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 Precious Metals surges on mounting geopolitical and trade tensions AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Investors’ reactions to rising trade and geopolitical tensions caused gold to jump nearly 3% and silver to rise 5%. To further sour relations with trading partners, US President Donald Trump threatened to double tariffs on steel and aluminium from 25% to 50% beginning Wednesday.
  • At the same time, tensions between Beijing and Washington grew as Trump accused China of breaking a trade agreement with the US. China responded with accusations of its own, further escalating trade uncertainty worldwide. According to the White House, President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are expected to meet later this week, and markets are now anticipating their possible meeting.
  • In the meantime, a Ukrainian drone strike that allegedly destroyed more than 40 Russian aircraft sparked a barrage of missile and drone attacks from Moscow, intensifying the war between Russia and Ukraine. Monday’s negotiations in Istanbul concluded after the two parties met for just over an hour without moving much forward toward a deal.

Technical Triggers  

  • Gold prices have broken the range of $3275(~Rs 95000) and $3375(~Rs 96400) on the upside. If this positive momentum continues, we are likely to see the price rise towards $3450 (~Rs 99000).
  • Silver prices ahave broken the one month range of $32.5(~Rs 96000) and $34(~Rs 99000), next resistance is $35 (~Rs 101,500).

Support and Resistance

MetalMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3275/oz$3450/oz
Indian₹95,000/10 gm₹99,000/10 gm
SilverInternational$32.5/oz$35/oz
Indian₹96,000/kg₹1,01,500/kg
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International News

Precious Metals zoom ato record high ahead of FOMC meet AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Around $3728 (~Rs 110,300) for gold futures and $43.23 (~Rs 129,7000) for silver, both markets were trading close to a record high ahead of the US FED’s two-day policy meeting that begins today.
  • The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, the first since December, and markets are almost certain that the easing cycle will continue into the following year. Recap: Despite the president’s dismissal, the federal appeals court permits Lisa Cook to remain as a Fed gov and take part in the FOMC meeting beginning tomorrow.
  • For clues about the direction of future policy, all eyes will be on the Fed’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, which includes the much-awaited dot plot, and Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. Regarding the data, reports on industrial production and retail sales that are anticipated later today will be closely examined to gain more understanding of how strong the economy is.

Technical Triggers 

  • Gold Dec Futures has given a breakout above $3700 (~Rs 110,000), the next target would be $3800 (~Rs 113,500). If prices top out and fall below $3650 (~Rs 108,500), then only we could see further profit booking.
  • Silver Nov Future prices have given a breakout above its consolidation range of $41 (~Rs 123,000) and $42 (~Rs 126,000) for the past few days and achieved the target of $43. This rally has more room for upside towards $45 (~Rs 140,000)

Support and Resistance

CommodityMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3650/oz$3800/oz
Indian₹108,500/10 gm₹113,500/10 gm
SilverInternational$42.5/oz$45/oz
Indian₹127,000/kg₹140,000/kg

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