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Gold and Silver Prices Set to Surge in 2025- Gold Could Reach Rs 90000

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Gold prices in India surged by 21% in 2024, driven by central bank policies, geopolitical risks, and strong global demand. As of January 1, 2025, gold prices were Rs 78,000 per 10 grams for 24K, with predictions pointing towards a rise to Rs 85,000-90,000 in 2025. While gold outperformed other commodities in 2024, experts recommend a “buy-on-dips” strategy for investors, as prices may consolidate before further gains. Geopolitical tensions and central bank actions will continue to support the demand for gold and silver.

Silver also saw impressive gains in 2024, with prices expected to reach Rs 1.1-1.25 lakh per kg, fueled by industrial and investment demand. Experts like Manav Modi from Motilal Oswal Financial Services maintain a positive outlook for both metals in the medium to long term, forecasting potential price growth even amid market fluctuations. However, while Rs 1 lakh for gold is considered optimistic, extreme economic conditions could push it towards that mark.

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National News

Gold Exchange Schemes See Surge In Demand

Nearly 25% Of All Jewelry Buyers Now Opt For Exchange Programs Instead Of Outright Cash Purchases

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In 2026, India’s retail gold sector is witnessing a significant paradigm shift. Driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors and strategic government appeals, gold exchange schemes have emerged as a dominant trend. Nearly 25% of all jewelry buyers now opt for exchange programs instead of outright cash purchases, marking a substantial increase from previous years.

Key Drivers of the Exchange Trend

1. Record-High Gold Prices

The primary economic catalyst for this shift is the unprecedented surge in gold prices. As fresh gold becomes increasingly expensive, consumers are unlocking the value stored in their existing assets rather than stretching their liquid capital to make new purchases.

2. Government Advocacy and Import Reduction

The trend is heavily backed by national policy interests. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has actively appealed to the public to utilize old jewelry for new purchases rather than buying fresh gold. The strategic goal behind this initiative is to curb India’s massive gold imports, thereby strengthening the current account deficit and stabilizing the national economy.

3. Aggressive Jeweler Incentives

Jewelers have rapidly adapted to consumer demand and government alignment by lowering the barriers to entry for exchanges.

 Two major policy shifts are driving this retail adoption:

  • Zero-Deduction Exchange Schemes: Traditional penalties and melting losses that previously deterred consumers from exchanging gold are being eliminated.
  • Relaxed Documentation & Purity Standards: Retailers are now accepting old gold sourced from any jeweler starting at a purity level as low as 9KT, even without original purchase bills.

Market Implications

The 25% Threshold: The fact that a quarter of all jewelry buyers are now choosing exchange programs signifies that gold recycling is no longer a niche or distress-driven activity; it has entered the mainstream consumer behavior matrix.

  • For Consumers: This shift provides a highly liquid, cost-effective way to upgrade designs and maintain asset value without facing heavy financial hits or bureaucratic hurdles (like tracking down decades-old receipts).
  • For the Economy: By circulating existing domestic gold back into the supply chain, India reduces its reliance on international bullion markets, directly answering the government’s call for macroeconomic resilience.
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