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Gold price faces more than 2.5% losses intraday after US-China tariffs reduction

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The recent agreement between the United States and China to significantly reduce tariffs has had profound implications for global financial markets, particularly for the price of gold. In a surprise move, both nations announced temporary reductions in tariff rates for a 90-day period.

As a result of this announcement, gold prices plummeted over 3% at the opening of the European trading session, falling to approximately $3,231 per ounce. This decline is part of a broader downward trend, with gold having lost more than 8% from its record high of $3,500, reached on April 21. The abrupt reallocation of capital into riskier assets has effectively brought an end to the gold rally that had characterized much of April and early May. Safe-haven exodus leads Gold to break vital supports before technically ending the rally. 

Amid this market euphoria, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized that neither country desires a long-term decoupling. He further expressed interest in China opening its markets more broadly to U.S. goods, even suggesting the possibility of a formal purchasing agreement. These comments underscore a renewed spirit of cooperation between the two economic superpowers, contributing further to the risk-on sentiment prevailing in markets.

From a technical standpoint, gold is facing significant pressure. Analysts suggest that the current drop could be just the beginning of a more extended decline, with the potential for prices to fall below $3,200. If the support level around $3,245 is breached, a further descent toward $3,167 is anticipated—effectively erasing most of the gains from April and May. Conversely, for gold to re-establish upward momentum, it would need to overcome a series of resistance levels: first reclaiming $3,284, then $3,315 (the daily pivot), followed by $3,356 (R1 resistance), and finally $3,388 (R2 resistance), before any retest of the all-time high becomes feasible.

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International News

Precious Metals at the Crossroads – Geopolitics, Inflation, and Key Technical Levels AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Crisis Disrupting Energy Supplies, Pushing Inflation Risks Higher, Increasing The Probability Of Central Bank Interest Rate Hikes

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Safe-Haven Dynamics – Gold and Silver prices are consolidating as investors assess the possibility of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks and the uncertain future of the current ceasefire. Both nations are scheduled for peace negotiations in Islamabad this week. However, the ceasefire came under threat on Monday following the seizure of a cargo vessel, raising doubts about whether talks will proceed as planned.

  • Geopolitical Developments– The ongoing Middle East conflict has caused a significant disruption to energy supplies, pushing inflation risks higher and increasing the probability of central bank interest rate hikes — both of which create headwinds for gold prices. Adding to the uncertainty, President Donald Trump indicated he will not extend the truce if no agreement is reached before its deadline, and has stated that the Strait of Hormuz will stay closed until a deal is finalized.
  • Macro-economic Signals – Markets are closely watching for clarity on whether the Islamabad talks will proceed, and if so, whether they result in a ceasefire extension or a broader peace agreement. Gold’s price direction will continue to be driven by Middle East outcomes and their downstream effects on energy costs and inflation expectations.

Technical Triggers

  • Gold is trading in the range of $4750 (~ Rs 152,500) and $4850 (~Rs 155,000) from past few days. Either side breakout or breakdown will give 3-4% directional move.
  • Silver is trading in the range of $78 (~ Rs 248,000) and $81 (~Rs 257,000) from past few days. Either side breakout or breakdown from this band will give 3-4% price swing.

Support and Resistance

International Gold Support Level
International Gold Resistance Level 
Domestic Gold Support Level
Domestic Gold Resistance Level
: $4600/oz
: $5000/oz
: Rs 153,000/10 gm
: Rs 160,000/10 gm
International Silver Support Level
International Silver Resistance Level 
Domestic Silver Support Level
Domestic Silver Resistance Level
: $75/oz
: $82/oz 
: Rs 235,000/kg
: Rs 260,000/kg  
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