreme leader, adding an additional layer of geopolitical uncertainty. Paradoxically, while geopolitical risks are traditionally positive for safe-haven assets like gold, the stronger dollar and rate-cut repricing dominated market sentiment, offsetting any safe-haven premium.

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