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Pandora Lowers 2025 Profit Outlook Amid Tariff Concerns and Weaker Dollar

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Danish jewellery giant Pandora has trimmed its 2025 profit margin forecast, citing a decline in the U.S. dollar and potential cost pressures from looming U.S. tariffs. The company, which counts the U.S. as its largest market, now expects its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margin to be around 24% for the year—down from its previous estimate of approximately 24.5%. However, it maintained its organic growth target of 7–8%.

The charm bracelet maker faces mounting risks if former U.S. President Donald Trump reinstates a 37% “reciprocal” tariff on goods from Thailand, home to Pandora’s two key manufacturing sites. While the tariff has been temporarily paused for 90 days to allow negotiations, Pandora warned of significant cost implications depending on the outcome.

If existing tariffs remain, Pandora estimates a hit of 250 million Danish crowns ($38 million) in 2025 and 300 million crowns annually thereafter. But if the full 37% tariff returns, the impact could rise to 500 million crowns this year and 900 million annually—though lower than the company’s earlier forecast of 1.2 billion crowns annually. The downward revision reflects plans to reroute product shipments directly to Canada and Latin America by 2026, bypassing its current U.S. warehouse in Baltimore.

“In both scenarios, Pandora will consider further price increases,” the company stated, signaling more potential cost burdens for U.S. consumers. The jeweller already implemented a 4% price hike in April, following a 5% increase in October, driven by the surging cost of silver.

Despite the challenging backdrop, Pandora’s first-quarter revenue stood at 7.35 billion Danish crowns ($1.12 billion), slightly above analyst expectations, with organic growth at 7%.

“We are pleased with how we’ve started the year, especially given the very high volatility in the world around us,” said CEO Alexander Lacik. Still, the company acknowledged ongoing economic uncertainty as it continues to invest in marketing and brand strength.

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International News

Precious Metals Surge On Ceasefire Optimism AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Geopolitical Optimism and Macro Shifts Drive Bullish Momentum

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Safe-Haven Dynamics – Gold is expected to gain 1% and Silver 4% this week, marking a fourth straight weekly increase. This rise is driven by improving prospects of a permanent US-Iran ceasefire, which has reduced inflation concerns and lowered expectations of further central bank rate hikes.

  • Geopolitical Developments– President Trump stated that Iran has agreed to key conditions: abandoning its nuclear weapons program, providing “free oil,” and keeping the Strait of Hormuz open. However, Iranian officials have not yet confirmed these terms. Separately, Israel’s cabinet convened on Wednesday to evaluate a potential ceasefire in Lebanon, over six weeks into its ongoing conflict with Iran-backed Hezbollah.
  • Macro-economic Signals – Oil prices have dropped sharply on optimism surrounding a possible Iran deal, easing inflationary pressure, and reducing rate hike expectations. US traders currently assign a 29% probability to a 25-basis-point rate cut this year – a significant downward revision from earlier forecasts of two cuts before the conflict began.

Technical Triggers

  • If Gold sustains above $4,850 (~ Rs. 1,55,000), the next upside resistance would be $5,000 (~ Rs. 1,60,000).
  • As suggested earlier, Silver has given a breakout above $76.50 (~ Rs. 2,44,000), the next resistance would be $82 (~ Rs. 2,57,000) and $87 (~ Rs. 2,65,000) on continued strength.

Support and Resistance

International Gold Support Level
International Gold Resistance Level
Domestic Gold Support Level
Domestic Gold Resistance Level
: $4600/oz
: $5000/oz 
: Rs 153,000/10 gm
: Rs 160,000/10 gm
International Silver Support Level
International Silver Resistance Level 
Domestic Silver Support Level
Domestic Silver Resistance Level
: $70/oz
: $82/oz  
: Rs 225,000/kg
: Rs 257,000/kg
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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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