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India’s Jewellery Exports Face Significant Decline Due to U.S. Tariffs

With the U.S. imposing a 26% reciprocal tariff, India’s $32 billion gems and jewellery industry braces for a sharp fall in exports, especially to its largest

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India’s $32 billion gems and jewellery industry is gearing up for a sharp decline in exports as the imposition of hefty U.S. tariffs is expected to disrupt sales to its largest market, officials say. The United States recently imposed a 26% reciprocal tariff on India, marking a significant setback to the country’s export ambitions under President Donald Trump’s global trade policy.

“The tariff is higher than expected,” said Colin Shah, managing director of Kama Jewelry, one of India’s leading diamond jewellery manufacturers. “It is quite severe and will affect exports.”

India remains the world’s largest hub for diamond cutting and polishing, processing nine out of every ten diamonds globally. The United States accounts for nearly $10 billion—or 30.4%—of India’s annual gems and jewellery exports.

Despite its importance, the gems and jewellery sector, India’s third-largest export to the U.S. after engineering and electronics, is already struggling. The industry employs millions in India and has seen a recent downturn due to weak demand from China, resulting in a 14.5% drop in exports to $32.3 billion in the 2023-24 fiscal year.

However, industry leaders remain optimistic that a long-term bilateral trade deal with the U.S. could alleviate some of the negative impact. “We’re pretty hopeful that India could land a trade deal with the U.S. in the next few months. So, we just need to push through this tough phase for a little while longer,” said Shaunak Parikh, vice chairman of the Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC).

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RBI accelerates  repatriation of its gold reserves, 64 ton brought home last 6 months

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The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has significantly accelerated the repatriation of its gold reserves, bringing home 274 tonnes of gold since March 2023, including approximately 64 tonnes in the six months leading up to September 2025. This strategic move is primarily driven by mounting geopolitical uncertainty and rising global skepticism over keeping sovereign assets offshore, especially after the G7 nations froze the foreign currency reserves of Russia and Afghanistan.

By the end of September 2025, the RBI’s total gold holdings stood at 880.8 tonnes, with a majority—575.8 tonnes—now held domestically, reflecting a deliberate effort to enhance economic sovereignty and safeguard national wealth from potential financial sanctions or warfare. This repatriation effort, alongside surging gold prices, has also increased gold’s share in India’s total foreign exchange reserves to 13.9%, underscoring the central bank’s focus on diversification and risk mitigation in a fragmented global landscape.

The rise in gold prices has also elevated the precious metal’s proportion in total reserves to 13.9%.By September 2025, the foreign currency assets of around $579.18 billion were allocated as follows: $489.54 billion in securities investments, $46.11 billion in deposits with other central banks and BIS, whilst $43.53 billion remained in deposits with overseas commercial banks.

As at March 31, RBI’s gold holdings stood at 879 tonnes, with 512 tonnes stored within the country and 348.6 tonnes held under custodial arrangements with the Bank of England and Bank of International Settlements.The central bank has indicated that it engages external asset managers to handle a modest portion of reserves to investigate alternative reserve management strategies and products, whilst diversifying the portfolio. These activities are conducted within the framework permitted by the RBI Act, 1934.

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