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Silver prices to rise beyond $40/oz: Citigroup

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Citigroup analysts expect silver prices to rise beyond $40 per ounce in the coming months as physical supplies tighten and investment demand grows. Analysts at Citigroup increased their three-month silver price forecast from $38 to $40 in a report recently. The gold-silver ratio has been flashing a breakout signal in silver prices.

Silver currently trades at $38, up over 3% in the last 1 month. With a 24% increase in the past year and a 30% year-to-date increase, silver prices have risen to their highest level in over 13 years. Silver prices will rise by 5% to $40 over the short term, and by 13% to $43 over the next 6-12 months, according to Citi projections.

according to Citi analysts, it is ‘not just a catch-up trade to gold,’ but also reflects solid silver fundamentals. Silver, a crucial industrial commodity and monetary asset, is playing an increasingly significant role in solar power, electronics, and electrification, accounting for over half of global demand.

Citi is not as bullish on gold’s future, which has risen by more than 27% in 2025 due to robust central bank purchases and exchange-traded fund inflows.Back in June, Citibank predicted that following a record-breaking gain, the price of gold is expected to reverse shortly and in the upcoming quarters, gold will drop below $3,000.

In India, silver traded at ₹119 per gram and ₹1,19,000 per kilogram. On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), silver touched a record high of ₹1,15,136 per kg in the previous session.

Globally, spot silver edged up 0.3% to $38.24 per ounce after hitting its highest level since September 2011 on Monday (July 14).

Weakness in the rupee also kept domestic prices elevated. If the rupee slides further against the dollar while global prices stay stable, silver will get more expensive for Indian buyers.

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International News

Global Bullion Markets Experience Downturn As US Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged

Market Analysts Anticipate Continued Volatility In Precious Metals As Traders Digest The Fed’s Stance On Monetary Policy and Its Implications For Future Rate Trajectories

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Global bullion markets experienced a downturn on Thursday as spot gold and silver prices each fell by nearly 1% following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s overnight decision to keep key interest rates unchanged. Domestic gold and silver prices in India are expected to reflect this global weakness throughout today’s trading session.

ParameterDetails
Gold (MCX) Futures~₹1,43,600.00 – ₹1,43,724.00 per 10 grams
Silver (MCX) Futures~₹1,94,450.00 per kg
Key Contract BenchmarkDecember 2026 Gold Futures are hovering near ₹1,42,324 – ₹1,43,700 levels.
Spot GoldDown ~1%, struggling around $4,044/oz.
Spot SilverDown ~1%, trading below $53.50/oz.
U.S. Fed Policy RateUnchanged at 3.75% – 4.00%.

In international markets, spot gold tumbled nearly 1% to trade near $4,044 per ounce, while spot silver dropped 1% to fall below $53.50 per ounce.

The market reaction follows the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where policymakers voted to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.75% to 4.00% (3-3/4 to 4 percent).

In an official statement, the FOMC reaffirmed its commitment to supporting its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability while continuing its policy of maintaining ample reserves within the banking system.

​Market analysts anticipate continued volatility in precious metals as traders digest the Fed’s stance on monetary policy and its implications for future rate trajectories.

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