International News
Gemfields Generates $4.8 Million from Mini-Auction of Higher-Quality Emeralds
Mini-auction of unsold emeralds from November 2024 shows a promising rise in demand and prices, with 77% of lots sold.
Gemfields has reported strong results from its mini-auction held from February 19 to 21, 2025, featuring higher-quality emeralds that had remained unsold during its November 2024 auction. The event raised $4.8 million in revenue, signaling a notable recovery in demand and pricing within the emerald market.
Auction Performance:
- Total revenue: $4.8 million
- Lots sold: 10 out of 13 (77%)
- Carats sold: 45,864 out of 59,192 (77%)
- Average price per carat: $105.49
Adrian Banks, Managing Director of Product & Sales at Gemfields, highlighted that the auction offered a valuable opportunity to assess current market trends. “This auction exclusively featured unsold lots from Kagem’s November 2024 higher-quality emerald auction. With the same schedules in place, we could directly compare demand and pricing, and it was encouraging to see a notable increase in bids. Despite a subdued market sentiment, the rise in demand and pricing is a positive sign for the sector,” said Banks.
The emeralds sold were mined at the Kagem mine in Zambia, where Gemfields holds a 75% stake, while the Industrial Development Corporation of Zambia owns the remaining 25%. Proceeds from the auction will be fully repatriated to Kagem, with royalties paid to the Government of Zambia based on the final sales prices.
With positive market signs emerging, Gemfields remains optimistic about the upcoming trade shows in Bangkok and Hong Kong, anticipating further recovery in the emerald market.
International News
WGC Gold Market Commentary-Go With The Flow
September Was Unusual: Despite The Price Decline,Global Gold ETFs Recorded US $10bn (67t) Of Inflows Across Regions. North America Led The Charge, Followed By Europe and Asia.
September review
A surge in US Treasury yields and the US dollar alongside a drop in futures positions helped drive prices lower in September, despite
Yet September was unusual: despite the price decline, global gold ETFs recorded US$10bn (67t) of inflows across regions. North America led the charge, followed by Europe and Asia.
Key Takeaways & Market Drivers
1. September Price Retreat
- Price Movement: Gold dropped 8.5% m/m in September to close at $4,176/oz (USD), experiencing broad declines across all major international currencies.
- Primary Drivers: Macro headwinds drove prices lower, specifically a 53 bps surge in US 10-year Treasury yields (to 5.3%) and a 2% gain in the US Dollar Index (DXY), as captured by the Gold Return Attribution Model (GRAM).
- Derivatives Liquidation: COMEX net managed money positions shrank by $12bn (84t), while spreading positions fell by $22bn (156t), putting heavy downward pressure on spot prices.
2. Divergence: Physical ETFs vs. Derivatives
- Unusual Contrast: While futures/derivatives positions liquidated sharply, physical demand held firm—global gold ETFs saw strong net inflows of $10bn (67t) in September, led by North America, Europe, and Asia.
3. Stellar European & UK Demand in Q3
- Record Demand: UK-listed gold ETFs recorded 54 tonnes of inflows in Q3 (inflows in 12 of 13 weeks), far exceeding model predictions of 18t (a 36t excess).
- Macro Shift: Historical relationships fail to explain the surge. However, since July, excess UK ETF inflows have strongly correlated (r = 0.51) with rising UK term premia.
- Fiscal Concerns: Investors appear increasingly focused on long-term fiscal sustainability (highlighted by the UK Office for Budget Responsibility’s warnings) and persistent inflation risks rather than transient policy events.
Outlook: What to Watch in October
- Fed & Central Bank Meetings: Markets have lowered expectations for further monetary tightening across the Fed, ECB, and Bank of England.
- Key Signal: If bond yields and term premia remain elevated despite dovish rate expectations, it will signal deeper structural concerns regarding fiscal deficits, which should continue supporting strategic gold demand.
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