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WGC India gold market update: Investment upheld amid seasonal lull

Global factors supported prices early in June, but investor risk appetite limited gold’s rally

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Gold prices lost momentum toward the end of June, closing the month with modest gains of 0.3% at US$3,287/oz. Earlier in the month, prices were supported by a weaker dollar, heightened geopolitical tensions, softer US Treasury yields, and increased inflows into gold ETFs. However, growing risk-on sentiment among investors capped any further upside.

Leading listed gems and jewellery companies delivered a strong performance in the April–June quarter, reporting a y/y revenue growth between 18% and 31%. This growth was largely price-led even as volumes remained flat or moderated. A ~32% y/y rise in gold prices during the quarter and key festivals  and wedding demand during April-May boosted sales revenue.

Festive season is anticipated to drive a recovery in jewellery demand from mid-August, while investment buying is expected to remain steady.

Highlights:

  • Seasonal weakness weighs on jewellery sales; investment buying gains ground
  • Gold extends gains in July, remains top performer with y-t-d gains of 28%.
  • Listed jewellers post double-digit revenue growth in April -June quarter despite flat or lower volumes
  • Gold ETFs record second-highest monthly inflows in June
  • After a two-month pause, RBI makes a modest gold purchase in June
  • Gold imports drop to a 14-month low in June.

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National News

Gold & Precious Metals – A future outlook

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The session saw a power packed panel of experts that comprisedSurendra Mehta, National Secretary-  IBJA,Ranjith Singh,Head of Business Development, IIBX, Shweta Dhanak, Director – Vijay Exports,S Thirupathi Rajan, MD Goldsmith Academy, Shivanshu Mehta, SVP & Head Bullion-MCX.The session was moderated by Chirag Seth, Principal Consultant, Metals Focus.

Some salient points made by the panelists:

  • Gold prices are not linked to consumer demand. They are linked to central bank buying and ETFs
  • Till the banking system doesn’t collapse, gold price will continue to rise
  • Jewellers were advised to use a mix of futures and options for risk mitigation
  • Given the current situation manufacturers selling on credit or unfavorable deals could be fatal flaw for business.
  • Precious metals forecast: Surendra Mehta said he sees gold in 2026 in $4900-5100 range and silver in $90-105.Looking further he said by 2030-2035 gold could touch $18000- 20000 and silver could reach $500. Chirag Seth predicted silver touching $105 this year and gold moving in the $ 5200- $ 5500.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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