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Pandora Lowers 2025 Profit Outlook Amid Tariff Concerns and Weaker Dollar

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Danish jewellery giant Pandora has trimmed its 2025 profit margin forecast, citing a decline in the U.S. dollar and potential cost pressures from looming U.S. tariffs. The company, which counts the U.S. as its largest market, now expects its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margin to be around 24% for the year—down from its previous estimate of approximately 24.5%. However, it maintained its organic growth target of 7–8%.

The charm bracelet maker faces mounting risks if former U.S. President Donald Trump reinstates a 37% “reciprocal” tariff on goods from Thailand, home to Pandora’s two key manufacturing sites. While the tariff has been temporarily paused for 90 days to allow negotiations, Pandora warned of significant cost implications depending on the outcome.

If existing tariffs remain, Pandora estimates a hit of 250 million Danish crowns ($38 million) in 2025 and 300 million crowns annually thereafter. But if the full 37% tariff returns, the impact could rise to 500 million crowns this year and 900 million annually—though lower than the company’s earlier forecast of 1.2 billion crowns annually. The downward revision reflects plans to reroute product shipments directly to Canada and Latin America by 2026, bypassing its current U.S. warehouse in Baltimore.

“In both scenarios, Pandora will consider further price increases,” the company stated, signaling more potential cost burdens for U.S. consumers. The jeweller already implemented a 4% price hike in April, following a 5% increase in October, driven by the surging cost of silver.

Despite the challenging backdrop, Pandora’s first-quarter revenue stood at 7.35 billion Danish crowns ($1.12 billion), slightly above analyst expectations, with organic growth at 7%.

“We are pleased with how we’ve started the year, especially given the very high volatility in the world around us,” said CEO Alexander Lacik. Still, the company acknowledged ongoing economic uncertainty as it continues to invest in marketing and brand strength.

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International News

Precious Metals Bounce Back As Iran Ceasefire Hopes Rise, But Fed Rate Fears Loom: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Gold Remains Under Short-Term Pressure From Expectations Of Fed Tightening and A Strong Dollar. However, Investor Positioning In Gold Looks Relatively Light After Months Of ETF Outflows,

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Price MovementGold has bounced back from its key support levels near $3960, and Silver has recovered from $55, after an Iranian official reportedly received a proposal for a 10-day ceasefire. The continuing US-Iran standoff has kept investors worried about energy-driven inflation and the possibility of further rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in an 83% chance of a US rate hike in December, up sharply from 73% just a week earlier, based on the CME FedWatch tool.

Geopolitical Tensions – Despite the Houthis announcing fresh military action, both Tehran and Washington appear keen to restart talks and stop the escalating attacks that have nearly destroyed a fragile interim agreement reached last month. A senior Iranian official told Reuters on Monday that mediators had proposed a 10-day ceasefire, aimed at rescuing the interim deal and eventually leading to a lasting peace agreement.

Macro-Economic SignalsGold remains under short-term pressure from expectations of Fed tightening and a strong dollar. However, investor positioning in gold looks relatively light after months of ETF outflows, meaning further price drops may be limited. Strong physical demand, especially from China, along with continued central bank buying, is providing solid support to the gold market.

Technical Triggers

If Gold fails to hold above $4,000 (~Rs 1,41,000), it could slide further to $3,900 (~Rs 1,38,000). But if it manages to stay above $4,200, a fresh rally could take it toward $4,500 (~Rs 1,55,000).

For Silver, a strong move above $63 (~Rs 2,35,000) could push prices toward $70–71 (~Rs 2,51,000–2,55,000). On the other hand, a fall below $55 (~Rs 2,14,000) may drag it down to $50 (~Rs 2,00,000).

Support and Resistance

International Gold Support Level
International Gold Resistance Level
Domestic Gold Support Level
Domestic Gold Resistance Level
: $3900/oz
: $4160/oz  
: Rs 137,000/10 gm
: Rs 147,000/10 gm
International Silver Support Level
International Silver Resistance Level
Domestic Silver Support Level
Domestic Silver Resistance Level
: $55/oz
: $63/oz  
: Rs 214,000/kg
: Rs 235,000/kg
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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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