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GJEPC, BDB letter to India diamond sector

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Vipul Shah, Chairman-GJEPC and Anoop Mehta, President-Bharat Diamond Bourse in a letter to the diamond trade said “faced a challenging correction period with prices correcting at wholesale level over the last 18 months as the abnormal surge we witnessed subsided and we all shifted through our inventory kept in line with the unusual demand we experienced post covid. Now, the industry is at a turning point, driven by several positive dynamics. We urge everyone in the industry to recognize the clear signs of recovery and price stability moving forward.”

They said several key indicators suggest positive outlook and confidence in natural diamond pricing:

Reduced Polished Inventory: Significant reductions in polished diamond inventories across markets indicate supply is now more aligned with demand, providing a basis for price stabilization.

Limited Rough Diamond Inflow: A decrease in rough diamond supply suggests that new polished diamond production will remain limited, reducing the risk of oversupply.

Reduction in Manufacturing Capacities and Industry Debt: Industry players have responsibly managed slower demand and higher interest costs by optimizing manufacturing capacities and achieving the lowest bank debt levels in decades.

Strong August Sales: August sales figures have been robust, reflecting increased consumer confidence and positive market momentum.

Price Increases in Shortage Segments: Price rises in certain segments indicate a positive shift in market sentiment and a path toward stability.

They further stated “While India remains a growing market with increasing consumer spending, the U.S. market is showing consistent demand for natural diamonds despite recent challenges. Tenoris report is suggesting better July and some interest shifting to Natural Diamonds at retail in USA. The upcoming festive season is expected to have good sales.”

The letter also underscored the point that GJEPC is working towards enhancing the Indian diamond industry by promoting natural diamonds and diamond jewellery, and  seeks partnerships with miners and trade bodies to expand market reach and increase demand in key Asian markets.

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National News

Gold & Precious Metals – A future outlook

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The session saw a power packed panel of experts that comprisedSurendra Mehta, National Secretary-  IBJA,Ranjith Singh,Head of Business Development, IIBX, Shweta Dhanak, Director – Vijay Exports,S Thirupathi Rajan, MD Goldsmith Academy, Shivanshu Mehta, SVP & Head Bullion-MCX.The session was moderated by Chirag Seth, Principal Consultant, Metals Focus.

Some salient points made by the panelists:

  • Gold prices are not linked to consumer demand. They are linked to central bank buying and ETFs
  • Till the banking system doesn’t collapse, gold price will continue to rise
  • Jewellers were advised to use a mix of futures and options for risk mitigation
  • Given the current situation manufacturers selling on credit or unfavorable deals could be fatal flaw for business.
  • Precious metals forecast: Surendra Mehta said he sees gold in 2026 in $4900-5100 range and silver in $90-105.Looking further he said by 2030-2035 gold could touch $18000- 20000 and silver could reach $500. Chirag Seth predicted silver touching $105 this year and gold moving in the $ 5200- $ 5500.

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