International News
Gold prices edge lower amid strong dollar
Indian gold prices eased on Friday, September 26, tracking global cues as stronger US economic data lifted the dollar and dampened hopes of further rate cuts this year. In domestic markets, 24-carat gold traded at Rs.11,488 per gram, while 22-carat stood at Rs.10,530 and 18-carat at Rs. 8,616.On the international front, spot gold slipped 0.1% to $3,745.67 an ounce, while US December futures were steady at $3,774.80. Despite the pullback, the yellow metal remains up 1.6% for the week.
The retreat followed upbeat US economic indicators—faster GDP growth and lower jobless claims—which reduced the odds of additional monetary easing in 2025. The US dollar index climbed to a three-week high, eroding gold’s appeal to non-dollar investors.
US President Donald Trump’s new tariffs, effective October 1, could sustain inflation pressures, keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset. Investors now await the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report, a key indicator for Federal Reserve policy.
In India, retail demand ahead of Navratri and Diwali continues to support local prices, with premiums remaining high.
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- Gold and silver surged to new all-time highs, with gold crossing $4,600 and silver moving past $86, as investors rushed toward safe-haven assets. The rally was driven by rising concerns over the independence of the U.S. Federal Reserve, escalating geopolitical tensions, and renewed trade-related uncertainty.
- Market sentiment was rattled after U.S. federal prosecutors reportedly threatened action against Fed Chair Jerome Powell over comments made to Congress regarding a building renovation project. Powell has described the move as a “pretext” aimed at pressuring the central bank to cut interest rates, raising serious concerns about policy independence.
- Geopolitical risks continue to mount, with the U.S. stepping up its involvement in Venezuela, President Donald Trump warning of possible military action amid unrest in Iran, ongoing conflict in Ukraine, tensions between China and Japan, and renewed insistence by the White House on acquiring Greenland. Adding to the uncertainty, Trump warned that any country doing business with Iran could face a 25% tariff on all U.S. trade.
- U.S. officials also confirmed that President Trump will be briefed on Tuesday on potential responses to Iran, including sanctions, cyber measures, and military options—keeping global risk sentiment fragile and supportive for precious metals.
Technical Triggers
- Gold has decisively broken above its earlier resistance at $4,570, opening the door to higher levels. The next key targets are $4,745–4,750 (78.6% Fibonacci extension, ~Rs. 1,46,000) and $4,966–4,970 (100% Fibonacci extension, ~Rs.1,52,500).
- Silver’s rally also looks set to extend further. Fibonacci projections point toward $88 (~Rs.2,78,000) and $93 (~Rs.2,93,000) in the coming weeks, while $70 remains a strong support zone.
Support and Resistance
| Metal | Market | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | International | $4,300 / oz | $4,750 / oz |
| Gold | Indian | ₹1,34,000 / 10 gm | ₹1,46,000 / 10 gm |
| Silver | International | $70 / oz | $88 / oz |
| Silver | Indian | ₹2,25,000 / kg | ₹2,78,000 / kg |
Source:Augmont Bullion Report
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