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RBI’s Gold reserve valuation triples over a year to Rs 6.88 lakh cr.

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The Reserve Bank of India’s gold reserves have not just glimmered—they’ve exploded in value, tripling over the past year to a staggering ₹6.88 lakh crore. This surge is no mere accounting quirk. It’s a direct consequence of two powerful forces: the relentless rise in global gold prices and the RBI’s aggressive gold-buying spree, a strategy that now places India among the world’s most assertive central bank gold accumulators.

With 879 tonnes of gold—valued at nearly $97 billion at current prices—the RBI has emerged as the second-largest gold buyer among global central banks in 2024, surpassed only by China. Since the pandemic, India has added 244 tonnes to its reserves, and the pace has only accelerated amid escalating geopolitical risks and the specter of economic sanctions.

This is not just a story of numbers. It’s a reflection of a new world order in central banking, where gold is reclaiming its role as the ultimate hedge. The post-pandemic era, marked by the Russia-Ukraine conflict and recurring trade tensions between the U.S. and China, has forced monetary authorities to rethink their playbook. The global rush to gold—over 1,000 tonnes bought annually by central banks for three years running—underscores a collective anxiety about the durability of fiat currencies and the reliability of traditional reserve assets.

For India, the gold rush is both strategic and pragmatic. The RBI’s stated aim is to diversify its foreign currency assets and hedge against inflation and currency volatility. But the subtext is clear: in a world where sanctions can freeze reserves and trade wars can rattle markets overnight, physical gold offers a sanctuary that no digital ledger or sovereign bond can match.

The valuation windfall is also a timely buffer for India’s external accounts. With gold prices hitting record highs—₹95,935 per 10 grams on the MCX last week—India’s foreign exchange reserves have swelled, enhancing the RBI’s firepower to manage external shocks. This, in turn, sends a reassuring signal to markets about the central bank’s readiness for whatever turmoil lies ahead.

Yet, this golden moment is not without its caveats. The RBI’s buying spree has contributed to the very price surge that now inflates its balance sheet, raising questions about sustainability and the risk of a reversal if global sentiment shifts. Moreover, as central banks collectively pile into gold, the metal’s role as a “safe haven” could become a self-fulfilling—and potentially destabilizing—prophecy.

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National News

Gold Holds Steady On MCX As Middle East Tensions Cloud Market Direction

Bullion Trades Range-Bound As Strait Of Hormuz Uncertainty Fuels Inflation Fears 

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Gold prices were largely unchanged at the open on India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) on Tuesday, as investors weighed persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East against shifting expectations for global monetary policy.

The MCX gold May futures contract edged up 0.01% to Rs. 1,52,417 per 10 grams in early trade, while silver for May delivery declined 0.55% to Rs. 2,51,160 per kilogram. The muted start followed a cautious global tone, with bullion markets struggling to find direction amid conflicting macro signals.

Internationally, spot gold held above the $4,800-an-ounce mark in early trading but later slipped about 0.5%, even as crude oil prices fell nearly 1%. Spot silver also weakened, dropping roughly 1%. The divergence underscores a market caught between safe-haven demand and rising concerns over tighter financial conditions.

Investor sentiment remains tethered to developments around the Strait of Hormuz, a critical artery for global energy supplies. Escalating tensions in the region have fueled fears of a prolonged disruption, amplifying inflationary pressures at a time when central banks are already navigating a delicate policy balance.

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