International News
WGC Gold ETF Commentary : US leads multiyear record inflows
February in review
Global physically-backed gold ETFs1 saw significant inflows in February totaling US$9.4bn, the strongest since March 2022. North American flows flipped positive following two consecutive monthly outflows, recording one of its strongest months on record. Asian demand was also strong while European inflows narrowed. We have now seen three consecutive months of strong global inflows which, combined an upward trending gold price, have lifted total assets under management (AUM) to US$306bn, another month-end peak. Meanwhile, holdings rose to 3,353t, the highest month-end level since July 2023.
Highlights
- Global gold ETFs saw continued inflows during February as holdings across all regions grew.
- The third consecutive monthly inflows lifted global gold ETFs’ total AUM and collective holdings by 4.1% and 3.1% respectively in the month.
- Global gold trading volumes kept rising: OTC markets led the charge.
Regional overview
North American demand surged in February, adding US$6.8bn. This was the largest single month inflow for the region since July 2020 and the strongest February ever. As physical shipments into COMEX vaults from London and other markets made headlines, the positive gold market momentum also benefited North American gold ETFs.
But there were other important contributors. For instance, US Treasury rates trended down with various economic signals flashing red.3 Lower yields, alongside a weaker dollar, boded well for the gold price during most of the month – in fact, it reached nine new record highs in February before moving lower in the latter half.4 We believe reduced opportunity costs and a record-shattering gold price were key in attracting inflows. Moreover, a pullback in equity markets and fears of stagflation were also likely positive drivers of demand. Lastly, we have observed significant inflows triggered by gold ETFs’ options expiry, signalling further bullish sentiment from investors.
While we would not be surprised to see a slowdown in momentum, ongoing recession concerns and policy uncertainties – geopolitical and economic – will likely continue to provide a supportive floor for demand.
Gold trading volumes rise Trading activities across global gold markets increased in February, ending the month at roughly US$300bn/day on average. OTC trading, dominated by the LBMA, rose further, as dealers moved gold in response to the US tariff concerns. Gold futures trading volumes at COMEX were down while Shanghai Futures Exchange saw a sizable increase, given the strong local gold price performance. Additionally, gold ETF trading activities also rose, led by North America.
International News
Gold prices climbed above $4,250 ahead US ISM Manufacturing PMI release
US spot Gold prices climbed above $4,250 early Monday, touching a six-week high as investors turned cautious ahead of the upcoming US ISM Manufacturing PMI release. The yellow metal is poised for further upside momentum if it secures a sustained daily close above the crucial $4,250 resistance level.
The US Dollar opened December on a softer note, pressured by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve may announce a rate cut next week. Growing market confidence in easing monetary conditions has boosted the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.
Analysts note that a decisive break and close above $4,250 could reinforce bullish sentiment and pave the way for an extended rally in the days ahead. As global markets await fresh cues from the US economic calendar, gold continues to benefit from a favorable macroeconomic backdrop and robust safe-haven demand.
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