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The diamond industry is at an inflection point

McKinsey & Co Diamond Industry Report

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This report by McKinsey explores the challenges and opportunities facing the diamond industry in the wake of several significant shifts. Here’s a breakdown of the key points:

Market Downturn:

  • Diamond prices have plummeted after a surge during the pandemic.
  • This is due to a combination of factors, including:
    • Increased supply chain normalcy.
    • Reemergence of traditional engagement timelines.
    • Rise of lab-grown diamonds (LGDs) as a more affordable alternative.
    • Growing consumer demand for ethical and sustainable sourcing (ESG).
    • Sanctions on Russia, a major diamond producer.

Shifting Consumer Preferences:

  • Younger generations (Gen Z) are driving changes in diamond buying habits:
    • More frequent purchases for self-reward.
    • Preference for ethical sourcing and sustainability.
    • Increased online shopping for jewelry.
    • Growing interest in LGDs and recycled diamonds.

The Rise of Lab-Grown Diamonds:

  • LGDs pose a major challenge to natural diamonds due to:
    • Lower cost (up to 80% discount).
    • Perceived ethical and environmental advantages.
    • Increasing quality and size availability.

The Future of the Industry:

  • The industry needs to adapt to survive:
    • Natural diamond producers can:
      • Invest in traceability and ESG practices.
      • Highlight the unique value proposition of natural diamonds (rarity).
      • Consider vertical integration to manage costs and ensure compliance.
    • LGD producers can:
      • Focus on further price reduction and technological advancements.
      • Address potential environmental limitations of LGD production.
    • All diamond players can:
      • Develop innovative marketing strategies.
      • Embrace digital technologies for transparency and efficiency.
      • Build stronger partnerships for financing and branding.

Uncertainties Remain:

  • The long-term impact of LGDs on the diamond market is unclear.
  • Questions remain about diamond price volatility and ownership of the value chain.

Conclusion:

The diamond industry is at a crossroads. Adapting to changing consumer preferences, embracing technology, and addressing ethical concerns will be crucial for companies to ensure stability and longevity in the years to come.

The Diamond Industry: Navigating a Market in Transition

Insights from Changing Consumer Behavior, Technological Advancements, and ESG Imperatives

The global diamond industry, long associated with timeless luxury and tradition, is undergoing a seismic transformation. Once characterized by stability and predictable growth patterns, it now faces significant disruptions fueled by shifting consumer behavior, technological advancements, and heightened environmental, social, and governance (ESG) expectations. This article examines these trends, highlighting how diamond producers—both natural and lab-grown—can position themselves for sustained relevance and profitability.


A Market Recalibrated Post-Pandemic

The diamond industry experienced an unprecedented surge in prices during the COVID-19 pandemic, driven by delayed engagements, disrupted supply chains, and an increase in discretionary spending on luxury goods. However, this trend has reversed sharply, with diamond prices now at multi-year lows.

Several factors have contributed to this decline:

  • Rise of Lab-Grown Diamonds (LGDs): Offering affordability and perceived ethical benefits, LGDs have captured a growing share of the market.
  • Return to Pre-Pandemic Norms: Engagement and marriage cycles have resumed their traditional rhythms, reducing the urgency of purchases.
  • Sanctions on Russian Diamonds: Restrictions on Russian producers, including Alrosa, have altered global supply dynamics.
  • Increased ESG Awareness: Consumers now demand greater transparency and sustainability in diamond sourcing, putting pressure on traditional producers to innovate.

Shifting Consumer Preferences: A Generational Shift

Consumer behavior, particularly among younger generations, is reshaping the diamond market. Key trends include:

  1. Ethical Sourcing and Sustainability:
    Generation Z and Millennials prioritize brands that align with their values. Ethical labor practices, sustainable sourcing, and carbon-neutral operations are non-negotiable for these consumers.
  2. Increased E-Commerce Activity:
    Online diamond purchases are growing, with projections suggesting that nearly 20% of fine jewelry sales will occur digitally by 2025. The convenience and transparency of online platforms are redefining how consumers engage with brands.
  3. Lab-Grown Diamonds as an Alternative:
    LGDs are no longer confined to industrial use. They now represent a viable, affordable, and ethical alternative for fine jewelry, particularly in Western markets.
  4. Self-Purchasing Trends:
    Younger consumers increasingly view diamond purchases as a form of self-reward rather than traditional markers of engagements or anniversaries.

Technological Disruptions: LGDs and Supply Chain Traceability

Lab-Grown Diamonds: A Rising Threat

The affordability, scalability, and ethical appeal of LGDs have positioned them as the most significant disruptor to the natural diamond market. LGD prices, currently at an 80% discount compared to natural diamonds, have accelerated adoption among value-conscious consumers. Technological advancements have enabled the production of larger, high-quality stones, further eroding the exclusivity of natural diamonds.

Supply Chain Innovations

Traceability is becoming a central pillar for diamond producers. Blockchain technologies and other digital tools allow consumers to verify the origin, production methods, and journey of their stones. Beyond compliance, this transparency creates opportunities for storytelling, connecting consumers to the unique narratives behind their diamonds.


Strategic Imperatives for Industry Players

To navigate these challenges, stakeholders across the diamond value chain must adopt proactive strategies:

For Natural Diamond Producers

  1. Invest in ESG Compliance: Ensure ethical mining practices, sustainable water use, and community engagement.
  2. Promote Rarity: Highlight the uniqueness and natural origin of mined diamonds, leveraging these qualities as a counterpoint to LGDs.
  3. Vertical Integration: Streamline operations to enhance efficiency and reduce costs while meeting ESG targets.

For LGD Producers

  1. Focus on Innovation: Continue improving production methods to lower costs and increase scalability.
  2. Address Environmental Concerns: While LGDs are marketed as sustainable, energy-intensive production processes must be optimized.

For Retailers and Midstream Players

  1. Embrace Digital Transformation: Develop e-commerce platforms and invest in digital marketing to engage younger, tech-savvy consumers.
  2. Offer Recycled and Vintage Options: Cater to the growing demand for sustainable and upcycled jewelry.

Looking Ahead: Uncertainties and Opportunities

The future of the diamond industry is far from settled. Several questions remain unanswered:

  • How will LGDs reshape market dynamics?
  • Can natural diamond producers justify their premium pricing amid rising LGD quality?
  • How will geopolitical tensions and regulatory shifts impact supply chains?

Despite these uncertainties, one fact is clear: adaptation is essential. Whether through technological investment, strategic partnerships, or redefining value propositions, diamond industry players must evolve to meet the demands of a changing market.

The industry is at a crossroads. Those willing to innovate, align with consumer values, and embrace technological advancements will not only survive but thrive in this new era.

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JB Insights

Tanishq- Natural Diamonds- How to Choose Your Natural Diamonds. A thoughtful Guide to Meaningful Luxury

Looking beyond trends to choose diamonds of lasting meaning

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Natural diamonds are extraordinary gifts of nature, which is formed over billions of years deep within the earth under intense heat and pressure. Each natural diamond is completely unique, shaped by time itself. This rarity and natural origin make diamonds powerful symbols of authenticity, emotion, and enduring beauty. If you are planning to buy a natural diamond, understanding what truly matters will help you make a confident and meaningful choice.

The Origin of Natural Diamonds

Natural diamonds are not created in laboratories or factories; they are formed deep within the earth over billions of years. This remarkable journey makes each diamond rare and irreplaceable. When you choose a natural diamond, you are choosing a piece of the earth’s history, which is why these stones often become cherished markers of life’s most important moments and milestones.

Understand the 4Cs—Holistically

The 4Cs—Cut, Colour, Clarity, and Carat—are the universal benchmarks for evaluating diamonds. While each C matters, their true value lies in how well they work together, along with a diamond’s light performance. Light performance refers to how effectively a diamond interacts with light—how it enters, reflects, refracts, and returns brilliance to the eye. In natural diamonds, this interaction is influenced by unique growth patterns formed over billions of years, creating depth, fire, and scintillation that are difficult for synthetic diamonds to replicate consistently. As a result, a slightly smaller natural diamond with excellent cut and superior light performance can often appear more vibrant than a larger stone with weaker proportions or synthetic characteristics. Trusted jewellers prioritise this balance to deliver enduring beauty and long-term value.

Cut: The Foundation of Brilliance

Cut plays the biggest role in how a diamond looks to the eye. It determines how light enters, reflects within, and exits the diamond. A well-cut natural diamond appears lively, bright, and full of sparkle.

A superior cut reveals:

  • Brightness, or the return of white light
  • Fire, the colourful flashes you see when light disperses
  • Scintillation, the sparkle created when the diamond moves

Even diamonds with high carat weight can look dull if the cut is poor, which is why cut is often considered the most important of the 4Cs.

Clarity: Nature’s Unique Signature

Clarity refers to natural inclusions formed during the diamond’s creation process. These tiny characteristics are like a diamond’s fingerprint—no two are ever the same. Diamonds are graded from Flawless (F) to Included (I) based on the visibility of these inclusions.

Most jewellery-quality diamonds fall within this scale, and many buyers prefer diamonds whose inclusions are not visible to the naked eye, allowing them to enjoy both beauty and value. These natural features also serve as proof of a diamond’s authenticity.

Colour: Subtle Differences That Matter

Diamond colour is graded on a scale from colourless to light yellow. The less colour present, the rarer the diamond appears. However, many near-colourless diamonds look equally beautiful to the naked eye and offer excellent value.

  • Colourless (D–F) diamonds appear crisp and bright
  • Near Colourless (G–J) diamonds offer a balance of beauty and affordability
  • Faint Yellow (K–M) diamonds have a warmer tone

Choosing the right colour also depends on the jewellery setting, as metal tones can enhance or soften the diamond’s appearance.

Carat: Understanding Weight, Not Just Size

Carat measures a diamond’s weight, with one carat equal to 0.20 grams. While larger diamonds require greater investment, carat alone does not define beauty or brilliance. A well-cut smaller diamond can often appear larger than a heavier diamond with poor proportions. Understanding carat in relation to the other Cs helps buyers make smarter, more satisfying choices.

Insist on Certification and Transparency

Certification provides assurance that a diamond has been professionally evaluated for quality and authenticity. Transparent grading and responsible sourcing help buyers understand exactly what they are investing in. Tanishq’s commitment to certification and transparency ensures peace of mind with every natural diamond purchase.

Choose Ethical and Responsible Luxury

Today’s luxury consumers value integrity as much as beauty. Supported by the Natural Diamond Council, natural diamonds contribute to responsible mining practices, community development, and sustainable livelihoods. Choosing ethically sourced natural diamonds adds deeper meaning and purpose to your jewellery.

Seek Expert Guidance

Buying a natural diamond is a personal journey, and expert guidance can make all the difference. Consulting trusted jewellers like Tanishq helps buyers understand fine details, compare options, and choose a diamond that balances beauty, authenticity, and long-term value. Choosing a natural diamond is about more than sparkle—it is about knowledge, trust, and emotion. Guided by the Natural Diamond Council’s commitment to education and Tanishq’s legacy of craftsmanship and transparency, every natural diamond becomes a meaningful expression of timeless luxury.

Get Your Diamonds Checked at the Diamond Expertise Centre

For added reassurance, customers can get their diamonds checked at the Diamond Expertise Centre, created in collaboration between Tanishq and De Beers. Combining advanced detection technology with the expertise of trained gemologists, the centre enables customers to accurately identify natural diamonds and understand the science behind their selection. Through transparent, hands-on evaluation, customers gain deeper insight into their diamond’s authenticity, quality, and light performance—empowering them with knowledge, confidence, and complete peace of mind throughout the buying journey.

Let Diamond Science Guide Your Decision

One of the most reliable ways to choose a natural diamond is through transparent, science-backed evaluation rather than visual appeal alone. At the Tanishq’s Diamond Expertise Centre, created by Tanishq in collaboration with De Beers, customers gain a clear understanding of what they are buying through expert guidance—prioritising proof over promise. Through guided walkthroughs and hands-on evaluations, customers experience how advanced diagnostic tools—Lightscope, SynthDetect, Hearts & Arrows Viewer, Girdle Marking Viewer, and Inclusion Viewer—work together to assess light performance, verify natural origin, study symmetry, and examine inclusions and laser markings. By making diamond science transparent and interactive, the centre empowers customers to make informed choices with clarity and confidence, reinforcing trust at every step of the natural diamond journey.

True Rarity Can’t Be Replicated

Natural diamonds are precious not just for their beauty, but for their rarity and the extraordinary journey that brings them to life. Formed deep within the earth over billions of years, no two natural diamonds are ever the same—each carries its own unique character, inclusions, and story shaped by time and nature. This inherent rarity gives natural diamonds an enduring emotional and intrinsic value that goes beyond trends or technology. Choosing a natural diamond is a choice rooted in authenticity, permanence, and legacy—a symbol meant to be cherished today and passed on for generations to come.

Think Beyond Trends

While jewellery trends evolve over time, natural diamonds remain timeless. Classic solitaires, elegant earrings, and versatile diamond necklaces continue to be relevant year after year. These pieces are not just fashion statements—they are heirlooms that carry stories across generations.

Choosing a natural diamond is ultimately a decision rooted in thoughtfulness, trust, and enduring value. It is about recognising the rare journey of a stone formed by nature, understanding its science-backed authenticity, and selecting a piece that resonates with personal meaning rather than passing trends. Guided by transparency, expert insight, and a commitment to responsible luxury, a natural diamond becomes more than jewellery, it becomes a lasting symbol of life’s most meaningful moments, cherished today and preserved for generations to come.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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