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 Investors shift from US government bonds to Gold: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • As investors looked for safe-haven assets, shifting from government bonds to gold in response to rising fears about the US fiscal outlook, gold climbed toward $3340 to reach a nearly two-week high.
  • Following the introduction of a proposed US federal budget that could increase the already significant deficit, risk sentiment declined. This was made worse by Moody’s recent reduction of the US credit rating because of growing debt levels and the Fed’s cautious economic outlook.
  • With the continuous turmoil in the Middle East and President Trump’s apparent retreat from mediating the Russia-Ukraine issue, geopolitical tensions further increased the allure of gold.
  • In the meantime, Chinese customs statistics revealed that robust demand and the central bank’s issuance of additional import quotas amid the height of US-China trade tensions caused gold imports to soar to an 11-month high of 127.5 metric tonnes in April, up 73% from March.

Technical Triggers  

  • As gold has changed its momentum and moved higher above $3300 (~Rs 95500), the rally can continue towards $3380 (~Rs 97500), but prices are expected not to sustain beyond that.
  • Silver prices are gaining momentum and close to their resistance level of $34(~Rs 99500). We could see a reversal if prices don’t sustain. If prices sustain above these levels, the next target would be $35(~Rs 102,000).

Support and Resistance

MetalSupport LevelResistance Level
International Gold$3200/oz$3380/oz
Indian Gold₹92,000/10 gm₹97,500/10 gm
International Silver$32/oz$34/oz
Indian Silver₹94,000/kg₹99,500/kg

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International News

Gold continues upward march;Bank of America forecasts  $5,000/oz for 2026

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Gold prices in India saw a modest rise on Wednesday today Oct 15, mirroring an uptick in international markets as renewed US-China trade tensions and expectations of further US interest rate cuts bolstered demand for safe-haven assets.24k gold traded at Rs.1,28,360/10gm after gaining ₹10 in early trade, while silver prices increased by Rs.100 to Rs.1,89,100 per kilogram.

Gold prices surged to a record high of $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025.  Investors flocked to safe-haven metals amid trade tensions and Fed rate-cut expectations. U.S. December gold futures jumped 57% year-to-date.  Bank of America raised its 2026 gold forecast to $5,000 per ounce, warning of possible near-term corrections.

Gold prices soared to an unprecedented $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025, marking a historic milestone for the yellow metal. The rally comes as investors worldwide seek safety in hard assets amid a turbulent global economic backdrop marked by escalating trade tensions, slowing growth, and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The sharp surge in bullion prices has been driven by a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty and aggressive monetary easing. As inflation pressures remain sticky and central banks pivot toward dovish policies, gold has reasserted its role as a hedge against both currency debasement and market volatility.

In futures trading, U.S. December gold contracts have skyrocketed nearly 57% so far this year, underscoring the strength of investor demand across both institutional and retail segments. Analysts note that central bank buying—particularly from emerging markets—has added further momentum to the rally, with several countries diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar.

Reflecting this bullish sentiment, Bank of America has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $5,000 per ounce, citing continued monetary easing, geopolitical instability, and robust central bank accumulation. However, the bank also cautioned that short-term corrections are likely, given the rapid pace of the recent run-up and potential bouts of profit-taking.

Overall, gold’s meteoric rise underscores a broader shift toward safe-haven assets, as investors navigate a world increasingly defined by economic fragmentation, shifting interest rate cycles, and persistent geopolitical risks.

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