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Ruling court nullifies Trump tariffs – AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Gold stabilizes in a range as a court decision overturns Trump’s tariffs, increasing risk appetite and depressing the greenback. After the U.S. Court of International Trade determined on Wednesday that Trump had overreached himself by using emergency powers to impose high tariffs on the majority of the nation’s trading partners, gold prices rose.
  • On Thursday, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released its initial update on the country’s first-quarter economic growth. According to the agency, the US GDP decreased by 0.2% over that time, which was less than the 0.4% decline that was anticipated and less than the 0.3% decline that the bureau had initially projected.
  • While acknowledging certain stagflation concerns, policymakers pointed out that the Committee may have to make tough trade-offs if inflation turns out to be more persistent and growth and employment prospects deteriorate.

Technical Triggers  

  • Gold prices are expected to trade in the range of $3270 (~Rs 95000) and $3370 (~Rs 96400) in the near term. Either side breakout or breakdown will give 2-3% movement.
  • Silver prices are expected to trade in the range of $32.5(~Rs 96000) and $34(~Rs 99000) in the near term.

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International News

Precious Metals zoom ato record high ahead of FOMC meet AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Around $3728 (~Rs 110,300) for gold futures and $43.23 (~Rs 129,7000) for silver, both markets were trading close to a record high ahead of the US FED’s two-day policy meeting that begins today.
  • The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, the first since December, and markets are almost certain that the easing cycle will continue into the following year. Recap: Despite the president’s dismissal, the federal appeals court permits Lisa Cook to remain as a Fed gov and take part in the FOMC meeting beginning tomorrow.
  • For clues about the direction of future policy, all eyes will be on the Fed’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, which includes the much-awaited dot plot, and Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. Regarding the data, reports on industrial production and retail sales that are anticipated later today will be closely examined to gain more understanding of how strong the economy is.

Technical Triggers 

  • Gold Dec Futures has given a breakout above $3700 (~Rs 110,000), the next target would be $3800 (~Rs 113,500). If prices top out and fall below $3650 (~Rs 108,500), then only we could see further profit booking.
  • Silver Nov Future prices have given a breakout above its consolidation range of $41 (~Rs 123,000) and $42 (~Rs 126,000) for the past few days and achieved the target of $43. This rally has more room for upside towards $45 (~Rs 140,000)

Support and Resistance

CommodityMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3650/oz$3800/oz
Indian₹108,500/10 gm₹113,500/10 gm
SilverInternational$42.5/oz$45/oz
Indian₹127,000/kg₹140,000/kg

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