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Modest decline in US gold price on profit booking

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There was a modest decline in gold prices during the early European trading session on Friday. Following a sharp rally that saw the precious metal reach an all-time high of $3,358 per ounce, the price of gold has edged lower, largely attributed to profit-taking behavior by investors ahead of the long Easter weekend.

Despite this short-term dip, several underlying factors continue to reinforce gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. Foremost among these is the growing uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy, particularly with regard to import tariffs proposed by President Donald Trump. Additionally, broader concerns about a potential recession and persistent geopolitical tensions add to investor unease, prompting many to maintain positions in historically secure assets like gold.

Meanwhile, the trajectory of U.S. monetary policy remains a key influence on gold prices. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has recently adopted a more hawkish tone, signaling diminished prospects for a rate cut in June. This shift suggests a tightening of monetary policy, which could strengthen the U.S. dollar and, in turn, place downward pressure on gold, which is priced in USD. Powell’s comments also underscore the challenging balance the Fed faces: while inflation remains elevated, economic growth appears to be softening—conditions that could give rise to a stag-flationary scenario.

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International News

Gold continues upward march;Bank of America forecasts  $5,000/oz for 2026

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Gold prices in India saw a modest rise on Wednesday today Oct 15, mirroring an uptick in international markets as renewed US-China trade tensions and expectations of further US interest rate cuts bolstered demand for safe-haven assets.24k gold traded at Rs.1,28,360/10gm after gaining ₹10 in early trade, while silver prices increased by Rs.100 to Rs.1,89,100 per kilogram.

Gold prices surged to a record high of $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025.  Investors flocked to safe-haven metals amid trade tensions and Fed rate-cut expectations. U.S. December gold futures jumped 57% year-to-date.  Bank of America raised its 2026 gold forecast to $5,000 per ounce, warning of possible near-term corrections.

Gold prices soared to an unprecedented $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025, marking a historic milestone for the yellow metal. The rally comes as investors worldwide seek safety in hard assets amid a turbulent global economic backdrop marked by escalating trade tensions, slowing growth, and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The sharp surge in bullion prices has been driven by a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty and aggressive monetary easing. As inflation pressures remain sticky and central banks pivot toward dovish policies, gold has reasserted its role as a hedge against both currency debasement and market volatility.

In futures trading, U.S. December gold contracts have skyrocketed nearly 57% so far this year, underscoring the strength of investor demand across both institutional and retail segments. Analysts note that central bank buying—particularly from emerging markets—has added further momentum to the rally, with several countries diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar.

Reflecting this bullish sentiment, Bank of America has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $5,000 per ounce, citing continued monetary easing, geopolitical instability, and robust central bank accumulation. However, the bank also cautioned that short-term corrections are likely, given the rapid pace of the recent run-up and potential bouts of profit-taking.

Overall, gold’s meteoric rise underscores a broader shift toward safe-haven assets, as investors navigate a world increasingly defined by economic fragmentation, shifting interest rate cycles, and persistent geopolitical risks.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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