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WGC India gold market update: Investment upheld amid seasonal lull

Global factors supported prices early in June, but investor risk appetite limited gold’s rally

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Gold prices lost momentum toward the end of June, closing the month with modest gains of 0.3% at US$3,287/oz. Earlier in the month, prices were supported by a weaker dollar, heightened geopolitical tensions, softer US Treasury yields, and increased inflows into gold ETFs. However, growing risk-on sentiment among investors capped any further upside.

Leading listed gems and jewellery companies delivered a strong performance in the April–June quarter, reporting a y/y revenue growth between 18% and 31%. This growth was largely price-led even as volumes remained flat or moderated. A ~32% y/y rise in gold prices during the quarter and key festivals  and wedding demand during April-May boosted sales revenue.

Festive season is anticipated to drive a recovery in jewellery demand from mid-August, while investment buying is expected to remain steady.

Highlights:

  • Seasonal weakness weighs on jewellery sales; investment buying gains ground
  • Gold extends gains in July, remains top performer with y-t-d gains of 28%.
  • Listed jewellers post double-digit revenue growth in April -June quarter despite flat or lower volumes
  • Gold ETFs record second-highest monthly inflows in June
  • After a two-month pause, RBI makes a modest gold purchase in June
  • Gold imports drop to a 14-month low in June.

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National News

Gold Exchange Schemes See Surge In Demand

Nearly 25% Of All Jewelry Buyers Now Opt For Exchange Programs Instead Of Outright Cash Purchases

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In 2026, India’s retail gold sector is witnessing a significant paradigm shift. Driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors and strategic government appeals, gold exchange schemes have emerged as a dominant trend. Nearly 25% of all jewelry buyers now opt for exchange programs instead of outright cash purchases, marking a substantial increase from previous years.

Key Drivers of the Exchange Trend

1. Record-High Gold Prices

The primary economic catalyst for this shift is the unprecedented surge in gold prices. As fresh gold becomes increasingly expensive, consumers are unlocking the value stored in their existing assets rather than stretching their liquid capital to make new purchases.

2. Government Advocacy and Import Reduction

The trend is heavily backed by national policy interests. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has actively appealed to the public to utilize old jewelry for new purchases rather than buying fresh gold. The strategic goal behind this initiative is to curb India’s massive gold imports, thereby strengthening the current account deficit and stabilizing the national economy.

3. Aggressive Jeweler Incentives

Jewelers have rapidly adapted to consumer demand and government alignment by lowering the barriers to entry for exchanges.

 Two major policy shifts are driving this retail adoption:

  • Zero-Deduction Exchange Schemes: Traditional penalties and melting losses that previously deterred consumers from exchanging gold are being eliminated.
  • Relaxed Documentation & Purity Standards: Retailers are now accepting old gold sourced from any jeweler starting at a purity level as low as 9KT, even without original purchase bills.

Market Implications

The 25% Threshold: The fact that a quarter of all jewelry buyers are now choosing exchange programs signifies that gold recycling is no longer a niche or distress-driven activity; it has entered the mainstream consumer behavior matrix.

  • For Consumers: This shift provides a highly liquid, cost-effective way to upgrade designs and maintain asset value without facing heavy financial hits or bureaucratic hurdles (like tracking down decades-old receipts).
  • For the Economy: By circulating existing domestic gold back into the supply chain, India reduces its reliance on international bullion markets, directly answering the government’s call for macroeconomic resilience.
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