International News
Silver price could aim for the upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50
Silver price could aim for the upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50.The 14-day RSI holding at the 50 mark reinforces the ongoing bullish bias. Immediate support is seen at the 50-day EMA around $32.21.
Silver (XAG/USD) remains a critical commodity in global markets, influenced by both macroeconomic factors and technical patterns. As of April 15, 2025, silver prices are trading at approximately $32.30 per troy ounce, maintaining strength for the fifth consecutive session. This report provides an in-depth analysis of silver’s price trends, focusing on its ascending channel pattern and key technical indicators.
Silver is currently trading around $32.30, supported by its position above both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs. This indicates robust short-term momentum in favor of a bullish trend.
- Immediate Support: The 50-day EMA at $32.21 serves as a crucial support level. A breach below this point could weaken short-term momentum15.
- Secondary Support: The nine-day EMA near $31.90 offers additional support2.
- Major Support: A significant downside risk lies at $31.50, followed by the seven-month low at $28.00 recorded on April 7
- Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50 represents the next upside target.
- Extended Resistance: A break above $33.50 could pave the way for testing the six-month high of $34.59 last seen on March 28, with further potential to reach $35—a psychological level last observed in 2012
The 14-day RSI is holding steady at the 50 mark, reinforcing bullish bias without entering overbought territory. This suggests that silver’s upward trajectory remains sustainable in the near term.
If XAG/USD decisively breaks above $33.50, it could target $34.59 and potentially extend gains toward $35—a level not seen since 2012. Such a rally would likely attract momentum traders and reinforce bullish sentiment. Failure to hold above immediate support at $32.21 may result in a pullback toward $31.90 or even deeper declines to $31.50 or $28.00, depending on broader market conditions
International News
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Liquidity – Gold remains in a consolidation phase, largely due to thin liquidity conditions during the Lunar New Year holiday week. With major Asian markets — including mainland China, Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, and South Korea — closed, trading volumes are subdued. The muted price action appears technical in nature rather than driven by any fundamental shift.
Economic Data – On the macro-economic front, minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January meeting indicated a divided policy stance. Some officials supported pausing further rate cuts until inflation shows clearer improvement, while others discussed the possibility of rate hikes, advocating a balanced outlook. Following this, traders reduced expectations for multiple rate cuts this year. Markets now await key GDP and PCE inflation data, which could shape future rate expectations.
Geopolitical Tensions – Geopolitical tensions involving Iran have resurfaced. Reports suggest that any potential U.S. military action, if talks fail, could evolve into a prolonged campaign. This development may provide underlying support to gold if risks escalate further.
Technical Triggers
As indicated in the previous report, gold has rebounded from its key support level near $4,850 (~ Rs.1,50,000) and is now gradually advancing toward the resistance zone around $5,100 (~ Rs.1,60,000). One may consider a buy-on-dips strategy near support levels and book profits on rallies closer to resistance, until a decisive breakout occurs.
Silver has bounced from its support zone of $70–$90 (~ Rs.2,25,000). Prices are now heading toward the resistance levels of $85 (~ Rs.2,68,000) and $90 (~ Rs.2,85,000). Given the high volatility in silver, a buy-on-dips and sell-on-rallies approach remains appropriate within the current trading range.
Support and Resistance
| Metal | Market | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | International | $4850 / oz | $5100 / oz |
| Gold | India | ₹150,000 / 10 gm | ₹160,000 / 10 gm |
| Silver | International | $70 / oz | $85 / oz |
| Silver | India | ₹225,000 / kg | ₹265,000 / kg |
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