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Natural diamond prices stabilizing, recovering lies in the balance of macro-economic variables in major consumer markets

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Through mid-February 2025, rough diamond prices are down a modest 1-2% year-to-date, according to the Zimnisky Global Rough Diamond Price Index. This follows an 18% decline in 2024 and a 15% decline in 2023. Rough prices are now down some 40% from the all-time high reached in the exuberant years of 2021 and 2022 where global diamond demand soared on the back of record economic stimulus in response to the pandemic.

The likelihood of natural diamond prices stabilising and subsequently recovering in 2025 and beyond lies in the balance of macro-economic variables in major consumer markets as well as more micro factors such as the magnitude and effectiveness of industry marketing and the trade’s ongoing efforts to positively differentiate its product from competing lab-grown diamonds.

Regarding the latter, potential catalysts include consumers’ (as well as jewellers’) dynamically changing perception of lab-grown versus natural diamonds at ever extreme price differentials and the industry’s aim to make easy-to-use consumer-facing natural diamond detection equipment ubiquitous in the consumer sphere

In the U.S., which represents over 50% of global consumer diamond jewellery demand, near-term macro drivers include the evolution of monetary policy, the impact of deglobalisation and the re-industrialisation of America under the new Trump administration.

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DiamondBuzz

Zen Diamond Unveils the Soirée Collection: Where Modern Gold Meets Italian Artistry

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Zen Diamond, the internationally acclaimed fine jewellery brand, introduces The Soirée Collection — a bold and elegant line of contemporary gold jewellery that blends modern design with the finesse of Italian craftsmanship. Each piece in the collection is thoughtfully designed to elevate evening wear, offering a seamless balance of sophistication and standout style.

Crafted in polished gold and accentuated with exquisite detailing, The Soirée Collection brings together sculptural forms, refined silhouettes, and signature touches that celebrate quiet luxury. From intimate dinners to formal galas, the pieces are designed to make a lasting impression.

A standout piece is the coiled gold bracelet, gracefully encircling the wrist with fluid form and diamond-accented ends, shaped in marquise and round motifs. Inside, Zen’s hidden signature diamond adds a discreet mark of excellence.

The wind chime-inspired necklace features a cascade of layered gold bars anchored by a diamond-set central bar and a sapphire clasp, marrying movement and colour in harmonious rhythm.

Another highlight, a sculptural necklace with a twin-arc design, is crafted in warm gold and finished with a diamond-studded bar at the center, embodying strength and elegance.

Sculptural rings in the collection embrace open-ended forms — one featuring a diamond-set square and arrow motif for a bold contrast, while another showcases closely set pavé diamonds at either end, creating a radiant and modern silhouette.

Completing the collection are refined earrings shaped in an elongated marquise form, enhanced by a rhythmic pattern of alternating diamonds along the inner curve. An iris-inspired stud adds a poetic finish, reflecting Zen Diamond’s commitment to detail and artistry.

With The Soirée Collection, Zen Diamond redefines contemporary glamour — infusing timeless gold with modern edge and impeccable craftsmanship.

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DiamondBuzz

AfDB  approves $304 million loan to  Botswana

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The African Development Bank (AfDB) has approved a $304 million loan to support Botswana’s efforts to stabilise its public finances and implement key economic and governance reforms amid falling diamond revenues.

It marks a critical intervention in the country’s ongoing struggle with fiscal instability, primarily driven by a sharp decline in diamond revenues. This analysis examines the context, intent, and expected impact of the loan, as well as the broader economic challenges facing Botswana.

The loan aims to help Botswana navigate a widening fiscal deficit—expected to hit 6.7% of GDP this year—after the economy shrank by 1.7% in 2024, largely due to subdued global demand for diamonds, which account for around 80% of the country’s exports.

The $304 million loan is structured as a one-year general budget support operation for the 2025/26 fiscal year, under the Governance and Economic Resilience Support Programme (GERSP). The program is designed to address two main objectives:

Strengthening fiscal sustainability and transparency: Measures include boosting domestic revenue collection, curbing illicit financial flows, and enhancing the efficiency and accountability of public spending.

Stimulating inclusive economic growth: The program supports micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), with a particular focus on businesses owned by women and youth, to foster job creation and reduce inequality.

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DiamondBuzz

Surat diamond manufacturers implement summer shutdowns on lower demand

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Diamond manufacturers in Surat, India’s diamond polishing hub, have begun implementing summer shutdowns for the first time in years as demand for natural stones remains persistently weak and the threat of steep U.S. tariffs looms over the industry.

Traditionally, factories in Surat—home to nearly 4,000 diamond units—take their main annual break during Diwali, remaining operational through the summer months. However, the ongoing downturn has prompted many units to extend Diwali closures and introduce unpaid summer breaks, a move not seen in previous years.

Around 10% of Surat’s diamond factories have declared a summer holiday of at least 15 days, with some major units planning to stay shut until June 6, according to industry sources and local media reports. The closures have triggered an exodus of thousands of migrant workers, many of whom are returning to their hometowns in Saurashtra and North Gujarat as operations wind down.

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