International News
Silver price could aim for the upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50
Silver price could aim for the upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50.The 14-day RSI holding at the 50 mark reinforces the ongoing bullish bias. Immediate support is seen at the 50-day EMA around $32.21.
Silver (XAG/USD) remains a critical commodity in global markets, influenced by both macroeconomic factors and technical patterns. As of April 15, 2025, silver prices are trading at approximately $32.30 per troy ounce, maintaining strength for the fifth consecutive session. This report provides an in-depth analysis of silver’s price trends, focusing on its ascending channel pattern and key technical indicators.
Silver is currently trading around $32.30, supported by its position above both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs. This indicates robust short-term momentum in favor of a bullish trend.
- Immediate Support: The 50-day EMA at $32.21 serves as a crucial support level. A breach below this point could weaken short-term momentum15.
- Secondary Support: The nine-day EMA near $31.90 offers additional support2.
- Major Support: A significant downside risk lies at $31.50, followed by the seven-month low at $28.00 recorded on April 7
- Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the ascending channel near $33.50 represents the next upside target.
- Extended Resistance: A break above $33.50 could pave the way for testing the six-month high of $34.59 last seen on March 28, with further potential to reach $35—a psychological level last observed in 2012
The 14-day RSI is holding steady at the 50 mark, reinforcing bullish bias without entering overbought territory. This suggests that silver’s upward trajectory remains sustainable in the near term.
If XAG/USD decisively breaks above $33.50, it could target $34.59 and potentially extend gains toward $35—a level not seen since 2012. Such a rally would likely attract momentum traders and reinforce bullish sentiment. Failure to hold above immediate support at $32.21 may result in a pullback toward $31.90 or even deeper declines to $31.50 or $28.00, depending on broader market conditions
International News
US Consumers Are Cutting Back Sharply On Discretionary Items Like Jewellery
McKinsey’s findings indicate : 43% of US consumers plan to spend less on jewelry this holiday season, while 39% expect to spend the same, and only 18% plan to spend more. This yields a net spending intent of -25%.
According to McKinsey & Company’s latest consumer sentiment research (surveyed July 29–August 5), US holiday budgets remain stable, but consumers are cutting back sharply on discretionary items like jewelry.
- Jewellery Spending Pullback: 43% of US consumers plan to spend less on jewelry this holiday season, while 39% expect to spend the same, and only 18% plan to spend more. This yields a net spending intent of -25%.
- High Category Risk: Accessories (-30%) and home decor (-32%) recorded the lowest net spending intent across 22 discretionary categories.
- Overall Holiday Budgets: Across all categories, 47% of consumers plan to match last year’s spending, 23% plan to spend more, and 21% plan to spend less.
- Bright Spots & Demographics: Gen Z consumers show higher planned spending on jewelry and accessories relative to older generations.
Bain & Company forecasts
- Total US holiday sales to rise 4.5% year-over-year to a record $1.016 trillion.
- In-store sales are projected to grow 2.5%, while non-store (e-commerce) sales are expected to jump 9%.
- Half of this nominal growth is driven by inflation rather than unit volume.
While macro retail figures point to growth, McKinsey’s findings indicate jewelry retailers face an intense battle for market share against apparel, electronics, and travel. Success will depend on capturing a increasingly selective consumer base.
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