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Silver price could aim for the upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50

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Silver price could aim for the upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50.The 14-day RSI holding at the 50 mark reinforces the ongoing bullish bias. Immediate support is seen at the 50-day EMA around $32.21.

Silver (XAG/USD) remains a critical commodity in global markets, influenced by both macroeconomic factors and technical patterns. As of April 15, 2025, silver prices are trading at approximately $32.30 per troy ounce, maintaining strength for the fifth consecutive session. This report provides an in-depth analysis of silver’s price trends, focusing on its ascending channel pattern and key technical indicators.

Silver is currently trading around $32.30, supported by its position above both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs. This indicates robust short-term momentum in favor of a bullish trend.

  • Immediate Support: The 50-day EMA at $32.21 serves as a crucial support level. A breach below this point could weaken short-term momentum15.
  • Secondary Support: The nine-day EMA near $31.90 offers additional support2.
  • Major Support: A significant downside risk lies at $31.50, followed by the seven-month low at $28.00 recorded on April 7
  • Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50 represents the next upside target.
  • Extended Resistance: A break above $33.50 could pave the way for testing the six-month high of $34.59 last seen on March 28, with further potential to reach $35—a psychological level last observed in 2012

The 14-day RSI is holding steady at the 50 mark, reinforcing bullish bias without entering overbought territory. This suggests that silver’s upward trajectory remains sustainable in the near term.

If XAG/USD decisively breaks above $33.50, it could target $34.59 and potentially extend gains toward $35—a level not seen since 2012. Such a rally would likely attract momentum traders and reinforce bullish sentiment. Failure to hold above immediate support at $32.21 may result in a pullback toward $31.90 or even deeper declines to $31.50 or $28.00, depending on broader market conditions

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International News

De Beers Group Reports H1 2026 Production Surge

The company reported a significant increase in production volume while maintaining its full-year production target of 21 to 26 million carats.

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De Beers Group today released its operational and sales performance update for the second quarter and first half of 2026. Driven by strong recovery efforts and strategic access to higher-grade ore bodies, the company reported a significant increase in production volume while maintaining its full-year production target of 21 to 26 million carats.

Despite market pressures stemming from broader macroeconomic volatility, the company continues to advance operational streamlining and cost-optimization initiatives to ensure long-term resilience.

Key Highlights & Operational Summary

  • Q2 Production Surge: Production jumped 88% year-on-year to 7.8 million carats in the second quarter, bringing total H1 output to 14.9 million carats (+46% YoY).
  • Volume Growth: Consolidated H1 sales volume expanded 13% to 12.4 million carats (total sales volume up 20% to 14.8 million carats).
  • Full-Year Guidance Reaffirmed: Full-year output remains targeted at 21–26 million carats, with second-half production planned to balance out via scheduled maintenance and a temporary operational pause at the Venetia mine.
  • Resilient High-Value Demand: While entry-level categories faced broader pricing shifts, pricing for higher-value natural diamonds remained firm, providing baseline support to the overall index.

Market Dynamics & Strategic Response

Trading conditions during the first six months of 2026 reflected ongoing global macroeconomic uncertainties and regional conflicts that weighed on general consumer sentiment. Additionally, lower-value natural categories experienced continued pressure from lab-grown alternatives.

In response, De Beers actively adjusted its sales strategies, utilizing its inventory mix to meet existing market demand. While lower-value inventory sales shifted the average realized price to $105 per carat for H1, the company noted that underlying value indices for premium, higher-grade natural goods remained stable throughout the period.

Outlook & Portfolio Optimization

Looking ahead to the second half of 2026, De Beers will align production output directly with global demand signals. The anticipated surge from H1 will be offset by:

  • The previously announced two-year operational pause at the Venetia mine.
  • Planned facility maintenance at the Orapa and Jwaneng operations in Botswana.

Anglo American continues to execute its operational transformation and strategic divestment plans for De Beers, ensuring capital discipline and long-term organizational value.

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