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Silver price could aim for the upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50
Silver price could aim for the upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50.The 14-day RSI holding at the 50 mark reinforces the ongoing bullish bias. Immediate support is seen at the 50-day EMA around $32.21.
Silver (XAG/USD) remains a critical commodity in global markets, influenced by both macroeconomic factors and technical patterns. As of April 15, 2025, silver prices are trading at approximately $32.30 per troy ounce, maintaining strength for the fifth consecutive session. This report provides an in-depth analysis of silver’s price trends, focusing on its ascending channel pattern and key technical indicators.
Silver is currently trading around $32.30, supported by its position above both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs. This indicates robust short-term momentum in favor of a bullish trend.
- Immediate Support: The 50-day EMA at $32.21 serves as a crucial support level. A breach below this point could weaken short-term momentum15.
- Secondary Support: The nine-day EMA near $31.90 offers additional support2.
- Major Support: A significant downside risk lies at $31.50, followed by the seven-month low at $28.00 recorded on April 7
- Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50 represents the next upside target.
- Extended Resistance: A break above $33.50 could pave the way for testing the six-month high of $34.59 last seen on March 28, with further potential to reach $35—a psychological level last observed in 2012
The 14-day RSI is holding steady at the 50 mark, reinforcing bullish bias without entering overbought territory. This suggests that silver’s upward trajectory remains sustainable in the near term.
If XAG/USD decisively breaks above $33.50, it could target $34.59 and potentially extend gains toward $35—a level not seen since 2012. Such a rally would likely attract momentum traders and reinforce bullish sentiment. Failure to hold above immediate support at $32.21 may result in a pullback toward $31.90 or even deeper declines to $31.50 or $28.00, depending on broader market conditions
International News
Precious Metals Surge On Ceasefire Optimism AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Geopolitical Optimism and Macro Shifts Drive Bullish Momentum
Safe-Haven Dynamics – Gold is expected to gain 1% and Silver 4% this week, marking a fourth straight weekly increase. This rise is driven by improving prospects of a permanent US-Iran ceasefire, which has reduced inflation concerns and lowered expectations of further central bank rate hikes.
- Geopolitical Developments– President Trump stated that Iran has agreed to key conditions: abandoning its nuclear weapons program, providing “free oil,” and keeping the Strait of Hormuz open. However, Iranian officials have not yet confirmed these terms. Separately, Israel’s cabinet convened on Wednesday to evaluate a potential ceasefire in Lebanon, over six weeks into its ongoing conflict with Iran-backed Hezbollah.
- Macro-economic Signals – Oil prices have dropped sharply on optimism surrounding a possible Iran deal, easing inflationary pressure, and reducing rate hike expectations. US traders currently assign a 29% probability to a 25-basis-point rate cut this year – a significant downward revision from earlier forecasts of two cuts before the conflict began.
Technical Triggers
- If Gold sustains above $4,850 (~ Rs. 1,55,000), the next upside resistance would be $5,000 (~ Rs. 1,60,000).
- As suggested earlier, Silver has given a breakout above $76.50 (~ Rs. 2,44,000), the next resistance would be $82 (~ Rs. 2,57,000) and $87 (~ Rs. 2,65,000) on continued strength.
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $4600/oz : $5000/oz : Rs 153,000/10 gm : Rs 160,000/10 gm |
| International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level Domestic Silver Support Level Domestic Silver Resistance Level | : $70/oz : $82/oz : Rs 225,000/kg : Rs 257,000/kg |
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