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De Beers Projects First-Half Loss Amid Inventory Sell-Off and Market Headwinds

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De Beers is expected to post a loss for the first half of 2025, as parent company Anglo American cites “stock rebalancing initiatives” that led to the sale of rough diamonds at reduced margins. The move aimed to offload out-of-balance inventory, sold at lower prices than originally purchased, according to the group’s latest production report.

“Accordingly, we expect to report negative underlying EBITDA for De Beers in the first half of 2025,” Anglo American stated.

Consolidated rough-diamond sales (excluding joint ventures) rose 14% year-on-year to $1.19 billion in Q2, despite a 7% drop in volume to 6.8 million carats. Total sales, including joint ventures, slipped 3% to 7.6 million carats. The company attributed the performance to targeted sales efforts during the quarter.

These “stock rebalancing” transactions — effectively quiet, low-margin deals with sight-holders — were confirmed by a De Beers spokesperson. “These transactions incurred lower margins as they were purchased in a higher price environment than they were sold at,” the spokesperson told.

Despite lower-margin deals, the average consolidated price per carat rose 23% year-on-year to $174 in Q2, reflecting strong demand for higher-value stones. However, De Beers’ rough-price index (which excludes the discounted inventory sales) dropped 13%, largely due to price reductions implemented at its December 2024 sight.

For the full first half of 2025, consolidated rough-diamond sales fell 13% to $1.71 billion. Volume dropped 8% to 11 million carats (consolidated), and 3% to 12.3 million carats overall. The average price per carat fell 5% to $155, with a 14% decrease in the price index offset partially by higher-value goods sold in Q2.

Anglo American noted continued weakness in rough-diamond trading during the first half of the year. While sentiment improved toward the end of Q1, the U.S. tariff announcement in April stalled polished-diamond activity.

Consumer demand for diamond jewelry remained “broadly stable,” contrasting with the strained conditions in the midstream.

In response to market pressures, De Beers slashed its Q2 production by 36% year-on-year to 4.1 million carats. First-half output declined 23% to 10.2 million carats. Despite this, the company has maintained its full-year 2025 production forecast at 20 to 23 million carats but said it will “respond accordingly” as conditions evolve.

These developments come amid Anglo American’s ongoing efforts to sell De Beers. On Wednesday, Botswana’s Minister of Minerals and Energy, Bogolo Kenewendo, stated the country’s intent to increase its ownership stake, seeking “full control over this strategic national asset and the entire value chain, including marketing.”

“A formal process for the sale of De Beers is advancing, despite the current challenging market conditions,” Anglo American confirmed.

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International News

Precious Metals at the Crossroads – Geopolitics, Inflation, and Key Technical Levels AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Crisis Disrupting Energy Supplies, Pushing Inflation Risks Higher, Increasing The Probability Of Central Bank Interest Rate Hikes

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Safe-Haven Dynamics – Gold and Silver prices are consolidating as investors assess the possibility of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks and the uncertain future of the current ceasefire. Both nations are scheduled for peace negotiations in Islamabad this week. However, the ceasefire came under threat on Monday following the seizure of a cargo vessel, raising doubts about whether talks will proceed as planned.

  • Geopolitical Developments– The ongoing Middle East conflict has caused a significant disruption to energy supplies, pushing inflation risks higher and increasing the probability of central bank interest rate hikes — both of which create headwinds for gold prices. Adding to the uncertainty, President Donald Trump indicated he will not extend the truce if no agreement is reached before its deadline, and has stated that the Strait of Hormuz will stay closed until a deal is finalized.
  • Macro-economic Signals – Markets are closely watching for clarity on whether the Islamabad talks will proceed, and if so, whether they result in a ceasefire extension or a broader peace agreement. Gold’s price direction will continue to be driven by Middle East outcomes and their downstream effects on energy costs and inflation expectations.

Technical Triggers

  • Gold is trading in the range of $4750 (~ Rs 152,500) and $4850 (~Rs 155,000) from past few days. Either side breakout or breakdown will give 3-4% directional move.
  • Silver is trading in the range of $78 (~ Rs 248,000) and $81 (~Rs 257,000) from past few days. Either side breakout or breakdown from this band will give 3-4% price swing.

Support and Resistance

International Gold Support Level
International Gold Resistance Level 
Domestic Gold Support Level
Domestic Gold Resistance Level
: $4600/oz
: $5000/oz
: Rs 153,000/10 gm
: Rs 160,000/10 gm
International Silver Support Level
International Silver Resistance Level 
Domestic Silver Support Level
Domestic Silver Resistance Level
: $75/oz
: $82/oz 
: Rs 235,000/kg
: Rs 260,000/kg  
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