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Silver Demand Slips as Prices Hit Record Highs

Silver bar sales fall 20% despite heavy discounts, as price volatility keeps investors and jewellers cautious

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Demand for silver bars has weakened sharply after prices surged to record levels this month, even as bullion dealers rolled out steep discounts to attract buyers. According to the India Bullion & Jewellers Association (IBJA), silver demand in January has dropped around 20% year-on-year, reflecting buyer hesitation amid extreme price volatility.

Silver prices jumped nearly 24% in the last fortnight, rising from Rs.2.29 lakh per kg on January 1 to a record Rs.2.85 lakh per kg, before easing slightly to Rs.2.82 lakh per kg on Friday. The muted demand comes despite dealers offering discounts of up to Rs.8,000 per kg. Industry experts say continued price swings are discouraging physical purchases.

Bullion traders in Mumbai’s Zaveri Bazaar noted that jewellers have also slowed their silver buying, uncertain about consumer off-take at current price levels. India typically consumes 6,000–7,000 tonnes of silver annually, but recent volatility has disrupted purchasing patterns. Market participants attribute the fluctuations to geopolitical tensions, global profit-booking, and uncertainty over US trade policy.

Prices briefly dipped earlier in the month due to profit-taking before rebounding again. Analysts point out that silver inventories have shifted from London to New York vaults, tightening availability in the market and pushing prices higher, even as industrial demand remains strong.

Adding to the uncertainty, Indian buyers are waiting for clarity on US policy decisions and the upcoming Union Budget, with expectations that the government may reduce the current 6% import duty on silver to ease prices. While some analysts believe short-term corrections are possible due to profit-booking, others remain optimistic about silver’s longer-term outlook, citing strong macro fundamentals and sustained industrial demand.

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National News

MCX Gold, Silver Futures For August Delivery Rise On Renewed Geopolitical Tensions

For Precious Metals Investors, The Immediate Focus Remains On Developments In The Middle East, Where Any Escalation Capable Of Driving Oil Prices Higher Could Reinforce Gold’s Appeal As A Hedge Against Inflation and Geopolitical Uncertainty.

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Gold prices climbed sharply on Tuesday as investors sought the safety of precious metals amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with concerns that higher energy prices could rekindle inflationary pressures. On the Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX), gold futures for August delivery rose 0.57% to Rs 1,42,150 per 10 grams in early trade. Silver outperformed, with the September contract gaining 1.04% to Rs 2,20,668 per kilogram.

The rally mirrored moves in international markets, where bullion rebounded as investors stepped in to buy on price weakness while closely tracking the escalating confrontation between the United States and Iran. Traders are increasingly focused on whether renewed military action could disrupt energy markets, lifting crude oil prices and complicating the global inflation outlook.

Spot gold traded near the $4,000-an-ounce mark after slipping 0.2% in the previous session, according to Bloomberg data. The recovery reflected a renewed preference for safe-haven assets as geopolitical risks intensified.

Oil prices, however, edged lower after two consecutive sessions of gains, even as U.S. forces carried out a fresh wave of strikes on Iranian targets. The pullback in crude suggests markets are still weighing the likelihood of any sustained disruption to global energy supplies.

For precious metals investors, the immediate focus remains on developments in the Middle East, where any escalation capable of driving oil prices higher could reinforce gold’s appeal as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainty.

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