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Gold prices edge lower amid strong dollar

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Indian gold prices eased on Friday, September 26, tracking global cues as stronger US economic data lifted the dollar and dampened hopes of further rate cuts this year. In domestic markets, 24-carat gold traded at Rs.11,488 per gram, while 22-carat stood at Rs.10,530 and 18-carat at Rs. 8,616.On the international front, spot gold slipped 0.1% to $3,745.67 an ounce, while US December futures were steady at $3,774.80. Despite the pullback, the yellow metal remains up 1.6% for the week.

The retreat followed upbeat US economic indicators—faster GDP growth and lower jobless claims—which reduced the odds of additional monetary easing in 2025. The US dollar index climbed to a three-week high, eroding gold’s appeal to non-dollar investors.

US President Donald Trump’s new tariffs, effective October 1, could sustain inflation pressures, keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset. Investors now await the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report, a key indicator for Federal Reserve policy.

In India, retail demand ahead of Navratri and Diwali continues to support local prices, with premiums remaining high.

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MCX Gold, Silver Rise Despite Global Weakness; US Data, Iran Tensions Keep Bullion Markets On Edge

While Domestic Gold and Silver Prices Edged Higher On MCX, International Spot Gold Slipped Amid Uncertainty Over US-Iran Negotiations, Inflation Concerns

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Gold and silver prices witnessed mixed momentum on May 28, with domestic futures on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) trading marginally higher even as international spot gold prices remained under pressure. The divergence reflects cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty surrounding US-Iran peace negotiations, and expectations of tighter monetary policy in the United States.

MCX gold futures for June delivery rose modestly by Rs. 215 to Rs. 1,57,898 per 10 grams, while silver futures for July delivery gained Rs. 2,000 to trade at Rs. 2,72,628 per kilogram in early trade. The domestic uptick was supported by weakness in the US dollar and cautious positioning ahead of key macroeconomic developments.

However, global spot gold prices extended losses for a second consecutive session as investors remained wary of the inflationary impact of elevated energy prices and the possibility of prolonged geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Analysts noted that fading hopes of a near-term diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran have revived concerns around oil supply disruptions, higher crude prices, and inflation risks — factors that continue to influence precious metals.

According to market experts, gold has struggled to regain strong upside momentum despite its safe-haven appeal, as rising US bond yields and a firmer dollar have reduced investor appetite for non-yielding assets like bullion. Silver, meanwhile, remained under pressure globally after recent military developments in southern Iran weakened expectations of an immediate resolution to regional tensions.

Investors are now closely watching key US macroeconomic indicators, including ADP employment figures, GDP growth data, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation index — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. These data points are expected to offer fresh direction on the Fed’s interest rate trajectory, which remains a crucial driver for gold and silver prices.

With geopolitical risks still elevated and inflation concerns persisting, bullion markets are expected to remain volatile in the near term as traders await clearer signals on both diplomacy and monetary policy.

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