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Silver surges on further Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, China demand

Global supply tightness and rising Fed rate-cut bets propel silver to new record highs, with China led demand and strong futures activity driving market momentum.

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Silver surged to a fresh all-time high amid rising expectations of further U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts. Silver rose to $53.9/oz. Chinese silver inventories have dropped to their lowest levels in a decade, prompting substantial exports to London to ease supply tightness. This follows October’s record Chinese silver exports exceeding 660 tonnes.

The price of silver in India today  touched Rs 1,76,000 per kg. On the MCX, March 2026 silver futures gained Rs. 1,478 (0.91%) to Rs. 1,63,945/kg, while December silver futures rose Rs.1,517 (0.91%) to Rs.1,67,504/kg.

Markets now anticipate three additional Fed cuts before end-2026, with the probability of a 25-bps cut in December jumping to 85%, up sharply from about 30% a week earlier. Hedging activity has intensified across swaptions and overnight-rate-linked derivatives as traders navigate mixed Fed signals.

Silver ended the session close to a two-week high as delayed US economic data boosted expectations of a December Fed rate cut. September retail sales grew just 0.2%, signalling softer consumer demand, while PPI figures aligned with expectations. Recent dovish remarks from Fed officials have further pushed market pricing for a 25 bps cut to over 80%.

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DiamondBuzz

Diamond Slump forces Debswana to diversify into copper, platinum and solar

Diamond-centric mining models is giving way to broader resource portfolios

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Debswana Diamond Company, the 50–50 joint venture between the Botswana government and De Beers, is moving to diversify into copper, platinum and renewable energy as the prolonged downturn in natural diamond demand pressures earnings and forces the industry to rethink its growth strategy.

The company’s board has approved plans to invest in a portfolio of non-diamond projects after revenue fell 46% in 2024, the latest available financial year, highlighting the scale of the downturn in the global diamond market.

The move signals a strategic shift toward commodities with stronger long-term demand fundamentals, particularly copper, which is central to global electrification and energy-transition infrastructure.

Debswana’s diversification reflects a broader industry pivot as diamond producers confront weak consumer demand, rising competition from lab-grown stones and elevated inventories across the supply chain.

The shift is also visible among smaller exploration companies. Botswana Diamonds recently rebranded as Botswana Minerals, signalling its own strategic focus on copper exploration rather than diamonds.

Together, these moves underscore a growing consensus across the sector: the era of diamond-centric mining models is giving way to broader resource portfolios anchored in energy-transition metals.

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