loader image
Connect with us

International News

Gold price consolidation above $3,200 amid mixed us inflation data

Published

on

60 views

Gold is consolidating above the $3,200 level following the release of softer-than-expected US inflation data. While US Treasury yields are building bullish momentum, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has hit resistance and is trending lower. The interplay between inflation expectations, central bank policy, and geopolitical factors continues to shape gold’s near-term outlook.

Key Developments

1. Gold Price Action and Inflation Data

  • Gold prices rebounded after a sharp drop, trading around $3,250 following the release of US CPI data for April, which came in below expectations (headline CPI rose 0.2% MoM vs. 0.3% expected; core CPI also up 0.2% MoM vs. 0.3% expected)
  • The softer inflation print has eased pressure on the US dollar, supporting gold’s consolidation above $3,200, but high Treasury yields and improved risk sentiment have capped further gains.

2. US Treasury Yields and Dollar Index

  • US 10-year Treasury yields edged higher, reaching 4.489%, reflecting persistent expectations of a restrictive Federal Reserve stance despite softer inflation1.
  • The US Dollar Index (DXY) hit resistance at 101.90 and has continued lower, as market participants anticipate at least two Fed rate cuts in 2025, reaffirmed by the latest inflation data and Fed projections

3. Market Sentiment and Geopolitics

  • Optimism over a US-China trade truce has improved risk appetite, reducing safe-haven demand for gold and contributing to its consolidation rather than a breakout
  • Geopolitical risks and ongoing central bank gold purchases (notably by China, Poland, and the Czech Republic) are providing a floor for gold prices, limiting downside risk

4. Central Bank Activity

  • The People’s Bank of China added 2 tonnes to its gold reserves in April, marking the sixth consecutive month of accumulation. Poland and the Czech Republic also increased their reserves, signaling sustained central bank demand.

Outlook

  • Support and Resistance: Gold is holding key support above $3,200, with resistance seen near $3,300. The market remains sensitive to upcoming US PPI and retail sales data, which could provide further direction
  • Fed Policy: Markets are pricing in two rate cuts by the Fed in 2025. Should inflation remain subdued, this could support further upside for gold, especially if Treasury yields stabilize or decline
  • Geopolitical and Policy Risks: Any escalation in geopolitical tensions or renewed concerns over US fiscal policy could drive additional safe-haven flows into gold, potentially pushing prices higher

Analyst outlook

Goldman Sachs forecasts gold could rise another 8% in 2025, reaching $3,100 per ounce, with upside risks potentially pushing prices as high as $3,300 if central bank demand and policy uncertainty persist J.P. Morgan projects an average price of $3,675 per ounce by Q4 2025, with the potential to hit $4,000 in 2026, citing gold’s role as a safe haven amid declining confidence in US assets and the dollar

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment
Subscribe
Notify of
guest
0 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

International News

Precious Metals dip after Trump-Zelensky talks AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Gold slipped below $3,380 (₹99,400) as focus shifted to the Fed’s Jackson Hole symposium and President Trump’s talks with European and Ukrainian leaders. Markets await Fed Chair Powell’s remarks for cues on a possible September rate cut. Technically, gold eyes $3,340 (₹98,500) support with $3,445 (₹100,500) as resistance, while silver is expected to trade between $37.5 (₹1,12,500) and $39 (₹1,15,000).

Published

on

235 views

  • Gold prices slightly declined below $3380 (Rs 99400) as investors’ attention was drawn to the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole symposium and US President Donald Trump’s meeting with European and Ukrainian leaders.
  • In a White House meeting with President Zelensky, alongside European and NATO officials, President Trump voiced hope that the war in Ukraine would be over.
  • After the negotiations, he claimed, the US will be “involved” in keeping the ceasefire and would call Russian President Putin.
  • Amidst mounting anticipation for a September interest-rate decrease, markets will be closely observing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s forthcoming statements at the Jackson Hole Symposium as well as the minutes from the Fed’s most recent meeting.

Technical Triggers

  • Gold seems to continue its downward trajectory after sustaining below $3400. Next target is $3340 (Rs 98500), while $3445 (Rs 100,500) remains the resistance
  • Silver prices are expected to consolidate in a range of $37.5(Rs 112,500) to $39(~Rs 115,000).
MetalMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3340/oz$3445/oz
Indian₹98,500 / 10 gm₹100,500 / 10 gm
SilverInternational$37.5/oz$39/oz
Indian₹112,500 / kg₹115,000 / kg
Continue Reading

International News

Gold price drifts lower to near $3,330 ahead of US-Ukraine talks

Pandora posted 4% revenue growth to DKK 7.08 billion in Q2 2025, driven by strong US demand and a 36% surge in lab-grown diamond sales. The brand will close 100 underperforming China stores—double earlier estimates—while still targeting 400–500 new global openings by 2026.

Published

on

221 views

Gold prices edged lower to around $3,330 in early Asian trading on Monday, pressured by stronger-than-expected US economic data. The drop comes ahead of a key meeting later in the day between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, which traders are watching closely for geopolitical signals.

Last week’s US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 3.3% year-on-year in July, well above market expectations of 2.5% and the previous 2.4%. The hotter-than-expected inflation reading reduced bets on a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in September, creating headwinds for the yellow metal.

Adding to the picture, US Retail Sales grew 0.5% month-on-month in July, matching forecasts but slightly below June’s upwardly revised 0.9%.

While strong economic data pressures gold, safe-haven demand linked to geopolitical tensions may limit further downside in the near term.

Continue Reading

International News

Pandora to Close Up to 100 Stores in China

Pandora posted 4% revenue growth to DKK 7.08 billion in Q2 2025, driven by strong US demand and a 36% surge in lab-grown diamond sales. The brand will close 100 underperforming China stores—double earlier estimates—while still targeting 400–500 new global openings by 2026.

Published

on

221 views

Pandora reported steady growth in the second quarter despite global challenges, while announcing plans to close about 100 underperforming stores in China to streamline its retail network. The closures are higher than the 50 previously expected, meaning net global openings will now total 25 to 50 this year, compared to the earlier forecast of 50 to 75. Still, Pandora aims to expand its footprint by 400–500 stores by 2026.

 Product mix contributed negatively driven by the strong performance in Collabs and Pandora Lab-Grown Diamonds, which both carry gross margins below group level,

For the quarter ending June 30, revenue rose 4% to DKK 7.08 billion ($1.11 billion), with organic growth of 8% and like-for-like sales up 3%, driven by strong US demand, especially during Mother’s Day. Profit inched up 0.5% to DKK 803 million ($125.9 million). Lab-grown diamond sales surged 36%, though their lower margins pressured profitability.

Pandora also flagged potential tariff impacts, estimating costs of DKK 200 million in 2025 and DKK 450 million in 2026, and may consider price increases to offset pressures.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending

CONTACT US

We would like to hear from you...

GET WHATSAPP NEWS ALERTS

error:
0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x