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Gold slips below $3300 on de-escalation of tariff war: AUGMONT BULLION WEEKLY BLOG

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After the Federal Reserve reaffirmed that it is not in a rush to cut interest rates since the U.S. economy is still relatively steady and inflation concerns are still high, gold’s price action last week was comparatively neutral.

In recent weeks, the Greenback has recovered after dropping almost 9% from its March peak and momentarily falling below 98 last month. The US-China trade rhetoric has been cooling, which has been a major factor in the recovery. This weekend’s meeting between US and Chinese officials in Switzerland could have immediate effects.

The United States and China declared “significant progress” following two days of negotiations in Switzerland to defuse a trade war. A trade deal with China was reached after two days of talks in Geneva, according to top Trump administration officials. This might be a huge win for President Donald Trump in his trade war with Beijing. Trump indicated a readiness to reduce U.S. tariffs on China to 80% going into the weekend trade talks, but it was unclear at first if either side would agree to decrease taxes on the other.

Trade discussions with US officials are “an important first step” in stabilising bilateral trade relations, according to China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng. The two parties also achieved “substantial progress,” according to US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. However, traders will watch the contents of the US-China trade discussions, which the US will provide on Monday.

In April, the People’s Bank of China increased its gold stockpiles by 2 tonnes for the sixth consecutive month, according to the World Gold Council. While the Czech National Bank’s reserves rose by 2.5 tonnes in April, the National Bank of Poland’s (NBP) holdings jumped by 12 tonnes to 509 tonnes.

ConditionPrice Level (USD)Price Level (INR)Implication
Rally shows signs of exhaustion~$3400~₹97,000Gains paused twice; short-term rally may be nearing exhaustion
Price remains below resistance this week<$3365<₹94,000Potential drop towards $3200 (~₹92,000)
Price breaks and holds below neckline support (Double Top)<$3200<₹92,000Expected decline of $200 towards $3000 (~₹86,000)
Market relief (e.g., easing tensions or tariff reductions)––Sellers may temporarily regain control

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International News

Global Bullion Markets Experience Downturn As US Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged

Market Analysts Anticipate Continued Volatility In Precious Metals As Traders Digest The Fed’s Stance On Monetary Policy and Its Implications For Future Rate Trajectories

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Global bullion markets experienced a downturn on Thursday as spot gold and silver prices each fell by nearly 1% following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s overnight decision to keep key interest rates unchanged. Domestic gold and silver prices in India are expected to reflect this global weakness throughout today’s trading session.

ParameterDetails
Gold (MCX) Futures~₹1,43,600.00 – ₹1,43,724.00 per 10 grams
Silver (MCX) Futures~₹1,94,450.00 per kg
Key Contract BenchmarkDecember 2026 Gold Futures are hovering near ₹1,42,324 – ₹1,43,700 levels.
Spot GoldDown ~1%, struggling around $4,044/oz.
Spot SilverDown ~1%, trading below $53.50/oz.
U.S. Fed Policy RateUnchanged at 3.75% – 4.00%.

In international markets, spot gold tumbled nearly 1% to trade near $4,044 per ounce, while spot silver dropped 1% to fall below $53.50 per ounce.

The market reaction follows the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where policymakers voted to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.75% to 4.00% (3-3/4 to 4 percent).

In an official statement, the FOMC reaffirmed its commitment to supporting its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability while continuing its policy of maintaining ample reserves within the banking system.

​Market analysts anticipate continued volatility in precious metals as traders digest the Fed’s stance on monetary policy and its implications for future rate trajectories.

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