International News
Gold price faces more than 2.5% losses intraday after US-China tariffs reduction
The recent agreement between the United States and China to significantly reduce tariffs has had profound implications for global financial markets, particularly for the price of gold. In a surprise move, both nations announced temporary reductions in tariff rates for a 90-day period.
As a result of this announcement, gold prices plummeted over 3% at the opening of the European trading session, falling to approximately $3,231 per ounce. This decline is part of a broader downward trend, with gold having lost more than 8% from its record high of $3,500, reached on April 21. The abrupt reallocation of capital into riskier assets has effectively brought an end to the gold rally that had characterized much of April and early May. Safe-haven exodus leads Gold to break vital supports before technically ending the rally.
Amid this market euphoria, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized that neither country desires a long-term decoupling. He further expressed interest in China opening its markets more broadly to U.S. goods, even suggesting the possibility of a formal purchasing agreement. These comments underscore a renewed spirit of cooperation between the two economic superpowers, contributing further to the risk-on sentiment prevailing in markets.
From a technical standpoint, gold is facing significant pressure. Analysts suggest that the current drop could be just the beginning of a more extended decline, with the potential for prices to fall below $3,200. If the support level around $3,245 is breached, a further descent toward $3,167 is anticipated—effectively erasing most of the gains from April and May. Conversely, for gold to re-establish upward momentum, it would need to overcome a series of resistance levels: first reclaiming $3,284, then $3,315 (the daily pivot), followed by $3,356 (R1 resistance), and finally $3,388 (R2 resistance), before any retest of the all-time high becomes feasible.
International News
Precious Metals Find Support On Ceasefire Optimism AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Gold Is Trading At Y Oversold Levels Near The Critical Support Zone Of $4,300, Silver Testing Key Support In The $66–$67 Range
- Price Movement – Gold and silver are consolidating near key support levels as markets digest a fragile Israel-Iran ceasefire alongside mounting concerns over inflation and the prospect of further interest rate hikes.
- Geopolitical Developments – President Trump confirmed that both parties are pursuing an immediate ceasefire, with final negotiations advancing. Israel and Iran announced a mutual halt to hostilities following a direct appeal from Washington. However, Tehran cautioned that it reserves the right to resume strikes if Israeli operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon continue.
- Macro-economic Signals – CME FedWatch data shows markets now pricing a greater than 70% probability of a Fed rate hike by December. Investors are closely watching May’s U.S. CPI and PPI releases, due Wednesday, for clearer signals on the Fed’s policy trajectory. The European Central Bank is also widely expected to deliver a rate increase this week.
Technical Triggers
- Gold is currently trading at deeply oversold levels near the critical support zone of $4,300 (approximately Rs. 1,54,000). A technical rebound of 3–4% is anticipated from current levels, driven by bottom-fishing activity. However, a sustained break below this support would shift the near-term bias decisively lower, exposing the $4,000–$4,100 range (approximately Rs. 1,50,000–Rs. 1,51,500) as the next downside target.
- Silver is similarly oversold, testing key support in the $66–$67 range (approximately Rs. 2,40,000–Rs. 2,42,000). As with gold, a 3–4% technical recovery is the base case on dip-buying, but a confirmed sustainability below this support would accelerate selling pressure toward $60 (approximately Rs. 2,20,000) in the short term.
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $4300/oz : $4500/oz : Rs 154,000/10 gm : Rs 160,000/10 gm |
| International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level Domestic Silver Support Level Domestic Silver Resistance Level | : $66/oz : $75/oz : Rs 240,000/kg : Rs 260,000/kg |
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